Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:17

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 32.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.6

30-Day Momentum

42
+7.6%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.7 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,009.80
Current Value
$13,946.66
Period P&L
$936.88
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+5.96%
Worst Trade
-8.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.89%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$324,600.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$936.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$936.88
Gross Return
+7.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,009.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET $138.21 91 $12,577.11
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $141.27 91 $12,855.57 $12,954.18 +$278.46
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:20am ET $122.19 106 $12,952.14
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $124.73 106 $13,221.38 $13,223.42 +$269.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $125.76 105 $13,204.79
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 105 $13,992.43 $14,011.06 +$787.64
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:00am ET $125.74 111 $13,957.27
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.85 111 $12,748.77 $12,802.56 $-1,208.50
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $121.96 104 $12,683.85
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:25am ET $124.98 104 $12,997.92 $13,116.63 +$314.07
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $129.46 101 $13,075.12
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $132.26 101 $13,358.76 $13,400.28 +$283.65
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $130.88 102 $13,349.76
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $134.04 102 $13,671.57 $13,722.09 +$321.81
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $138.35 99 $13,696.16
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $146.01 99 $14,454.99 $14,480.92 +$758.83
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:50am ET $147.26 98 $14,431.97
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $142.35 98 $13,950.30 $13,999.25 $-481.67
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $143.00 97 $13,871.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $146.80 97 $14,239.60 $14,367.85 +$368.60
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:45am ET $142.78 100 $14,278.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $135.51 100 $13,551.00 $13,640.85 $-727.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:05am ET $128.18 106 $13,587.61
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 11:55am ET $131.07 106 $13,893.42 $13,946.66 +$305.81
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,946.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,946.66
Total Return: +39.47%
Back to Rebel Contraire