TLT Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-02-14 to present • 56 trades in period
-6.92%
Last Year Return
$9,209.36
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,894.21
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
45,269
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-02-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
269 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,894.21
Current Value
$9,209.36
Period P&L
$-684.86
Max Drawdown
-15.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
28 /
28
Best Trade
+2.49%
Worst Trade
-3.36%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,059,804.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-684.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-684.86
Gross Return
-6.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 269 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,894.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2025 1:05pm ET | $87.37 | 111 | $9,697.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.32 | 111 | $9,914.51 | $9,971.92 |
+$216.99 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2025 10:50am ET | $88.73 | 112 | $9,937.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.30 | 112 | $10,001.72 | $10,036.45 |
+$64.52 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 11:00am ET | $91.18 | 110 | $10,029.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $91.46 | 110 | $10,060.60 | $10,067.80 |
+$31.35 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $92.57 | 108 | $9,997.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 10:25am ET | $89.77 | 108 | $9,694.62 | $9,764.93 |
$-302.86 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $90.93 | 107 | $9,729.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 1:20pm ET | $90.01 | 107 | $9,631.07 | $9,666.49 |
$-98.44 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2025 2:10pm ET | $90.46 | 106 | $9,588.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2025 2:10pm ET | $90.94 | 106 | $9,639.64 | $9,717.90 |
+$51.41 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2025 3:15pm ET | $91.07 | 106 | $9,652.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2025 3:15pm ET | $89.87 | 106 | $9,525.69 | $9,590.70 |
$-127.20 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2025 3:45pm ET | $89.82 | 106 | $9,520.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $91.31 | 106 | $9,678.86 | $9,748.98 |
+$158.28 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2025 10:40am ET | $91.65 | 106 | $9,714.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.49 | 106 | $9,909.94 | $9,944.55 |
+$195.57 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $91.83 | 108 | $9,917.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 1:40pm ET | $88.75 | 108 | $9,584.86 | $9,611.77 |
$-332.78 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 2:10pm ET | $87.37 | 110 | $9,610.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 2:10pm ET | $87.49 | 110 | $9,623.90 | $9,625.52 |
+$13.75 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2025 2:10pm ET | $87.91 | 109 | $9,582.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.61 | 109 | $9,440.59 | $9,483.82 |
$-141.70 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 10:10am ET | $86.64 | 109 | $9,443.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.79 | 109 | $9,678.22 | $9,718.82 |
+$235.00 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 10:50am ET | $87.89 | 110 | $9,668.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2025 9:55am ET | $89.65 | 110 | $9,861.50 | $9,912.31 |
+$193.49 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $89.51 | 110 | $9,846.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2025 10:05am ET | $87.13 | 110 | $9,584.30 | $9,650.51 |
$-261.80 (-2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 10:05am ET | $86.65 | 111 | $9,618.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.48 | 111 | $9,599.28 | $9,631.24 |
$-19.27 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $86.10 | 111 | $9,557.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $84.94 | 111 | $9,428.34 | $9,502.48 |
$-128.76 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $85.19 | 111 | $9,456.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.27 | 111 | $9,464.97 | $9,511.36 |
+$8.88 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $85.45 | 111 | $9,484.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $85.21 | 111 | $9,457.76 | $9,484.72 |
$-26.64 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $85.25 | 111 | $9,462.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.17 | 111 | $9,453.87 | $9,475.85 |
$-8.87 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 10:10am ET | $85.91 | 110 | $9,449.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.00 | 110 | $9,460.00 | $9,486.21 |
+$10.35 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2025 2:40pm ET | $86.44 | 109 | $9,421.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.97 | 109 | $9,479.73 | $9,544.52 |
+$58.31 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 11:40am ET | $87.17 | 109 | $9,500.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.79 | 109 | $9,569.11 | $9,612.65 |
+$68.13 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.13 | 109 | $9,606.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.45 | 109 | $9,422.51 | $9,429.06 |
$-183.59 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $85.47 | 110 | $9,401.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.62 | 110 | $9,418.20 | $9,445.56 |
