Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.3/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 55.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 53.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.7%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,255
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$16,272.96
Current Value
$17,848.24
Period P&L
$1,575.31
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
44 / 27
Best Trade
+3.04%
Worst Trade
-3.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,270,282.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,575.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,575.31
Gross Return
+9.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,272.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 10:40am ET $98.58 164 $16,167.12
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 10:40am ET $98.87 164 $16,215.40 $16,252.34 +$48.28
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $98.51 164 $16,155.64
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 12:20pm ET $95.83 164 $15,715.86 $15,812.55 $-439.78
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 12:40pm ET $96.52 163 $15,732.76
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 9:30am ET $92.99 163 $15,156.56 $15,236.35 $-576.21
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
4 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 11:40am ET $98.12 155 $15,208.60
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 11:40am ET $97.10 155 $15,049.73 $15,077.47 $-158.88
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 12:30pm ET $96.42 156 $15,041.52
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 12:30pm ET $97.39 156 $15,192.06 $15,228.01 +$150.54
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 1:10pm ET $97.50 156 $15,210.00
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:40am ET $99.57 156 $15,533.56 $15,551.57 +$323.56
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:10am ET $99.39 156 $15,504.84
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $97.14 156 $15,153.06 $15,199.79 $-351.78
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 9:55am ET $97.48 155 $15,109.40
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET $93.84 155 $14,545.20 $14,635.59 $-564.20
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 10:30am ET $94.51 154 $14,554.54
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 10:30am ET $94.87 154 $14,609.98 $14,691.03 +$55.44
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 10:30am ET $95.47 153 $14,606.22
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 3:00pm ET $97.46 153 $14,910.71 $14,995.52 +$304.49
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 3:10pm ET $98.48 152 $14,968.96
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET $97.57 152 $14,830.64 $14,857.20 $-138.32
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:40am ET $98.43 150 $14,764.50
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $97.84 150 $14,676.65 $14,769.34 $-87.86
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 9:40am ET $98.60 149 $14,691.40
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 10:05am ET $95.63 149 $14,249.11 $14,327.05 $-442.29
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 10:25am ET $94.97 150 $14,245.50
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 10:25am ET $94.98 150 $14,247.21 $14,328.76 +$1.71
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 10:50am ET $95.07 150 $14,259.75
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 10:50am ET $95.87 150 $14,379.75 $14,448.76 +$120.00
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 12:30pm ET $95.63 151 $14,440.13
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 11:40am ET $97.57 151 $14,733.07 $14,741.70 +$292.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 12:05pm ET $97.82 150 $14,672.30
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $99.22 150 $14,883.00 $14,952.41 +$210.71
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:00am ET $99.21 150 $14,881.50
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 10:25am ET $101.31 150 $15,195.75 $15,266.66 +$314.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 10:45am ET $102.33 149 $15,247.89
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 10:25am ET $104.57 149 $15,580.93 $15,599.70 +$333.04
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 12:25pm ET $103.50 150 $15,524.25
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 9:45am ET $100.36 150 $15,054.00 $15,129.45 $-470.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 12:15pm ET $100.48 150 $15,071.25
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 10:35am ET $102.52 150 $15,378.00 $15,436.20 +$306.75
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 11:55am ET $98.15 157 $15,409.53
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 11:55am ET $95.59 157 $15,007.63 $15,034.30 $-401.90
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 2:55pm ET $96.08 156 $14,987.70
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $97.11 156 $15,148.38 $15,194.98 +$160.68
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:45am ET $97.84 155 $15,165.36
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET $99.98 155 $15,496.90 $15,526.52 +$331.55
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:40am ET $100.68 154 $15,505.17
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:40am ET $101.72 154 $15,664.88 $15,686.23 +$159.71
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 11:35am ET $102.15 153 $15,628.95
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 11:35am ET $103.59 153 $15,848.51 $15,905.79 +$219.55
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 11:35am ET $105.43 150 $15,814.50
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 1:35pm ET $102.21 150 $15,330.75 $15,422.04 $-483.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 3:25pm ET $102.85 149 $15,323.91
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $102.93 149 $15,336.57 $15,434.70 +$12.67
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 1:10pm ET $103.57 149 $15,431.19
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 9:55am ET $100.25 149 $14,936.51 $14,940.02 $-494.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 12:05pm ET $102.57 145 $14,872.65
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 12:05pm ET $102.88 145 $14,917.60 $14,984.97 +$44.95
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 12:15pm ET $100.62 148 $14,891.02
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET $102.99 148 $15,241.78 $15,335.73 +$350.76
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:10am ET $101.65 150 $15,246.98
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET $103.78 150 $15,567.00 $15,655.76 +$320.03
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 11:15am ET $108.94 143 $15,578.42
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 11:15am ET $106.75 143 $15,265.25 $15,342.59 $-313.17
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 12:00pm ET $106.72 143 $15,260.96
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $105.07 143 $15,025.01 $15,106.64 $-235.95
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 11:45am ET $103.26 146 $15,075.23
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $101.40 146 $14,803.96 $14,835.37 $-271.27
