Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:27:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 11.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.7

30-Day Momentum

33
+5.2%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.4 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,363.54
Current Value
$6,692.21
Period P&L
$328.70
Max Drawdown
-41.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+6.93%
Worst Trade
-3.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$130,397.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$328.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$328.70
Gross Return
+5.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,363.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $78.51 81 $6,359.71
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 81 $6,534.27 $6,538.06 +$174.55
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:05am ET $80.72 80 $6,458.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $82.57 80 $6,605.20 $6,685.26 +$147.20
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $84.93 78 $6,624.55
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $86.79 78 $6,770.01 $6,830.72 +$145.46
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $86.50 78 $6,747.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $83.11 78 $6,482.52 $6,566.24 $-264.48
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $80.67 81 $6,533.87
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $78.06 81 $6,322.46 $6,354.84 $-211.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $77.17 82 $6,327.93
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $78.78 82 $6,459.66 $6,486.56 +$131.72
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $73.17 88 $6,438.96
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $70.61 88 $6,213.62 $6,261.22 $-225.34
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $71.65 87 $6,233.55
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $73.94 87 $6,433.21 $6,460.88 +$199.66
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $77.51 83 $6,433.32
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $82.88 83 $6,879.04 $6,906.60 +$445.72
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $82.86 83 $6,877.63
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.28 83 $6,663.24 $6,692.21 $-214.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,692.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,307.79
Total Return: -33.08%
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