Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 19.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.6

30-Day Momentum

1
-4.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,670
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,339.67
Current Value
$10,754.23
Period P&L
$-585.50
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
59
Winners / Losers
27 / 32
Best Trade
+3.58%
Worst Trade
-3.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,266,237.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-585.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-585.50
Gross Return
-5.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 59 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,339.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $313.85 35 $10,984.75
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $307.43 35 $10,760.05 $10,984.42 $-224.70
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:50am ET $310.00 35 $10,850.00
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 12:00pm ET $316.30 35 $11,070.50 $11,204.92 +$220.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 1:20pm ET $320.83 34 $10,908.05
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $314.14 34 $10,680.76 $10,977.63 $-227.29
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.8d held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 10:10am ET $314.63 34 $10,697.25
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:10am ET $310.21 34 $10,547.14 $10,827.53 $-150.11
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:30am ET $309.25 35 $10,823.75
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $301.14 35 $10,540.03 $10,543.81 $-283.72
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $301.63 34 $10,255.42
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $302.36 34 $10,280.24 $10,568.63 +$24.82
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 11:50am ET $294.62 35 $10,311.70
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 3:25pm ET $285.68 35 $9,998.80 $10,255.73 $-312.90
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 3:40pm ET $288.34 35 $10,091.90
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET $292.87 35 $10,250.45 $10,414.28 +$158.55
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 9:55am ET $293.29 35 $10,265.15
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 12:00pm ET $299.38 35 $10,478.21 $10,627.34 +$213.06
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 12:00pm ET $293.94 36 $10,581.84
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 12:00pm ET $294.69 36 $10,608.66 $10,654.16 +$26.82
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 1:45pm ET $290.59 36 $10,461.24
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 9:40am ET $296.80 36 $10,684.80 $10,877.72 +$223.56
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 11:00am ET $300.04 36 $10,801.44
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 11:00am ET $297.95 36 $10,726.21 $10,802.50 $-75.23
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 12:05pm ET $299.23 36 $10,772.28
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 12:05pm ET $296.41 36 $10,670.76 $10,700.98 $-101.52
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 1:10pm ET $297.59 35 $10,415.48
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 1:10pm ET $296.85 35 $10,389.75 $10,675.25 $-25.72
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 1:45pm ET $300.80 35 $10,527.83
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $303.69 35 $10,628.98 $10,776.40 +$101.15
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $304.00 35 $10,640.00
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 3:00pm ET $310.33 35 $10,861.55 $10,997.95 +$221.55
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 11:00am ET $305.43 36 $10,995.30
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 11:00am ET $302.75 36 $10,899.00 $10,901.65 $-96.30
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $308.61 35 $10,801.18
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $310.19 35 $10,856.65 $10,957.13 +$55.47
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 10:45am ET $311.50 35 $10,902.50
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 10:45am ET $312.95 35 $10,953.25 $11,007.88 +$50.75
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 11:15am ET $313.58 35 $10,975.30
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $313.84 35 $10,984.40 $11,016.98 +$9.10
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:40am ET $313.97 35 $10,988.78
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 9:40am ET $311.50 35 $10,902.59 $10,930.79 $-86.19
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 11:50am ET $312.05 35 $10,921.75
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $305.14 35 $10,679.81 $10,688.85 $-241.94
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 10:05am ET $303.36 35 $10,617.55
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET $302.34 35 $10,581.90 $10,653.21 $-35.65
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:05am ET $303.25 35 $10,613.75
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $304.05 35 $10,641.69 $10,681.15 +$27.94
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:20am ET $302.76 35 $10,596.60
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $297.87 35 $10,425.45 $10,510.00 $-171.15
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET $295.72 35 $10,350.20
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $297.10 35 $10,398.50 $10,558.30 +$48.30
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 9:55am ET $307.35 34 $10,449.90
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:55am ET $307.08 34 $10,440.72 $10,549.12 $-9.18
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 10:20am ET $307.01 34 $10,438.34
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $306.09 34 $10,407.06 $10,517.84 $-31.28
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:40am ET $308.38 34 $10,484.92
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:45am ET $298.53 34 $10,150.02 $10,182.94 $-334.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET $295.62 34 $10,051.08
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $306.19 34 $10,410.46 $10,542.32 +$359.38
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $303.51 34 $10,319.34
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $302.75 34 $10,293.50 $10,516.48 $-25.84
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $306.54 34 $10,422.36
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET $305.43 34 $10,384.45 $10,478.57 $-37.91
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:15am ET $306.46 34 $10,419.64
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $308.00 34 $10,472.00 $10,530.93 +$52.36
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:55am ET $309.00 34 $10,506.00
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $308.75 34 $10,497.50 $10,522.43 $-8.50
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $301.98 34 $10,267.32
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:45pm ET $308.07 34 $10,474.26 $10,729.37 +$206.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 1:45pm ET $308.44 34 $10,486.79
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:45pm ET $309.54 34 $10,524.36 $10,766.94 +$37.57
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:45pm ET $308.66 34 $10,494.44
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:35am ET $314.86 34 $10,705.24 $10,977.74 +$210.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:45am ET $317.22 34 $10,785.48
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $314.57 34 $10,695.55 $10,887.80 $-89.93
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:15am ET $312.81 34 $10,635.54
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $309.51 34 $10,523.17 $10,775.43 $-112.37
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:25pm ET $308.13 34 $10,476.42
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $301.21 34 $10,241.14 $10,540.15 $-235.28
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $299.53 35 $10,483.38
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $305.99 35 $10,709.71 $10,766.48 +$226.33
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $308.37 34 $10,484.58
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:05pm ET $307.77 34 $10,464.18 $10,746.08 $-20.40
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $304.96 35 $10,673.60
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $305.69 35 $10,699.15 $10,771.63 +$25.55
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:55am ET $304.03 35 $10,641.05
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $313.39 35 $10,968.48 $11,099.06 +$327.43
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $313.45 35 $10,970.75
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $318.99 35 $11,164.56 $11,292.87 +$193.81
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET $321.55 35 $11,254.08
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $326.64 35 $11,432.40 $11,471.20 +$178.33
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $325.28 35 $11,384.80
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $325.11 35 $11,378.85 $11,465.25 $-5.95
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.1h held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $327.62 34 $11,139.08
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $330.25 34 $11,228.50 $11,554.67 +$89.42
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET $334.45 34 $11,371.13
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $341.28 34 $11,603.52 $11,787.06 +$232.39
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $330.05 35 $11,551.75
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $325.90 35 $11,406.67 $11,641.99 $-145.07
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $328.29 35 $11,490.15
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $328.28 35 $11,489.80 $11,641.64 $-0.35
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET $329.26 35 $11,524.04
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:40am ET $319.30 35 $11,175.33 $11,292.92 $-348.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:45am ET $312.74 36 $11,258.64
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:45am ET $309.61 36 $11,145.96 $11,180.24 $-112.68
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $311.86 35 $10,915.10
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $309.59 35 $10,835.65 $11,100.79 $-79.45
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $305.11 36 $10,983.78
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET $307.99 36 $11,087.64 $11,204.65 +$103.86
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:30am ET $307.84 36 $11,082.24
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $304.39 36 $10,958.22 $11,080.63 $-124.02
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:50am ET $302.08 36 $10,874.88
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $308.57 36 $11,108.52 $11,314.27 +$233.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET $308.47 36 $11,104.80
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $297.54 36 $10,711.26 $10,920.73 $-393.54
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $291.08 37 $10,769.96
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $286.58 37 $10,603.46 $10,754.23 $-166.50
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,754.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$754.23
Total Return: +7.54%
Back to Rebel Contraire