Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.5/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 55.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.2

30-Day Momentum

51
+9.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.1 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,957.99
Current Value
$15,336.75
Period P&L
$1,378.76
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
2.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+3.54%
Worst Trade
+0.84%
Avg Trade Return
+1.94%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$145,753.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,378.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,378.76
Gross Return
+9.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,957.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $601.03 23 $13,823.58
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $622.28 23 $14,312.33 $14,446.74 +$488.75
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $620.29 23 $14,266.67
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $633.12 23 $14,561.66 $14,741.73 +$294.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:55am ET $640.97 22 $14,101.23
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $653.81 22 $14,383.71 $15,024.21 +$282.48
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET $650.25 23 $14,955.75
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $655.71 23 $15,081.30 $15,149.76 +$125.55
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $653.91 23 $15,039.93
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $662.04 23 $15,226.92 $15,336.75 +$186.99
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,336.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,336.75
Total Return: +53.37%
Back to Rebel Contraire