Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:17:46

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.2/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 40.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 40.3

30-Day Momentum

41
+5.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
4.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.9 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,275.47
Current Value
$15,364.49
Period P&L
$3,089.08
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.88

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
15 / 4
Best Trade
+3.23%
Worst Trade
-2.18%
Avg Trade Return
+1.18%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$525,116.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,089.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,089.08
Gross Return
+25.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,275.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $252.80 48 $12,134.40
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $254.25 48 $12,204.00 $12,406.45 +$69.60
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 49 $12,309.29
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:40am ET $256.25 49 $12,556.25 $12,653.41 +$246.96
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET $252.53 50 $12,626.50
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET $254.18 50 $12,708.75 $12,735.66 +$82.25
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET $254.85 49 $12,487.65
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET $260.12 49 $12,745.88 $12,993.88 +$258.22
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $251.38 51 $12,820.63
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $257.92 51 $13,153.92 $13,327.17 +$333.29
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $258.82 51 $13,199.82
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $260.88 51 $13,304.63 $13,431.97 +$104.80
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $265.07 50 $13,253.25
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:05am ET $271.36 50 $13,568.25 $13,746.97 +$315.00
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $271.86 50 $13,593.00
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.92 50 $13,296.00 $13,449.97 $-297.00
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:35am ET $270.22 49 $13,240.75
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $278.94 49 $13,668.06 $13,877.28 +$427.31
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $275.36 50 $13,768.00
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $281.07 50 $14,053.50 $14,162.79 +$285.51
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:10am ET $284.58 49 $13,944.42
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:00am ET $291.17 49 $14,267.33 $14,485.70 +$322.91
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:10am ET $292.88 49 $14,351.12
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:10am ET $295.27 49 $14,468.23 $14,602.81 +$117.11
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:30am ET $297.85 49 $14,594.65
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:30am ET $296.84 49 $14,545.16 $14,553.32 $-49.49
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $299.94 48 $14,397.12
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $306.06 48 $14,690.88 $14,847.08 +$293.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $310.20 47 $14,579.40
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $310.03 47 $14,571.41 $14,839.09 $-7.99
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:15am ET $308.63 48 $14,814.24
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $314.83 48 $15,111.84 $15,136.69 +$297.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:15am ET $308.63 48 $14,814.24
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $308.77 48 $14,820.96 $15,143.41 +$6.72
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $296.07 51 $15,099.57
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $294.00 51 $14,994.00 $15,037.84 $-105.57
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET $294.44 51 $15,016.44
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $300.85 51 $15,343.10 $15,364.49 +$326.65
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,364.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,364.49
Total Return: +53.64%
Back to Rebel Contraire