DIA Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 56 trades in period
+17.86%
Last Year Return
$13,612.62
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$11,549.61
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality
39.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 39.3
30-Day Momentum
45
+6.7%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.3
Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,537
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,549.61
Current Value
$13,612.62
Period P&L
$2,063.03
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
35 /
21
Best Trade
+3.35%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,393,960.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,063.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,063.03
Gross Return
+17.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,549.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $411.31 | 28 | $11,516.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $422.25 | 28 | $11,823.11 | $11,877.03 |
+$306.43 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 10:45am ET | $422.44 | 28 | $11,828.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $424.62 | 28 | $11,889.36 | $11,938.07 |
+$61.04 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 9:40am ET | $427.14 | 27 | $11,532.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $419.87 | 27 | $11,336.49 | $11,741.78 |
$-196.29 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 9:50am ET | $423.76 | 27 | $11,441.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET | $420.42 | 27 | $11,351.34 | $11,651.60 |
$-90.18 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $422.90 | 27 | $11,418.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $427.38 | 27 | $11,539.26 | $11,772.57 |
+$120.96 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 1:25pm ET | $429.59 | 27 | $11,598.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $425.92 | 27 | $11,499.84 | $11,673.49 |
$-99.08 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $425.24 | 27 | $11,481.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $421.64 | 27 | $11,384.28 | $11,576.29 |
$-97.20 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 9:50am ET | $428.61 | 27 | $11,572.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 10:40am ET | $437.20 | 27 | $11,804.40 | $11,808.22 |
+$231.93 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 1:40pm ET | $439.49 | 26 | $11,426.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 10:35am ET | $448.38 | 26 | $11,657.88 | $12,039.34 |
+$231.12 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 2:20pm ET | $442.10 | 27 | $11,936.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $442.83 | 27 | $11,956.41 | $12,059.05 |
+$19.71 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2025 10:25am ET | $442.49 | 27 | $11,947.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $444.13 | 27 | $11,991.51 | $12,103.33 |
+$44.28 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 10:10am ET | $443.49 | 27 | $11,974.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $448.75 | 27 | $12,116.25 | $12,245.35 |
+$142.02 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 10:40am ET | $447.08 | 27 | $12,071.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $438.77 | 27 | $11,846.79 | $12,020.98 |
$-224.37 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $441.89 | 27 | $11,931.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $442.58 | 27 | $11,949.66 | $12,039.61 |
+$18.63 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 10:35am ET | $443.59 | 27 | $11,976.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $449.39 | 27 | $12,133.53 | $12,196.21 |
+$156.60 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 9:55am ET | $450.48 | 27 | $12,162.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $455.90 | 27 | $12,309.30 | $12,342.68 |
+$146.47 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 10:35am ET | $452.85 | 27 | $12,226.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $450.65 | 27 | $12,167.55 | $12,283.28 |
$-59.40 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $453.37 | 27 | $12,240.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $454.18 | 27 | $12,262.86 | $12,305.15 |
+$21.87 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 10:25am ET | $455.77 | 26 | $11,849.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $459.95 | 26 | $11,958.70 | $12,413.96 |
+$108.81 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $458.03 | 27 | $12,366.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $460.73 | 27 | $12,439.71 | $12,486.99 |
+$73.04 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 10:20am ET | $466.06 | 26 | $12,117.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $462.74 | 26 | $12,031.24 | $12,400.67 |
$-86.32 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET | $461.92 | 26 | $12,009.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $468.13 | 26 | $12,171.38 | $12,562.13 |
+$161.46 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 9:45am ET | $467.03 | 26 | $12,142.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $459.56 | 26 | $11,948.56 | $12,367.91 |
$-194.22 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $456.08 | 27 | $12,314.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 9:35am ET | $465.31 | 27 | $12,563.37 | $12,617.12 |
+$249.21 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $463.26 | 27 | $12,508.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 9:45am ET | $467.46 | 27 | $12,621.42 | $12,730.52 |
