Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:55

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 34.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 33.5

30-Day Momentum

2
-2.8%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,239
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
257 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,591.39
Current Value
$12,982.34
Period P&L
$390.92
Max Drawdown
-12.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
38 / 31
Best Trade
+4.63%
Worst Trade
-4.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,891,931.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$390.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$390.92
Gross Return
+3.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 257 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,591.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 1:05pm ET $535.45 23 $12,315.35
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $560.26 23 $12,885.98 $13,275.88 +$570.63
(+4.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 9:40am ET $556.73 23 $12,804.79
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 9:40am ET $554.04 23 $12,742.92 $13,214.01 $-61.87
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:05am ET $559.78 23 $12,874.83
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $570.22 23 $13,115.06 $13,454.24 +$240.24
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:55am ET $563.82 23 $12,967.75
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 2:25pm ET $546.55 23 $12,570.65 $13,057.15 $-397.10
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 3:40pm ET $552.88 23 $12,716.13
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET $555.06 23 $12,766.38 $13,107.40 +$50.25
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 10:00am ET $557.70 23 $12,826.99
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 12:45pm ET $568.93 23 $13,085.28 $13,365.69 +$258.29
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 1:15pm ET $567.61 23 $13,055.03
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:20am ET $579.05 23 $13,318.04 $13,628.70 +$263.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:20am ET $558.55 24 $13,405.20
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 10:20am ET $565.28 24 $13,566.72 $13,790.22 +$161.52
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 10:20am ET $569.71 24 $13,672.92
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 10:20am ET $577.65 24 $13,863.60 $13,980.90 +$190.68
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 11:25am ET $577.55 24 $13,861.08
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 9:50am ET $589.10 24 $14,138.40 $14,258.22 +$277.32
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 10:25am ET $581.79 24 $13,962.96
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 3:40pm ET $593.55 24 $14,245.20 $14,540.46 +$282.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:20am ET $598.65 24 $14,367.48
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 10:20am ET $593.88 24 $14,253.12 $14,426.10 $-114.36
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 10:35am ET $590.77 24 $14,178.36
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 10:35am ET $590.85 24 $14,180.40 $14,428.14 +$2.04
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 1:40pm ET $590.23 24 $14,165.40
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 1:40pm ET $589.06 24 $14,137.44 $14,400.18 $-27.96
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 3:05pm ET $585.17 24 $14,044.08
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $583.47 24 $14,003.16 $14,359.26 $-40.92
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 9:40am ET $580.11 24 $13,922.54
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 9:35am ET $592.34 24 $14,216.16 $14,652.88 +$293.62
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:40am ET $598.53 24 $14,364.60
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 10:30am ET $579.66 24 $13,911.72 $14,200.00 $-452.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $566.73 25 $14,168.25
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 12:55pm ET $566.74 25 $14,168.50 $14,200.25 +$0.25
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 12:55pm ET $566.71 25 $14,167.75
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 2:10pm ET $578.15 25 $14,453.63 $14,486.12 +$285.87
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 2:35pm ET $579.52 24 $13,908.36
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 2:35pm ET $578.71 24 $13,889.04 $14,466.80 $-19.32
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 2:35pm ET $565.24 25 $14,130.88
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 2:35pm ET $568.62 25 $14,215.50 $14,551.43 +$84.62
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 2:55pm ET $565.39 25 $14,134.63
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 2:15pm ET $548.17 25 $13,704.25 $14,121.05 $-430.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 2:30pm ET $561.56 25 $14,039.00
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:45am ET $572.93 25 $14,323.13 $14,405.18 +$284.13
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 11:55am ET $575.76 25 $14,394.00
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 11:55am ET $572.30 25 $14,307.50 $14,318.68 $-86.50
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 11:55am ET $568.45 25 $14,211.25
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $549.26 25 $13,731.38 $13,838.80 $-479.88
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET $547.05 25 $13,676.13
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $553.28 25 $13,832.00 $13,994.68 +$155.88
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
27 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:05am ET $549.54 25 $13,738.52
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $563.14 25 $14,078.38 $14,334.54 +$339.86
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:30am ET $560.42 25 $14,010.59
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET $542.56 25 $13,564.00 $13,887.95 $-446.59
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:45am ET $527.70 26 $13,720.20
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:15am ET $540.03 26 $14,040.65 $14,208.40 +$320.45
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:25am ET $541.77 26 $14,085.89
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $546.28 26 $14,203.28 $14,325.79 +$117.39
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
31 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:25am ET $552.31 25 $13,807.75
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $544.58 25 $13,614.50 $14,132.54 $-193.25
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
32 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:30am ET $540.29 26 $14,047.54
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:35am ET $551.27 26 $14,332.90 $14,417.90 +$285.36
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
33 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 12:50pm ET $572.45 25 $14,311.25