+$16.50 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $85.35 | 110 | $9,389.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.10 | 110 | $9,471.00 | $9,527.53 |
+$81.97 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 1:30pm ET | $86.64 | 109 | $9,443.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.97 | 109 | $9,370.53 | $9,454.85 |
$-72.68 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 11:40am ET | $86.86 | 108 | $9,381.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.88 | 108 | $9,490.96 | $9,564.41 |
+$109.57 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $88.21 | 108 | $9,526.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.46 | 108 | $9,445.14 | $9,482.87 |
$-81.54 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 10:15am ET | $86.61 | 109 | $9,440.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.50 | 109 | $9,427.96 | $9,470.34 |
$-12.53 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $86.56 | 109 | $9,435.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.71 | 109 | $9,451.38 | $9,486.68 |
+$16.34 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.54 | 109 | $9,433.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.62 | 109 | $9,332.04 | $9,385.33 |
$-101.35 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 10:50am ET | $86.49 | 108 | $9,340.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.28 | 108 | $9,534.24 | $9,578.65 |
+$193.32 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 10:20am ET | $89.40 | 107 | $9,565.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.22 | 107 | $9,653.01 | $9,666.39 |
+$87.74 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 11:15am ET | $90.16 | 107 | $9,647.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.75 | 107 | $9,496.23 | $9,515.42 |
$-150.97 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 10:55am ET | $88.82 | 107 | $9,503.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.30 | 107 | $9,555.19 | $9,566.87 |
+$51.45 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 11:05am ET | $89.81 | 106 | $9,519.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.74 | 106 | $9,406.44 | $9,453.98 |
$-112.89 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 9:45am ET | $88.86 | 106 | $9,418.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 2:35pm ET | $90.65 | 106 | $9,608.37 | $9,643.72 |
+$189.74 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:55am ET | $90.63 | 106 | $9,606.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $91.44 | 106 | $9,692.62 | $9,729.56 |
+$85.84 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 2:15pm ET | $92.01 | 105 | $9,661.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $91.29 | 105 | $9,585.44 | $9,653.95 |
$-75.61 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 12:35pm ET | $91.89 | 105 | $9,647.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.63 | 105 | $9,410.63 | $9,416.65 |
$-237.30 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $89.83 | 104 | $9,342.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.51 | 104 | $9,308.52 | $9,382.85 |
$-33.80 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:20am ET | $89.95 | 104 | $9,354.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.06 | 104 | $9,261.72 | $9,289.77 |
$-93.08 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:55am ET | $89.24 | 104 | $9,280.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.87 | 104 | $9,346.48 | $9,355.29 |
+$65.52 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:50am ET | $90.41 | 103 | $9,311.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.90 | 103 | $9,156.19 | $9,199.76 |
$-155.53 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:55am ET | $88.62 | 103 | $9,127.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.13 | 103 | $9,077.49 | $9,149.39 |
$-50.37 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:55am ET | $88.22 | 103 | $9,086.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.78 | 103 | $9,041.34 | $9,104.07 |
$-45.32 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:40am ET | $87.57 | 103 | $9,019.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.41 | 103 | $9,003.22 | $9,087.58 |
$-16.49 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $87.06 | 104 | $9,054.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.99 | 104 | $9,150.44 | $9,183.78 |
+$96.20 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET | $87.72 | 104 | $9,122.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.26 | 104 | $9,074.52 | $9,135.64 |
$-48.14 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $87.16 | 104 | $9,064.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.44 | 104 | $9,093.76 | $9,164.76 |
+$29.12 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $87.66 | 104 | $9,116.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.65 | 104 | $9,011.60 | $9,059.72 |
$-105.04 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $86.63 | 104 | $9,009.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $88.37 | 104 | $9,189.96 | $9,240.68 |
+$180.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $88.04 | 104 | $9,155.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.04 | 104 | $9,052.16 | $9,137.20 |
$-103.48 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $86.47 | 105 | $9,079.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.14 | 105 | $9,149.70 | $9,207.55 |
+$70.35 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $88.42 | 104 | $9,195.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $88.43 | 104 | $9,197.24 | $9,209.36 |
+$1.81 (+0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
36m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,209.36
Net Profit/Loss:
$-790.64
Total Return:
-7.91%