Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 19.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.4%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,131
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
7 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-05-19 (34 candles), 2025-06-09 (38 candles), 2025-07-03 (24 candles), 2025-09-16 (36 candles), 2025-10-21 (28 candles), 2025-10-28 (38 candles), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,763.59
Current Value
$10,533.30
Period P&L
$-1,230.29
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
67
Winners / Losers
36 / 31
Best Trade
+5.16%
Worst Trade
-8.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,338,320.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,230.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,230.29
Gross Return
-10.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 67 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,763.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 2:40pm ET $88.96 132 $11,742.72
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 10:10am ET $81.20 132 $10,718.40 $10,739.27 $-1,024.32
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 10:15am ET $76.72 139 $10,664.08
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 10:20am ET $80.02 139 $11,122.78 $11,197.97 +$458.70
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 9:45am ET $77.68 144 $11,185.92
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $75.24 144 $10,834.62 $10,846.66 $-351.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 3:25pm ET $75.48 143 $10,793.93
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 11:20am ET $77.60 143 $11,096.80 $11,149.54 +$302.87
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 2:15pm ET $73.40 151 $11,083.40
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:15am ET $75.08 151 $11,337.08 $11,403.22 +$253.68
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 10:25am ET $75.96 150 $11,393.94
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 2:00pm ET $73.52 150 $11,027.70 $11,036.98 $-366.24
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 9:40am ET $68.56 160 $10,969.02
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 10:30am ET $66.92 160 $10,707.20 $10,775.15 $-261.82
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 11:00am ET $65.04 165 $10,731.60
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 11:10am ET $65.48 165 $10,804.20 $10,847.75 +$72.60
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $63.44 170 $10,784.80
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:55am ET $64.88 170 $11,029.53 $11,092.48 +$244.73
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:20am ET $61.42 180 $11,055.60
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:30pm ET $62.68 180 $11,282.40 $11,319.28 +$226.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 2:10pm ET $63.28 178 $11,263.84
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 3:00pm ET $62.28 178 $11,085.84 $11,141.28 $-178.00
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 3:10pm ET $62.00 179 $11,098.00
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:35am ET $60.10 179 $10,758.54 $10,801.83 $-339.46
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 1:25pm ET $62.32 173 $10,781.36
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 9:50am ET $60.36 173 $10,442.28 $10,462.75 $-339.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $58.16 179 $10,410.71
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:40am ET $56.64 179 $10,138.49 $10,190.53 $-272.22
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 11:50am ET $55.76 182 $10,148.32
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 11:55am ET $55.37 182 $10,076.90 $10,119.11 $-71.42
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 2:20pm ET $54.64 185 $10,108.40
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:35am ET $53.00 185 $9,804.93 $9,815.64 $-303.47
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:35am ET $52.49 187 $9,815.33
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:15am ET $54.44 187 $10,180.28 $10,180.58 +$364.95
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 2:55pm ET $55.44 183 $10,145.59
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $53.56 183 $9,801.48 $9,836.47 $-344.11
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 12:50pm ET $49.64 198 $9,828.80
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 11:25am ET $50.70 198 $10,038.12 $10,045.80 +$209.33
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 11:50am ET $52.92 189 $10,001.88
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:40am ET $50.88 189 $9,616.32 $9,660.24 $-385.56
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:00pm ET $52.76 183 $9,654.93
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $54.86 183 $10,039.09 $10,044.39 +$384.15
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:50pm ET $57.93 173 $10,021.89
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $55.12 173 $9,535.76 $9,558.26 $-486.13
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 1:45pm ET $53.49 178 $9,521.22
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $50.79 178 $9,040.62 $9,077.66 $-480.60
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:55am ET $50.60 179 $9,057.60
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $50.71 179 $9,077.09 $9,097.15 +$19.49
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
25 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:30pm ET $50.63 179 $9,063.29
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:15am ET $49.04 179 $8,778.16 $8,812.02 $-285.13
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
26 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 2:50pm ET $50.90 173 $8,805.70
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:20am ET $52.00 173 $8,996.00 $9,002.32 +$190.30
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 12:15pm ET $52.76 170 $8,969.20
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET $51.11 170 $8,688.70 $8,721.82 $-280.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:50am ET $50.10 174 $8,717.40
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $48.25 174 $8,395.94 $8,400.36 $-321.47
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
29 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:25pm ET $47.92 175 $8,386.56
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:40am ET $48.89 175 $8,555.77 $8,569.57 +$169.21
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:50am ET $48.84 175 $8,547.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET $49.89 175 $8,730.75 $8,753.32 +$183.75
