Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.7/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 39.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.8

30-Day Momentum

53
+10.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.8 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,086
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,905.66
Current Value
$13,995.45
Period P&L
$1,089.82
Max Drawdown
-11.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
66
Winners / Losers
34 / 32
Best Trade
+4.04%
Worst Trade
-3.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,758,802.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,089.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,089.82
Gross Return
+8.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 66 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,905.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 11:15am ET $199.64 65 $12,976.60
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:15am ET $197.41 65 $12,831.65 $12,843.93 $-144.95
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 2:55pm ET $202.03 63 $12,727.89
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $209.25 63 $13,182.83 $13,298.86 +$454.94
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:50am ET $208.53 63 $13,137.39
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $207.21 63 $13,054.23 $13,215.70 $-83.16
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 10:55am ET $208.73 63 $13,149.98
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $201.70 63 $12,707.10 $12,772.82 $-442.88
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $201.25 63 $12,678.75
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 10:10am ET $205.45 63 $12,943.04 $13,037.10 +$264.29
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 10:10am ET $206.44 63 $13,005.72
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:10am ET $203.85 63 $12,842.55 $12,873.93 $-163.17
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 2:00pm ET $209.15 61 $12,758.15
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $212.86 61 $12,984.46 $13,100.24 +$226.31
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 10:55am ET $214.80 60 $12,888.00
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $210.49 60 $12,629.40 $12,841.64 $-258.60
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 10:25am ET $209.97 61 $12,807.87
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $208.29 61 $12,705.69 $12,739.47 $-102.18
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:50am ET $212.71 59 $12,549.60
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 10:40am ET $217.05 59 $12,805.83 $12,995.71 +$256.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 2:35pm ET $216.01 60 $12,960.30
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 12:20pm ET $220.51 60 $13,230.60 $13,266.01 +$270.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 2:30pm ET $220.44 60 $13,226.40
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 2:30pm ET $218.93 60 $13,135.50 $13,175.11 $-90.90
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 10:00am ET $222.43 59 $13,123.37
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:00am ET $221.98 59 $13,096.82 $13,148.56 $-26.55
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 10:25am ET $221.50 59 $13,068.50
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET $223.47 59 $13,184.73 $13,264.79 +$116.23
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $220.77 60 $13,246.20
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 10:05am ET $225.23 60 $13,513.50 $13,532.09 +$267.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 10:10am ET $224.69 60 $13,481.39
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 10:10am ET $224.64 60 $13,478.40 $13,529.09 $-2.99
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 11:10am ET $223.80 60 $13,428.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $215.43 60 $12,925.80 $13,026.89 $-502.20
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 1:50pm ET $218.50 59 $12,891.50
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $221.07 59 $13,043.13 $13,178.52 +$151.63
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:35am ET $223.45 58 $12,960.10
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET $228.30 58 $13,241.40 $13,459.82 +$281.30
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:40am ET $227.95 59 $13,448.76
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 9:40am ET $228.11 59 $13,458.49 $13,469.56 +$9.74
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET $224.97 59 $13,273.23
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $231.08 59 $13,633.72 $13,830.05 +$360.49
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:45am ET $233.97 59 $13,804.23
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $231.95 59 $13,685.05 $13,710.87 $-119.18
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 11:10am ET $233.84 58 $13,562.72
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET $239.24 58 $13,875.92 $14,024.07 +$313.20
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:40am ET $236.95 59 $13,979.76
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $239.06 59 $14,104.54 $14,148.85 +$124.79
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 9:35am ET $238.00 59 $14,041.71
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $243.61 59 $14,372.70 $14,479.85 +$331.00
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 3:20pm ET $244.59 59 $14,430.81
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 3:20pm ET $243.79 59 $14,383.61 $14,432.65 $-47.20
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 3:30pm ET $241.84 59 $14,268.27
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 3:30pm ET $241.44 59 $14,244.96 $14,409.34 $-23.31
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:45am ET $241.60 59 $14,254.40
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:35am ET $246.54 59 $14,545.86 $14,700.80 +$291.46
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:45am ET $247.33 59 $14,592.19
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $239.61 59 $14,136.99 $14,245.60 $-455.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 1:15pm ET $243.52 58 $14,124.16
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 1:45pm ET $248.45 58 $14,410.10 $14,531.54 +$285.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:50am ET $249.60 58 $14,476.80
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 11:10am ET $241.98 58 $14,034.84 $14,089.58 $-441.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 11:15am ET $247.18 57 $14,089.26
