Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:28:05

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 25.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 25.0

30-Day Momentum

19
+1.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.9 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
37,199
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,701.60
Current Value
$11,357.81
Period P&L
$1,656.18
Max Drawdown
-24.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
39 / 23
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,221,451.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,656.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,656.18
Gross Return
+17.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,701.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 10:40am ET $532.15 18 $9,578.70
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $524.77 18 $9,445.77 $9,654.74 $-132.93
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 2:50pm ET $539.98 17 $9,179.66
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET $550.14 17 $9,352.38 $9,827.46 +$172.72
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:05am ET $549.64 17 $9,343.88
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $553.13 17 $9,403.20 $9,886.78 +$59.32
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:50am ET $551.61 17 $9,377.37
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $553.84 17 $9,415.28 $9,924.69 +$37.91
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 10:25am ET $559.75 17 $9,515.75
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET $563.14 17 $9,573.38 $9,982.32 +$57.63
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET $562.96 17 $9,570.32
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $568.25 17 $9,660.25 $10,072.25 +$89.93
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 9:50am ET $570.58 17 $9,699.78
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET $553.38 17 $9,407.46 $9,779.93 $-292.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 10:40am ET $562.11 17 $9,555.92
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 10:05am ET $573.41 17 $9,747.97 $9,971.98 +$192.05
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 10:30am ET $575.44 17 $9,782.48
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET $577.56 17 $9,818.44 $10,007.94 +$35.95
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:20am ET $574.66 17 $9,769.22
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $569.77 17 $9,686.09 $9,924.81 $-83.13
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 12:45pm ET $571.27 17 $9,711.59
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $560.91 17 $9,535.47 $9,748.69 $-176.12
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 11:00am ET $571.31 17 $9,712.27
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 11:00am ET $580.22 17 $9,863.74 $9,900.16 +$151.47
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 11:40am ET $577.87 17 $9,823.79
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $589.01 17 $10,013.17 $10,089.54 +$189.38
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 11:30am ET $590.84 17 $10,044.28
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET $598.61 17 $10,176.37 $10,221.63 +$132.09
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 9:30am ET $602.15 16 $9,634.40
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $599.63 16 $9,594.05 $10,181.27 $-40.35
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 11:15am ET $598.03 17 $10,166.51
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $607.19 17 $10,322.23 $10,336.99 +$155.72
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 10:00am ET $608.63 16 $9,738.08
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $590.09 16 $9,441.44 $10,040.35 $-296.64
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET $592.18 16 $9,474.88
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:55am ET $604.29 16 $9,668.64 $10,234.11 +$193.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 10:55am ET $606.59 16 $9,705.42
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:55am ET $611.60 16 $9,785.60 $10,314.29 +$80.18
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 11:15am ET $607.30 16 $9,716.80
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $624.69 16 $9,995.02 $10,592.51 +$278.22
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 10:25am ET $630.19 16 $10,083.04
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $635.06 16 $10,160.96 $10,670.43 +$77.92
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET $624.82 17 $10,621.94
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $603.87 17 $10,265.79 $10,314.28 $-356.15
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:45am ET $620.57 16 $9,929.12
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $597.61 16 $9,561.76 $9,946.92 $-367.36
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
24 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET $608.30 16 $9,732.72
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:45pm ET $589.97 16 $9,439.52 $9,653.72 $-293.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 2:50pm ET $593.50 16 $9,496.00
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 1:10pm ET $605.51 16 $9,688.17 $9,845.89 +$192.17
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 2:05pm ET $607.22 16 $9,715.44
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $614.68 16 $9,834.88 $9,965.33 +$119.44
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:50am ET $621.31 16 $9,940.93
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $628.10 16 $10,049.52 $10,073.92 +$108.59
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
28 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:15am ET $623.45 16 $9,975.20
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $616.19 16 $9,859.04 $9,957.76 $-116.16
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
29 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $609.52 16 $9,752.37
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $619.58 16 $9,913.20 $10,118.59 +$160.83
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