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $48.37 180 $8,706.60
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $47.76 180 $8,596.80 $8,643.52 $-109.80
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET $47.53 181 $8,602.93
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $48.53 181 $8,783.93 $8,824.52 +$181.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:10am ET $47.37 186 $8,810.82
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $49.82 186 $9,265.68 $9,279.38 +$454.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $50.33 184 $9,259.87
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $48.71 184 $8,962.64 $8,982.15 $-297.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $48.41 185 $8,955.85
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET $46.95 185 $8,685.90 $8,712.19 $-269.95
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $47.23 184 $8,690.32
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $48.18 184 $8,865.12 $8,886.99 +$174.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET $47.61 186 $8,855.46
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $48.69 186 $9,056.34 $9,087.87 +$200.88
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $46.96 193 $9,062.76
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET $47.95 193 $9,254.35 $9,279.47 +$191.59
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $49.03 189 $9,266.67
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $50.33 189 $9,512.39 $9,525.19 +$245.72
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $49.69 191 $9,490.79
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $48.12 191 $9,190.92 $9,225.32 $-299.87
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $47.28 195 $9,219.60
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $47.23 195 $9,209.85 $9,215.57 $-9.75
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
20.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET $50.83 181 $9,200.23
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:00am ET $49.15 181 $8,897.05 $8,912.39 $-303.18
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:15am ET $49.46 180 $8,902.80
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $50.53 180 $9,094.50 $9,104.09 +$191.70
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET $48.31 188 $9,082.30
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $49.41 188 $9,289.08 $9,310.87 +$206.78
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:45am ET $49.36 188 $9,279.68
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $50.94 188 $9,576.72 $9,607.91 +$297.04
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET $52.24 183 $9,559.96
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $50.60 183 $9,259.75 $9,307.70 $-300.21
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $49.25 188 $9,259.02
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $50.24 188 $9,445.12 $9,493.80 +$186.10
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:00am ET $52.48 180 $9,446.40
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $53.73 180 $9,671.40 $9,718.80 +$225.00
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:20am ET $51.51 188 $9,684.82
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $52.87 188 $9,939.56 $9,973.54 +$254.74
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET $52.93 188 $9,950.84
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $54.14 188 $10,178.32 $10,201.02 +$227.48
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:20am ET $53.09 192 $10,193.70
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $54.26 192 $10,418.88 $10,426.20 +$225.18
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $55.83 186 $10,384.38
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $57.10 186 $10,620.62 $10,662.44 +$236.24
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:15am ET $54.83 194 $10,636.05
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $55.94 194 $10,851.39 $10,877.78 +$215.34
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $56.67 191 $10,823.97
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $54.67 191 $10,441.97 $10,495.78 $-382.00
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $56.23 186 $10,458.78
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $57.36 186 $10,668.96 $10,705.96 +$210.18
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $59.93 178 $10,667.54
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $61.22 178 $10,897.14 $10,935.56 +$229.60
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $62.39 175 $10,918.25
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $59.95 175 $10,491.25 $10,508.56 $-427.00
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $55.53 189 $10,495.17
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $57.63 189 $10,892.07 $10,905.46 +$396.90
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.22 197 $10,878.34
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $56.47 197 $11,124.59 $11,151.71 +$246.25
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:55am ET $50.68 220 $11,149.60
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:55am ET $49.76 220 $10,948.30 $10,950.41 $-201.30
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $46.74 234 $10,936.57
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $45.27 234 $10,593.18 $10,607.02 $-343.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $44.13 240 $10,592.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $43.79 240 $10,509.60 $10,524.22 $-82.80
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:25am ET $43.44 242 $10,512.48
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $44.33 242 $10,726.65 $10,738.39 +$214.17
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $42.98 249 $10,702.04
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $43.85 249 $10,918.65 $10,955.00 +$216.61
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.58 257 $10,941.78
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $41.21 257 $10,590.97 $10,604.19 $-350.81
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
66 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:20am ET $41.67 254 $10,584.18
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $42.68 254 $10,840.72 $10,860.73 +$256.54
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
67 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $41.29 263 $10,860.58
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $40.05 263 $10,533.15 $10,533.30 $-327.43
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,533.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$533.30
Total Return: +5.33%
Back to Rebel Contraire