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $251.41 57 $14,330.37 $14,330.69 +$241.11
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:50am ET $248.44 57 $14,161.08
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $244.50 57 $13,936.50 $14,106.11 $-224.58
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET $243.18 58 $14,104.15
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $244.63 58 $14,188.54 $14,190.50 +$84.39
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $243.37 58 $14,115.46
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $234.21 58 $13,584.18 $13,659.22 $-531.28
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET $236.86 57 $13,501.02
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET $229.42 57 $13,076.94 $13,235.14 $-424.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $239.81 55 $13,189.55
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 12:30pm ET $244.82 55 $13,465.10 $13,510.69 +$275.55
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:25pm ET $247.45 54 $13,362.30
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:25pm ET $247.24 54 $13,350.96 $13,499.35 $-11.34
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 1:30pm ET $245.99 54 $13,283.45
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET $251.00 54 $13,554.00 $13,769.90 +$270.55
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:00am ET $251.75 54 $13,594.50
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 11:00am ET $251.28 54 $13,569.12 $13,744.52 $-25.38
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:50pm ET $257.65 53 $13,655.19
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 11:10am ET $249.85 53 $13,242.05 $13,331.38 $-413.13
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
42 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:35am ET $248.42 53 $13,166.26
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:55am ET $253.45 53 $13,432.59 $13,597.71 +$266.33
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
43 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $251.87 53 $13,349.11
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $251.10 53 $13,308.30 $13,556.90 $-40.81
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
44 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET $249.14 54 $13,453.56
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $250.14 54 $13,507.56 $13,610.90 +$54.00
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $252.01 54 $13,608.54
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:10am ET $257.35 54 $13,896.90 $13,899.26 +$288.36
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET $259.66 53 $13,761.98
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET $260.72 53 $13,818.16 $13,955.44 +$56.18
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $266.39 52 $13,852.50
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $262.06 52 $13,627.12 $13,730.06 $-225.38
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
48 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $267.34 51 $13,634.09
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $264.21 51 $13,474.46 $13,570.43 $-159.63
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
49 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $264.47 51 $13,487.97
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $260.05 51 $13,262.55 $13,345.01 $-225.42
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET $263.72 50 $13,186.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $255.77 50 $12,788.62 $12,947.62 $-397.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $267.32 48 $12,831.12
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $268.15 48 $12,871.20 $12,987.70 +$40.08
(+0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
1d held
52 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET $260.19 49 $12,749.31
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET $265.73 49 $13,021.01 $13,259.40 +$271.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
53 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $263.05 50 $13,152.50
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET $262.11 50 $13,105.50 $13,212.40 $-47.00
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
54 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $264.58 49 $12,964.42
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $262.88 49 $12,881.12 $13,129.10 $-83.30
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $259.47 50 $12,973.50
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 50 $12,560.50 $12,716.10 $-413.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $246.32 51 $12,562.32
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $252.75 51 $12,890.25 $13,044.03 +$327.93
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $253.32 51 $12,919.32
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $245.68 51 $12,529.68 $12,654.39 $-389.64
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $248.94 50 $12,447.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:10pm ET $241.40 50 $12,070.01 $12,277.39 $-377.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $249.36 49 $12,218.64
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $245.09 49 $12,009.41 $12,068.16 $-209.23
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
60 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET $244.24 49 $11,967.76
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $250.04 49 $12,251.96 $12,352.36 +$284.20
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $245.32 50 $12,266.00
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $250.96 50 $12,547.75 $12,634.11 +$281.75
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $251.78 50 $12,589.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $261.95 50 $13,097.50 $13,142.61 +$508.50
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $259.74 50 $12,987.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $265.02 50 $13,250.85 $13,406.46 +$263.85
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $268.51 49 $13,156.99
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $274.48 49 $13,449.52 $13,698.99 +$292.53
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $274.71 49 $13,460.84
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $277.20 49 $13,582.80 $13,820.95 +$121.96
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $275.47 50 $13,773.50
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $278.96 50 $13,948.00 $13,995.45 +$174.50
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,995.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,995.45
Total Return: +39.95%
Back to Rebel Contraire