Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:51

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.2/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 69.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 68.6

30-Day Momentum

13
-1.2%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-56 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,483
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,170.47
Current Value
$20,718.16
Period P&L
$6,547.70
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
68
Winners / Losers
46 / 22
Best Trade
+3.67%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.58%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,334,195.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,547.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,547.70
Gross Return
+46.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+46.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 68 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,170.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 10:15am ET $134.87 105 $14,161.35
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:40am ET $137.79 105 $14,467.95 $14,477.06 +$306.60
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
2 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 10:15am ET $138.20 104 $14,372.28
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $143.09 104 $14,881.36 $14,986.14 +$509.08
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:40am ET $141.14 106 $14,960.84
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $137.98 106 $14,625.35 $14,650.65 $-335.49
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 9:40am ET $137.88 106 $14,615.28
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $136.96 106 $14,517.76 $14,553.13 $-97.52
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
5 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 10:35am ET $137.26 106 $14,549.56
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:35am ET $138.25 106 $14,654.50 $14,658.07 +$104.94
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:55am ET $139.59 105 $14,656.95
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $140.21 105 $14,721.53 $14,722.64 +$64.58
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 1:20pm ET $144.69 101 $14,613.69
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $146.47 101 $14,793.47 $14,902.42 +$179.78
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 11:00am ET $148.37 100 $14,837.00
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $151.45 100 $15,145.00 $15,210.42 +$308.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 10:00am ET $145.62 104 $15,144.48
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET $143.03 104 $14,875.12 $14,941.06 $-269.36
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 12:35pm ET $145.86 102 $14,877.72
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:45am ET $148.80 102 $15,177.60 $15,240.94 +$299.88
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 1:50pm ET $145.85 104 $15,168.40
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 9:40am ET $148.85 104 $15,480.40 $15,552.94 +$312.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 9:55am ET $152.75 101 $15,427.25
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 2:50pm ET $155.80 101 $15,735.80 $15,861.50 +$308.56
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 2:50pm ET $152.38 104 $15,847.52
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $147.43 104 $15,332.72 $15,346.70 $-514.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $149.80 102 $15,279.60
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 2:40pm ET $152.81 102 $15,586.62 $15,653.72 +$307.02
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 2:45pm ET $155.55 100 $15,555.00
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 2:45pm ET $156.63 100 $15,663.00 $15,761.72 +$108.00
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 2:55pm ET $153.93 102 $15,700.35
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 2:55pm ET $150.39 102 $15,339.27 $15,400.64 $-361.08
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $152.69 100 $15,269.00
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $155.69 100 $15,569.00 $15,700.64 +$300.00
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:30am ET $155.23 101 $15,678.23
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 12:20pm ET $158.43 101 $16,000.93 $16,023.33 +$322.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 12:35pm ET $156.02 102 $15,914.04
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $157.74 102 $16,089.48 $16,198.77 +$175.44
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 10:05am ET $157.21 103 $16,192.12
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 9:35am ET $160.45 103 $16,526.35 $16,533.01 +$334.23
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:40am ET $160.00 103 $16,480.33
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:35am ET $154.92 103 $15,956.76 $16,009.44 $-523.57
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 11:35am ET $153.69 104 $15,983.24
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 11:10am ET $156.82 104 $16,309.28 $16,335.48 +$326.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 12:25pm ET $157.19 103 $16,190.57
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 12:25pm ET $157.67 103 $16,239.50 $16,384.40 +$48.92
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 2:15pm ET $159.80 102 $16,299.60
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET $155.92 102 $15,904.20 $15,989.00 $-395.40
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 11:00am ET $159.15 100 $15,914.50
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $158.42 100 $15,842.00 $15,916.50 $-72.50
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET $154.37 103 $15,900.11
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $153.77 103 $15,838.31 $15,854.70 $-61.80
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 10:05am ET $152.24 104 $15,832.96
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $149.92 104 $15,591.68 $15,613.42 $-241.28
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET $150.65 103 $15,516.95
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET $153.93 103 $15,854.79 $15,951.26 +$337.84
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:50am ET $151.86 105 $15,945.30
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 9:50am ET $153.70 105 $16,138.50 $16,144.46 +$193.20
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:50am ET $154.85 104 $16,104.41
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 9:35am ET $157.95 104 $16,426.80 $16,466.85 +$322.39
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 12:00pm ET $156.21 105 $16,402.05
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 12:00pm ET $155.75 105 $16,353.75 $16,418.55 $-48.30
