Compendium › Rebel Contraire › VTI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VTI
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 4 trades in period

+0.09%
Last Month Return
$15,179.39
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$15,166.05
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.3/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 52.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 51.4

30-Day Momentum

21
+2.0%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.5 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,166.05
Current Value
$15,179.39
Period P&L
$13.36
Max Drawdown
-10.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+2.05%
Worst Trade
-1.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$119,417.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$13.36
Gross Return
+0.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,166.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:05am ET $360.29 41 $14,771.89 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $367.69 41 $15,075.29 $15,181.20 +$303.40
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:55am ET $369.97 41 $15,168.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $372.06 41 $15,254.36 $15,266.79 +$85.59
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $373.04 40 $14,921.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $366.64 40 $14,665.40 $15,010.59 $-256.20
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $367.39 40 $14,695.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $371.61 40 $14,864.40 $15,179.39 +$168.80
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,179.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,179.39
Total Return: +51.79%
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