Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:57

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

61
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.3/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 61.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 60.6

30-Day Momentum

13
-1.0%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,056
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,670.43
Current Value
$18,974.25
Period P&L
$7,303.89
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
46 / 23
Best Trade
+4.96%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,017,776.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,303.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,303.89
Gross Return
+62.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+62.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,670.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 11:20am ET $40.59 286 $11,607.31
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:20am ET $40.23 286 $11,505.07 $11,529.52 $-102.25
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $41.20 279 $11,495.50
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $42.78 279 $11,934.23 $11,968.24 +$438.73
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 10:45am ET $42.59 280 $11,925.90
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $42.05 280 $11,774.00 $11,816.34 $-151.90
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 9:40am ET $41.99 281 $11,797.79
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $40.45 281 $11,367.15 $11,385.71 $-430.63
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $40.66 280 $11,383.40
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 9:30am ET $41.41 280 $11,594.80 $11,597.11 +$211.40
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 10:05am ET $40.73 284 $11,565.90
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 10:05am ET $41.43 284 $11,766.12 $11,797.33 +$200.22
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 10:35am ET $41.81 282 $11,789.72
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 10:35am ET $41.89 282 $11,812.98 $11,820.60 +$23.27
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 10:50am ET $42.59 277 $11,796.05
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $43.91 277 $12,163.07 $12,187.62 +$367.02
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:00am ET $43.70 278 $12,147.21
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 9:50am ET $44.57 278 $12,390.46 $12,430.87 +$243.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 10:10am ET $44.32 280 $12,410.30
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 10:10am ET $44.01 280 $12,321.40 $12,341.97 $-88.90
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 11:50am ET $42.51 290 $12,326.45
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET $42.47 290 $12,316.30 $12,331.82 $-10.15
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET $42.15 292 $12,307.80
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 11:50am ET $43.00 292 $12,556.00 $12,580.02 +$248.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 12:10pm ET $43.48 289 $12,565.00
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 12:10pm ET $43.97 289 $12,707.33 $12,722.35 +$142.33
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 12:40pm ET $44.02 288 $12,678.48
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 12:40pm ET $43.95 288 $12,656.16 $12,700.03 $-22.32
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 2:50pm ET $43.49 292 $12,697.62
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET $43.01 292 $12,557.46 $12,559.87 $-140.16
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 10:05am ET $42.72 294 $12,559.68
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 10:45am ET $43.60 294 $12,816.93 $12,817.12 +$257.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 12:40pm ET $43.51 294 $12,791.94
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 2:50pm ET $44.40 294 $13,052.87 $13,078.05 +$260.93
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 2:55pm ET $43.82 298 $13,059.11
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 1:45pm ET $42.50 298 $12,664.26 $12,683.20 $-394.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 1:55pm ET $42.49 298 $12,662.02
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $42.70 298 $12,724.60 $12,745.78 +$62.58
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:30am ET $42.55 299 $12,720.96
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET $42.33 299 $12,655.18 $12,680.00 $-65.78
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:35am ET $42.43 298 $12,644.89
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET $43.46 298 $12,951.83 $12,986.94 +$306.94
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET $44.00 295 $12,980.00
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 2:05pm ET $44.91 295 $13,249.19 $13,256.13 +$269.19
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 3:30pm ET $45.08 294 $13,254.46
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 3:30pm ET $44.12 294 $12,972.02 $12,973.68 $-282.45
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 10:20am ET $43.95 295 $12,965.99
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 10:20am ET $44.37 295 $13,087.68 $13,095.37 +$121.69
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 10:00am ET $44.60 293 $13,067.80
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 10:00am ET $45.05 293 $13,198.19 $13,225.75 +$130.39
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:45am ET $44.92 294 $13,205.01
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 10:45am ET $45.06 294 $13,246.17 $13,266.91 +$41.16
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 11:55am ET $45.49 291 $13,236.14
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:20am ET $46.41 291 $13,505.31 $13,536.09 +$269.17
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 10:55am ET $45.19 299 $13,511.81
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $44.63 299 $13,342.88 $13,367.15 $-168.93
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:55am ET $44.41 301 $13,365.91
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $43.00 301 $12,943.75 $12,945.00 $-422.15
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 12:20pm ET $43.06 300 $12,916.50
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $43.45 300 $13,035.00 $13,063.50 +$118.50
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:50am ET $43.25 302 $13,059.99
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET $44.56 302 $13,455.61 $13,459.12 +$395.62
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 10:55am ET $44.22 304 $13,442.12
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 10:55am ET $44.10 304 $13,405.64 $13,422.64 $-36.48
