Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:21:39

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 10.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.7%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.0 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,427.27
Current Value
$7,615.01
Period P&L
$187.72
Max Drawdown
-41.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+2.24%
Worst Trade
-2.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$73,679.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$187.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$187.72
Gross Return
+2.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,427.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $388.69 19 $7,385.11
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $384.83 19 $7,311.77 $7,486.95 $-73.34
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:25am ET $381.93 19 $7,256.67
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:25am ET $382.20 19 $7,261.80 $7,492.08 +$5.13
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET $378.43 19 $7,190.26
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $386.91 19 $7,351.29 $7,653.11 +$161.03
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET $398.64 19 $7,574.07
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $406.62 19 $7,725.78 $7,804.82 +$151.71
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $411.46 18 $7,406.28
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $400.92 18 $7,216.47 $7,615.01 $-189.81
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,615.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,384.99
Total Return: -23.85%
Back to Rebel Contraire