Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 37.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 36.9

30-Day Momentum

53
+9.0%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.9 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,099.80
Current Value
$14,485.70
Period P&L
$1,385.96
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
12 / 5
Best Trade
+3.23%
Worst Trade
-3.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.59%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$444,078.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,385.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,385.96
Gross Return
+10.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,099.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $276.32 47 $12,987.04
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $274.34 47 $12,893.98 $13,076.24 $-93.06
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $258.55 50 $12,927.50
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $264.43 50 $13,221.50 $13,370.24 +$294.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $264.85 50 $13,242.70
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $267.77 50 $13,388.50 $13,516.03 +$145.79
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $271.96 49 $13,326.04
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $262.15 49 $12,845.59 $13,035.59 $-480.44
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $262.17 49 $12,846.33
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $255.69 49 $12,528.81 $12,718.07 $-317.52
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $258.65 49 $12,673.85
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $250.87 49 $12,292.63 $12,336.85 $-381.22
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $252.80 48 $12,134.40
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $254.25 48 $12,204.00 $12,406.45 +$69.60
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 49 $12,309.29
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:40am ET $256.25 49 $12,556.25 $12,653.41 +$246.96
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET $252.53 50 $12,626.50
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET $254.18 50 $12,708.75 $12,735.66 +$82.25
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET $254.85 49 $12,487.65
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET $260.12 49 $12,745.88 $12,993.88 +$258.22
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $251.38 51 $12,820.63
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $257.92 51 $13,153.92 $13,327.17 +$333.29
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $258.82 51 $13,199.82
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $260.88 51 $13,304.63 $13,431.97 +$104.80
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $265.07 50 $13,253.25
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:05am ET $271.36 50 $13,568.25 $13,746.97 +$315.00
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $271.86 50 $13,593.00
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.92 50 $13,296.00 $13,449.97 $-297.00
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:35am ET $270.22 49 $13,240.75
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $278.94 49 $13,668.06 $13,877.28 +$427.31
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $275.36 50 $13,768.00
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $281.07 50 $14,053.50 $14,162.79 +$285.51
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:10am ET $284.58 49 $13,944.42
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:00am ET $291.17 49 $14,267.33 $14,485.70 +$322.91
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,485.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,485.70
Total Return: +44.86%
Back to Rebel Contraire