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 1:05pm ET $44.24 303 $13,404.72
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 12:05pm ET $43.60 303 $13,210.80 $13,228.72 $-193.92
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 2:00pm ET $44.09 300 $13,226.25
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 12:25pm ET $44.98 300 $13,493.25 $13,495.72 +$267.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:50pm ET $45.94 293 $13,461.15
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $45.78 293 $13,412.08 $13,446.64 $-49.08
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET $45.03 298 $13,417.45
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $44.43 298 $13,240.14 $13,269.33 $-177.31
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $44.42 298 $13,237.16
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:55am ET $45.33 298 $13,508.34 $13,540.51 +$271.18
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:00pm ET $45.84 295 $13,522.06
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $45.55 295 $13,438.58 $13,457.03 $-83.49
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:20am ET $45.86 293 $13,436.98
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $45.35 293 $13,287.55 $13,307.60 $-149.43
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET $44.47 299 $13,295.04
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $44.41 299 $13,278.59 $13,291.15 $-16.45
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $44.30 300 $13,290.00
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $44.61 300 $13,382.55 $13,383.70 +$92.55
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:20am ET $44.86 298 $13,368.58
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $47.09 298 $14,031.33 $14,046.46 +$662.75
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET $46.35 303 $14,042.54
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $46.40 303 $14,059.20 $14,063.12 +$16.66
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $47.06 298 $14,022.39
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $48.00 298 $14,304.00 $14,344.73 +$281.61
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET $47.67 300 $14,299.53
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $47.85 300 $14,355.00 $14,400.20 +$55.47
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $48.74 295 $14,376.83
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.74 295 $14,673.30 $14,696.68 +$296.48
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:55am ET $49.12 299 $14,686.88
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $51.42 299 $15,373.09 $15,382.88 +$686.21
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
48 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $50.31 305 $15,344.55
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $51.37 305 $15,667.85 $15,706.18 +$323.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $52.60 298 $15,675.40
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $53.56 298 $15,959.39 $15,990.17 +$283.99
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.55 298 $15,957.90
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $54.69 298 $16,299.11 $16,331.38 +$341.21
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $54.13 301 $16,293.13
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $55.26 301 $16,633.26 $16,671.51 +$340.13
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
52 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $55.11 302 $16,643.22
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $55.34 302 $16,712.68 $16,740.97 +$69.46
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
53 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $55.31 302 $16,703.62
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $57.61 302 $17,398.22 $17,435.57 +$694.60
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:45am ET $56.59 308 $17,431.11
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $56.68 308 $17,457.44 $17,461.90 +$26.33
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET $55.67 313 $17,425.18
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $56.80 313 $17,778.40 $17,815.12 +$353.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $57.82 308 $17,808.56
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:45am ET $58.98 308 $18,165.84 $18,172.40 +$357.28
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $58.69 309 $18,136.75
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $59.97 309 $18,529.71 $18,565.36 +$392.96
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $59.53 311 $18,513.83
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $60.73 311 $18,887.03 $18,938.56 +$373.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:15am ET $60.74 311 $18,890.14
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $61.97 311 $19,273.79 $19,322.21 +$383.65
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
60 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET $63.08 306 $19,302.48
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $60.83 306 $18,613.98 $18,633.71 $-688.50
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $58.47 318 $18,591.90
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $60.17 318 $19,132.47 $19,174.28 +$540.57
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $59.22 323 $19,128.87
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $60.46 323 $19,526.97 $19,572.38 +$398.10
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:20am ET $57.31 341 $19,542.71
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $58.67 341 $20,006.47 $20,036.14 +$463.76
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $56.90 352 $20,027.04
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:10am ET $55.63 352 $19,583.52 $19,592.62 $-443.52
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:15am ET $56.49 346 $19,547.27
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $54.39 346 $18,819.63 $18,864.98 $-727.64
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $55.53 339 $18,826.36
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $56.67 339 $19,211.13 $19,249.74 +$384.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $56.67 339 $19,211.13
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $57.49 339 $19,490.80 $19,529.42 +$279.68
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $58.81 332 $19,526.58
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $59.26 332 $19,672.66 $19,675.50 +$146.08
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
69 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $59.58 330 $19,663.05
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.46 330 $18,961.80 $18,974.25 $-701.25
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,974.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,974.25
Total Return: +89.74%
Back to Rebel Contraire