Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:21:31

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.0/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 44.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 44.1

30-Day Momentum

70
+28.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 77.9 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,100.06
Current Value
$22,896.20
Period P&L
$4,796.14
Max Drawdown
-41.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+31.30%
Worst Trade
-6.03%
Avg Trade Return
+2.73%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$509,894.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,796.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,796.14
Gross Return
+26.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+26.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $18,100.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:40am ET $166.16 106 $17,612.70
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $171.94 106 $18,225.64 $18,387.32 +$612.95
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:20am ET $177.38 103 $18,270.45
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 103 $23,988.70 $24,105.57 +$5,718.25
(+31.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:40am ET $249.40 96 $23,942.40
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $255.50 96 $24,528.00 $24,691.17 +$585.60
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $266.74 92 $24,540.54
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $258.14 92 $23,748.42 $23,899.05 $-792.12
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $247.08 96 $23,719.68
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET $252.20 96 $24,211.20 $24,390.57 +$491.52
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:30am ET $237.10 102 $24,183.69
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $242.00 102 $24,684.00 $24,890.88 +$500.31
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $241.65 103 $24,889.95
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET $234.17 103 $24,119.51 $24,120.44 $-770.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:40am ET $242.44 99 $24,001.56
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $235.02 99 $23,266.98 $23,385.86 $-734.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $236.85 98 $23,211.30
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:25am ET $241.78 98 $23,694.44 $23,869.00 +$483.14
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET $235.81 101 $23,816.81
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:30am ET $240.63 101 $24,303.63 $24,355.82 +$486.82
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $237.23 102 $24,197.46
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $222.92 102 $22,737.84 $22,896.20 $-1,459.62
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,896.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,896.20
Total Return: +128.96%
Back to Rebel Contraire