+$113.40 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 9:55am ET | $468.12 | 27 | $12,639.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:55am ET | $474.68 | 27 | $12,816.36 | $12,907.64 |
+$177.12 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 10:50am ET | $478.06 | 27 | $12,907.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $475.44 | 27 | $12,836.88 | $12,836.90 |
$-70.74 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET | $471.94 | 27 | $12,742.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $472.66 | 27 | $12,761.82 | $12,856.48 |
+$19.58 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 2:00pm ET | $478.72 | 26 | $12,446.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $471.50 | 26 | $12,259.00 | $12,668.76 |
$-187.72 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET | $461.33 | 27 | $12,455.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $463.82 | 27 | $12,523.14 | $12,735.99 |
+$67.23 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 12:45pm ET | $469.99 | 27 | $12,689.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $474.78 | 27 | $12,819.06 | $12,865.32 |
+$129.33 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $473.87 | 27 | $12,794.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $479.34 | 27 | $12,942.18 | $13,013.01 |
+$147.69 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:05am ET | $479.09 | 27 | $12,935.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $488.71 | 27 | $13,195.17 | $13,272.88 |
+$259.88 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:55am ET | $485.69 | 27 | $13,113.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $483.19 | 27 | $13,046.00 | $13,205.25 |
$-67.63 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $482.74 | 27 | $13,033.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $486.46 | 27 | $13,134.42 | $13,305.82 |
+$100.57 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $483.82 | 27 | $13,063.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $487.22 | 27 | $13,154.94 | $13,397.62 |
+$91.80 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $490.99 | 27 | $13,256.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $490.35 | 27 | $13,239.32 | $13,380.21 |
$-17.41 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $494.13 | 27 | $13,341.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $486.58 | 27 | $13,137.66 | $13,176.36 |
$-203.85 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $489.11 | 26 | $12,716.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $492.22 | 26 | $12,797.72 | $13,257.22 |
+$80.86 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $490.38 | 27 | $13,240.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $489.99 | 27 | $13,229.73 | $13,246.69 |
$-10.53 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $493.86 | 26 | $12,840.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $500.15 | 26 | $13,003.90 | $13,410.23 |
+$163.54 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $504.08 | 26 | $13,106.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $504.08 | 26 | $13,106.08 | $13,410.23 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $493.71 | 27 | $13,330.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $494.34 | 27 | $13,347.18 | $13,427.24 |
+$17.01 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $490.27 | 27 | $13,237.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $484.37 | 27 | $13,077.99 | $13,267.94 |
$-159.30 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $480.26 | 27 | $12,967.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.74 | 27 | $12,709.98 | $13,010.90 |
$-257.04 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $477.42 | 27 | $12,890.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.30 | 27 | $12,698.10 | $12,818.66 |
$-192.24 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $473.91 | 27 | $12,795.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $459.63 | 27 | $12,410.01 | $12,433.10 |
$-385.56 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $458.52 | 27 | $12,380.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $466.59 | 27 | $12,597.93 | $12,650.99 |
+$217.89 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $461.75 | 27 | $12,467.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $456.00 | 27 | $12,312.00 | $12,495.74 |
$-155.25 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $464.87 | 26 | $12,086.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $464.54 | 26 | $12,078.04 | $12,487.16 |
$-8.58 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $463.40 | 26 | $12,048.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $478.92 | 26 | $12,451.92 | $12,890.68 |
+$403.52 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $478.15 | 26 | $12,431.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $484.56 | 26 | $12,598.56 | $13,057.34 |
+$166.66 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $483.40 | 27 | $13,051.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $493.70 | 27 | $13,329.77 | $13,335.31 |
+$277.97 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $493.24 | 27 | $13,317.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $491.62 | 27 | $13,273.74 | $13,291.57 |
$-43.74 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $492.29 | 26 | $12,799.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $493.62 | 26 | $12,834.12 | $13,326.15 |
+$34.58 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $490.29 | 27 | $13,237.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $500.90 | 27 | $13,524.30 | $13,612.62 |
+$286.47 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,612.62
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,612.62
Total Return:
+36.13%