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 12:30pm ET $154.73 106 $16,401.38
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET $157.83 106 $16,729.98 $16,747.15 +$328.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET $155.15 107 $16,600.52
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $154.58 107 $16,539.53 $16,686.16 $-60.99
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:05am ET $156.82 106 $16,622.91
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $156.63 106 $16,602.56 $16,665.81 $-20.35
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:35am ET $152.35 109 $16,606.15
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $149.47 109 $16,291.69 $16,351.34 $-314.46
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:20am ET $148.35 110 $16,318.50
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 11:00am ET $151.41 110 $16,654.55 $16,687.39 +$336.05
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:00pm ET $152.96 109 $16,672.10
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $149.45 109 $16,290.27 $16,305.57 $-381.83
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:55am ET $149.22 109 $16,264.97
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $149.62 109 $16,308.58 $16,349.18 +$43.61
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET $147.84 110 $16,262.40
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $149.72 110 $16,469.20 $16,555.98 +$206.80
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:05am ET $150.01 110 $16,501.10
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $151.33 110 $16,646.30 $16,701.18 +$145.20
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 12:05pm ET $151.69 110 $16,685.90
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $154.75 110 $17,021.95 $17,037.23 +$336.05
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $164.12 103 $16,903.85
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:05am ET $159.09 103 $16,386.27 $16,519.65 $-517.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:45am ET $156.31 105 $16,412.55
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $159.64 105 $16,761.68 $16,868.78 +$349.12
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET $162.27 103 $16,713.81
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:40am ET $165.73 103 $17,070.19 $17,225.16 +$356.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:45am ET $166.82 103 $17,182.46
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $165.65 103 $17,061.95 $17,104.65 $-120.51
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:50am ET $167.17 102 $17,051.34
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET $167.38 102 $17,072.76 $17,126.07 +$21.42
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET $167.73 102 $17,108.46
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $173.87 102 $17,734.74 $17,752.35 +$626.28
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:55am ET $172.80 102 $17,625.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET $176.31 102 $17,983.62 $18,110.37 +$358.02
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $181.70 99 $17,988.30
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $182.18 99 $18,035.82 $18,157.89 +$47.52
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $182.37 99 $18,054.63
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:30am ET $186.37 99 $18,450.63 $18,553.89 +$396.00
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $179.26 103 $18,463.78
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $183.05 103 $18,854.15 $18,944.26 +$390.37
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
52 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:55am ET $186.97 101 $18,883.97
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET $184.54 101 $18,639.04 $18,699.33 $-244.93
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
53 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $183.29 102 $18,695.07
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $187.04 102 $19,077.57 $19,081.83 +$382.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $188.21 101 $19,009.21
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 101 $19,291.00 $19,363.62 +$281.79
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET $186.41 103 $19,200.74
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $190.15 103 $19,585.96 $19,748.84 +$385.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $197.75 99 $19,577.25
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $198.61 99 $19,662.39 $19,833.98 +$85.14
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:10am ET $201.15 98 $19,712.69
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $206.91 98 $20,277.18 $20,398.47 +$564.49
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET $205.61 99 $20,355.39
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $210.44 99 $20,833.56 $20,876.64 +$478.17
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET $213.82 97 $20,740.54
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $207.20 97 $20,098.40 $20,234.50 $-642.14
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $196.34 103 $20,223.02
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $203.54 103 $20,964.74 $20,976.22 +$741.72
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $198.16 105 $20,806.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $202.14 105 $21,224.70 $21,394.12 +$417.90
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $190.47 112 $21,332.64
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $194.31 112 $21,762.72 $21,824.20 +$430.08
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $189.88 114 $21,646.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $186.31 114 $21,239.34 $21,417.22 $-406.98
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $185.91 115 $21,379.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $179.80 115 $20,677.00 $20,714.57 $-702.65
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:15am ET $184.82 112 $20,700.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $188.92 112 $21,159.04 $21,173.21 +$458.64
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $186.56 113 $21,081.28
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $188.25 113 $21,272.25 $21,364.18 +$190.97
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $191.82 111 $21,292.02
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $192.62 111 $21,380.82 $21,452.98 +$88.80
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
68 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $192.39 111 $21,355.29
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $185.77 111 $20,620.47 $20,718.16 $-734.82
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,718.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,718.16
Total Return: +107.18%
Back to Rebel Contraire