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:50am ET $101.60 146 $14,833.60
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $102.04 146 $14,897.11 $14,898.88 +$63.51
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:20am ET $102.93 144 $14,821.92
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $102.64 144 $14,780.16 $14,857.12 $-41.76
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:50am ET $102.32 145 $14,836.40
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $105.17 145 $15,248.93 $15,269.65 +$412.53
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET $106.27 143 $15,195.90
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:15am ET $108.48 143 $15,511.93 $15,585.68 +$316.03
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:00pm ET $110.23 141 $15,542.43
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:35pm ET $112.51 141 $15,863.21 $15,906.45 +$320.77
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $114.50 138 $15,801.00
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $113.70 138 $15,690.60 $15,796.05 $-110.40
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
42 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 10:00am ET $115.44 136 $15,699.84
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $116.60 136 $15,857.60 $15,953.81 +$157.76
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
43 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $115.37 138 $15,921.06
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $113.87 138 $15,714.06 $15,746.81 $-207.00
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
44 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:50am ET $111.32 141 $15,696.12
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $111.93 141 $15,782.13 $15,832.82 +$86.01
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:55am ET $112.07 141 $15,801.18
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $112.85 141 $15,911.85 $15,943.49 +$110.67
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $112.34 141 $15,839.24
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $114.60 141 $16,158.60 $16,262.86 +$319.37
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $113.61 143 $16,246.23
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $117.06 143 $16,739.58 $16,756.21 +$493.35
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
48 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $119.00 140 $16,660.01
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $121.15 140 $16,961.00 $17,057.19 +$300.99
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
49 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET $117.61 145 $17,053.93
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $120.03 145 $17,404.35 $17,407.62 +$350.42
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
50 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $117.94 147 $17,336.45
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $116.68 147 $17,151.23 $17,222.40 $-185.22
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $116.86 147 $17,178.42
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $119.20 147 $17,522.40 $17,566.38 +$343.98
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
52 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:25am ET $126.75 138 $17,490.81
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $129.32 138 $17,846.16 $17,921.73 +$355.35
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
53 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $127.18 140 $17,805.20
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $129.90 140 $18,185.30 $18,301.83 +$380.10
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
54 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET $129.54 141 $18,265.07
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $127.10 141 $17,920.68 $17,957.44 $-344.39
(-1.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
55 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:10am ET $132.21 135 $17,849.02
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $128.12 135 $17,296.20 $17,404.61 $-552.83
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:10am ET $128.65 135 $17,368.42
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:35pm ET $124.55 135 $16,814.25 $16,850.44 $-554.17
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
57 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:00am ET $125.77 133 $16,727.41
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $128.50 133 $17,090.50 $17,213.53 +$363.09
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $126.51 136 $17,206.04
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET $122.53 136 $16,664.08 $16,671.57 $-541.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:10am ET $123.44 135 $16,664.40
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $125.95 135 $17,003.25 $17,010.42 +$338.85
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
60 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $123.94 137 $16,979.78
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:05am ET $126.42 137 $17,319.54 $17,350.18 +$339.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
61 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $125.08 138 $17,261.05
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:40am ET $120.99 138 $16,695.93 $16,785.06 $-565.12
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
62 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:25am ET $119.28 140 $16,698.50
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $121.83 140 $17,056.20 $17,142.76 +$357.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
63 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:40am ET $122.65 139 $17,048.35
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:40am ET $124.39 139 $17,290.21 $17,384.62 +$241.86
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
64 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $123.78 140 $17,328.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $126.20 140 $17,668.00 $17,724.12 +$339.50
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $124.72 142 $17,710.91
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $127.43 142 $18,095.06 $18,108.27 +$384.15
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $128.04 141 $18,052.94
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $124.14 141 $17,503.04 $17,558.37 $-549.90
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $124.92 140 $17,488.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $127.44 140 $17,841.60 $17,911.17 +$352.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $127.53 140 $17,853.50
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $130.13 140 $18,217.50 $18,275.17 +$364.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $131.12 139 $18,225.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:15am ET $127.06 139 $17,661.28 $17,710.78 $-564.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $126.56 139 $17,591.15
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $129.31 139 $17,974.09 $18,093.72 +$382.94
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
71 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $132.28 136 $17,990.08
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $130.48 136 $17,744.60 $17,848.24 $-245.48
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,848.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,848.24
Total Return: +78.48%
Back to Rebel Contraire