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:50pm ET $569.92 25 $14,248.00 $14,354.65 $-63.25
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
34 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:20pm ET $565.82 25 $14,145.50
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $577.28 25 $14,432.00 $14,641.15 +$286.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:15am ET $577.94 25 $14,448.38
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $579.98 25 $14,499.50 $14,692.28 +$51.13
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $575.56 25 $14,389.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $565.82 25 $14,145.44 $14,448.72 $-243.56
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
37 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:05am ET $577.35 25 $14,433.75
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:45am ET $589.26 25 $14,731.45 $14,746.41 +$297.69
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
38 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:50am ET $578.35 25 $14,458.75
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $556.93 25 $13,923.25 $14,210.91 $-535.51
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $546.59 25 $13,664.75
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $532.15 25 $13,303.75 $13,849.91 $-361.00
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
40 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET $533.44 25 $13,336.00
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:30am ET $525.33 25 $13,133.25 $13,647.16 $-202.75
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET $524.79 26 $13,644.54
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:35am ET $535.33 26 $13,918.58 $13,921.20 +$274.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $536.54 25 $13,413.50
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $548.97 25 $13,724.25 $14,231.94 +$310.75
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $554.15 25 $13,853.75
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $544.60 25 $13,615.00 $13,993.19 $-238.75
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:15am ET $545.28 25 $13,632.12
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $541.71 25 $13,542.75 $13,903.82 $-89.37
(-0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $521.44 26 $13,557.44
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $520.20 26 $13,525.20 $13,871.58 $-32.24
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET $492.04 28 $13,777.12
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $504.14 28 $14,115.92 $14,210.38 +$338.80
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $514.47 27 $13,890.56
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $524.87 27 $14,171.49 $14,491.31 +$280.93
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $524.23 27 $14,154.21
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $516.90 27 $13,956.30 $14,293.40 $-197.91
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $514.46 27 $13,890.42
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $498.52 27 $13,460.04 $13,863.02 $-430.38
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $497.02 27 $13,419.54
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $507.18 27 $13,693.99 $14,137.48 +$274.46
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $507.74 27 $13,708.98
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:50am ET $491.98 27 $13,283.46 $13,711.96 $-425.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET $489.85 27 $13,225.95
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $503.47 27 $13,593.69 $14,079.70 +$367.74
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $497.10 28 $13,918.66
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $481.73 28 $13,488.44 $13,649.48 $-430.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $493.28 27 $13,318.56
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $493.80 27 $13,332.60 $13,663.52 +$14.04
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $499.06 27 $13,474.62
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:40am ET $509.49 27 $13,756.36 $13,945.26 +$281.74
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $499.78 27 $13,494.06
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $512.38 27 $13,834.26 $14,285.46 +$340.20
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET $515.80 27 $13,926.73
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $526.33 27 $14,210.91 $14,569.64 +$284.18
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $516.12 28 $14,451.36
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:40am ET $500.55 28 $14,015.40 $14,133.68 $-435.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $504.89 27 $13,632.03
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $515.91 27 $13,929.57 $14,431.22 +$297.54
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $529.40 27 $14,293.80
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $504.07 27 $13,609.89 $13,747.31 $-683.91
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
61 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:45am ET $502.21 27 $13,559.67
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:45am ET $496.60 27 $13,408.20 $13,595.84 $-151.47
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
62 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:55am ET $499.80 27 $13,494.60
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:55am ET $501.68 27 $13,545.49 $13,646.74 +$50.90
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
63 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:25am ET $494.46 27 $13,350.42
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:25am ET $499.00 27 $13,473.00 $13,769.32 +$122.58
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
64 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $506.75 27 $13,682.18
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 10:30am ET $491.52 27 $13,271.04 $13,358.18 $-411.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
65 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $498.76 26 $12,967.73
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $493.67 26 $12,835.52 $13,225.97 $-132.21
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
66 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $494.17 26 $12,848.29
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $492.78 26 $12,812.28 $13,189.96 $-36.01
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $480.79 27 $12,981.33
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:15am ET $465.57 27 $12,570.39 $12,779.02 $-410.94
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:25am ET $485.50 26 $12,623.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:25am ET $490.22 26 $12,745.72 $12,901.74 +$122.72
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:25am ET $488.78 26 $12,708.28
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:25am ET $491.88 26 $12,788.88 $12,982.34 +$80.60
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,982.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,982.34
Total Return: +29.82%
Back to Rebel Contraire