Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:59:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.7/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 53.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 53.0

30-Day Momentum

51
+9.5%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.1 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,623
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,037.00
Current Value
$14,902.64
Period P&L
$2,865.67
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
37 / 21
Best Trade
+3.49%
Worst Trade
-3.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,520,120.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,865.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,865.67
Gross Return
+23.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,037.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 9:50am ET $563.45 21 $11,832.45
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 9:50am ET $560.62 21 $11,773.02 $12,002.54 $-59.43
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 10:55am ET $562.60 21 $11,814.60
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $579.23 21 $12,163.83 $12,351.77 +$349.23
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 11:50am ET $587.52 21 $12,337.82
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $589.21 21 $12,373.41 $12,387.36 +$35.60
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 10:55am ET $592.97 20 $11,859.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $585.08 20 $11,701.60 $12,229.56 $-157.80
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 9:50am ET $591.12 20 $11,822.40
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET $587.22 20 $11,744.40 $12,151.56 $-78.00
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 9:55am ET $592.40 20 $11,847.90
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $598.63 20 $11,972.68 $12,276.34 +$124.78
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $601.84 20 $12,036.80
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $601.53 20 $12,030.60 $12,270.14 $-6.20
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 10:40am ET $600.61 20 $12,012.20
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $594.02 20 $11,880.40 $12,138.34 $-131.80
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:55am ET $604.05 20 $12,081.00
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 12:10pm ET $616.17 20 $12,323.30 $12,380.64 +$242.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 12:20pm ET $616.23 20 $12,324.60
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $623.23 20 $12,464.53 $12,520.57 +$139.93
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:00am ET $620.53 20 $12,410.60
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $622.78 20 $12,455.60 $12,565.57 +$45.00
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 9:45am ET $625.96 20 $12,519.18
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET $629.10 20 $12,582.00 $12,628.39 +$62.82
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $626.53 20 $12,530.60
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $637.57 20 $12,751.30 $12,849.09 +$220.70
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:30am ET $637.50 20 $12,750.00
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $626.89 20 $12,537.80 $12,636.89 $-212.20
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:20am ET $629.54 20 $12,590.70
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $637.07 20 $12,741.40 $12,787.59 +$150.70
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 1:05pm ET $641.51 19 $12,188.69
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET $643.40 19 $12,224.60 $12,823.50 +$35.91
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:45am ET $641.90 19 $12,196.01
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $643.75 19 $12,231.16 $12,858.65 +$35.15
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 10:35am ET $642.69 20 $12,853.70
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $636.39 20 $12,727.80 $12,732.75 $-125.90
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:55am ET $641.94 19 $12,196.86
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 9:55am ET $648.37 19 $12,319.03 $12,854.92 +$122.17
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 10:25am ET $648.76 19 $12,326.35
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $659.82 19 $12,536.58 $13,065.16 +$210.24
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 10:00am ET $660.02 19 $12,540.29
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET $662.65 19 $12,590.35 $13,115.22 +$50.06
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 11:05am ET $666.20 19 $12,657.71
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $664.29 19 $12,621.51 $13,079.03 $-36.20
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET $662.61 19 $12,589.59
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $671.00 19 $12,749.00 $13,238.44 +$159.41
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:45am ET $672.33 19 $12,774.27
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $660.71 19 $12,553.49 $13,017.66 $-220.78
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET $655.25 19 $12,449.75
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:00am ET $668.96 19 $12,710.15 $13,278.05 +$260.40
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 10:05am ET $666.22 19 $12,658.18
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:05am ET $670.56 19 $12,740.64 $13,360.51 +$82.46
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:30am ET $669.36 19 $12,717.84
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:35am ET $682.84 19 $12,973.87 $13,616.54 +$256.03
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:45am ET $685.67 19 $13,027.64
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $684.70 19 $13,009.30 $13,598.20 $-18.33
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET $678.40 20 $13,568.00
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $677.80 20 $13,556.00 $13,586.21 $-12.00
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $680.07 19 $12,921.24
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $671.14 19 $12,751.66 $13,416.63 $-169.58
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET $659.79 20 $13,195.80
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $673.33 20 $13,466.60 $13,687.43 +$270.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $651.43 21 $13,680.03
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $665.03 21 $13,965.54 $13,972.94 +$285.51
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $664.96 21 $13,964.16
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $678.29 21 $14,243.99 $14,252.77 +$279.82
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET $681.23 20 $13,624.60
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $682.20 20 $13,644.00 $14,272.17 +$19.40
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:50am ET $683.41 20 $13,668.20
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET $684.28 20 $13,685.60 $14,289.57 +$17.40
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:00am ET $681.92 20 $13,638.40
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:00am ET $681.03 20 $13,620.60 $14,271.77 $-17.80
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 11:10am ET $677.74 21 $14,232.54
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $683.67 21 $14,357.07 $14,396.30 +$124.53
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $684.55 21 $14,375.55
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $688.06 21 $14,449.26 $14,470.01 +$73.71
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET $686.92 21 $14,425.32
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $687.06 21 $14,428.26 $14,472.95 +$2.94
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
40 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $689.79 20 $13,795.80
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $691.88 20 $13,837.60 $14,514.75 +$41.80
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $694.81 20 $13,896.20
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $682.65 20 $13,653.00 $14,271.55 $-243.20
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $684.15 20 $13,683.00
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET $692.85 20 $13,857.00 $14,445.55 +$174.00
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $695.67 20 $13,913.40
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $691.23 20 $13,824.60 $14,356.75 $-88.80
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $692.89 20 $13,857.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $689.87 20 $13,797.40 $14,296.34 $-60.40
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $693.94 20 $13,878.80
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $695.07 20 $13,901.30 $14,318.84 +$22.50
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.8h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $680.08 21 $14,281.58
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $688.58 21 $14,460.18 $14,497.45 +$178.61
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $682.99 21 $14,342.77
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $679.06 21 $14,260.28 $14,414.96 $-82.49
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $674.33 21 $14,160.93
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $666.94 21 $14,005.74 $14,259.77 $-155.19
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET $676.93 21 $14,215.53
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $668.35 21 $14,035.35 $14,079.59 $-180.18
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $673.66 20 $13,473.10
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $652.99 20 $13,059.80 $13,666.29 $-413.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:45am ET $660.15 20 $13,203.00
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $640.16 20 $12,803.20 $13,266.49 $-399.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $635.93 20 $12,718.60
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:55pm ET $648.85 20 $12,977.00 $13,524.89 +$258.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $654.30 20 $13,086.00
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $658.35 20 $13,167.00 $13,605.89 +$81.00
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $653.84 20 $13,076.80
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $676.68 20 $13,533.70 $14,062.79 +$456.90
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $674.77 20 $13,495.40
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $688.69 20 $13,773.80 $14,341.19 +$278.40
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $696.87 20 $13,937.40
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:45am ET $710.84 20 $14,216.80 $14,620.59 +$279.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET $708.06 20 $14,161.20
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $713.14 20 $14,262.80 $14,722.19 +$101.60
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $711.09 20 $14,221.75
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $720.11 20 $14,402.20 $14,902.64 +$180.45
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,902.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,902.64
Total Return: +49.03%
Back to Rebel Contraire