30 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $618.01 16 $9,888.16
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $620.45 16 $9,927.20 $10,157.63 +$39.04
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
31 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET $619.77 16 $9,916.32
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $617.98 16 $9,887.68 $10,128.99 $-28.64
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $621.29 16 $9,940.64
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $624.95 16 $9,999.18 $10,187.53 +$58.54
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $627.40 16 $10,038.40
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $613.05 16 $9,808.80 $9,957.93 $-229.60
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $615.69 16 $9,851.04
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET $626.54 16 $10,024.57 $10,131.46 +$173.53
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $631.14 16 $10,098.24
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $621.00 16 $9,936.00 $9,969.22 $-162.24
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $620.46 16 $9,927.36
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $601.25 16 $9,620.00 $9,661.86 $-307.36
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $600.55 16 $9,608.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET $613.10 16 $9,809.60 $9,862.66 +$200.80
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:55am ET $615.27 16 $9,844.32
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $615.03 16 $9,840.56 $9,858.90 $-3.76
(-0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.7h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $598.12 16 $9,569.92
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $606.49 16 $9,703.84 $9,992.82 +$133.92
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $603.83 16 $9,661.28
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $615.97 16 $9,855.44 $10,186.98 +$194.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $608.15 16 $9,730.40
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $602.18 16 $9,634.88 $10,091.46 $-95.52
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $611.17 16 $9,778.72
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $592.67 16 $9,482.72 $9,795.46 $-296.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $606.94 16 $9,711.04
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $600.03 16 $9,600.48 $9,684.90 $-110.56
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $605.21 16 $9,683.36
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $586.58 16 $9,385.28 $9,386.82 $-298.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET $593.39 15 $8,900.85
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $575.26 15 $8,628.90 $9,114.87 $-271.95
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $562.66 16 $9,002.56
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:00pm ET $574.09 16 $9,185.44 $9,297.75 +$182.88
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $587.49 15 $8,812.42
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $586.83 15 $8,802.45 $9,287.78 $-9.97
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $584.05 15 $8,760.75
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $609.17 15 $9,137.55 $9,664.58 +$376.80
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $604.41 15 $9,066.15
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $617.21 15 $9,258.15 $9,856.58 +$192.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $633.17 15 $9,497.52
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET $645.88 15 $9,688.19 $10,047.24 +$190.66
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET $644.40 15 $9,666.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $658.27 15 $9,874.05 $10,255.29 +$208.05
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $661.08 15 $9,916.20
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $674.58 15 $10,118.70 $10,457.79 +$202.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
53 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $674.61 15 $10,119.15
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $689.07 15 $10,336.05 $10,674.69 +$216.90
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
54 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:50am ET $698.69 15 $10,480.35
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $712.82 15 $10,692.30 $10,886.64 +$211.95
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
55 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:30am ET $704.63 15 $10,569.45
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:45am ET $719.31 15 $10,789.64 $11,106.83 +$220.19
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
56 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:50am ET $709.21 15 $10,638.15
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:50am ET $711.92 15 $10,678.80 $11,147.48 +$40.65
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
57 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $715.02 15 $10,725.30
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:20am ET $729.35 15 $10,940.25 $11,362.43 +$214.95
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
58 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:05am ET $726.67 15 $10,900.05
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET $739.54 15 $11,093.10 $11,555.48 +$193.05
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $745.27 15 $11,179.10
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $722.58 15 $10,838.70 $11,215.08 $-340.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $719.87 15 $10,798.05
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $698.12 15 $10,471.80 $10,888.83 $-326.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $699.38 15 $10,490.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $714.10 15 $10,711.50 $11,109.63 +$220.80
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:30pm ET $721.48 15 $10,822.27
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $738.03 15 $11,070.45 $11,357.81 +$248.18
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,357.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,357.81
Total Return: +13.58%
Back to Rebel Contraire