Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:22:20

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 8.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 7.9

30-Day Momentum

4
-10.1%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,450.59
Current Value
$6,384.65
Period P&L
$-65.92
Max Drawdown
-41.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
12 / 10
Best Trade
+3.34%
Worst Trade
-6.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$290,864.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-65.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-65.92
Gross Return
-1.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,450.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:30am ET $214.68 32 $6,869.60
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $201.75 32 $6,456.10 $6,450.57 $-413.50
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $194.05 33 $6,403.81
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $196.85 33 $6,496.05 $6,542.81 +$92.24
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $197.69 33 $6,523.77
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $197.16 33 $6,506.28 $6,525.32 $-17.49
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $196.77 33 $6,493.35
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $190.74 33 $6,294.58 $6,326.56 $-198.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $182.71 34 $6,212.14
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET $186.55 34 $6,342.70 $6,457.12 +$130.56
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $190.47 33 $6,285.51
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $194.71 33 $6,425.27 $6,596.88 +$139.76
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $191.91 34 $6,524.94
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $195.86 34 $6,659.24 $6,731.18 +$134.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $197.36 34 $6,710.24
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $190.67 34 $6,482.78 $6,503.72 $-227.46
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $178.27 36 $6,417.72
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $178.80 36 $6,436.80 $6,522.80 +$19.08
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:20am ET $177.48 36 $6,389.28
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $181.53 36 $6,535.08 $6,668.60 +$145.80
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $173.85 38 $6,606.30
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:10am ET $177.45 38 $6,743.10 $6,805.40 +$136.80
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:20am ET $176.69 38 $6,714.22
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $180.40 38 $6,855.20 $6,946.38 +$140.98
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:50am ET $176.63 39 $6,888.38
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:15pm ET $171.17 39 $6,675.63 $6,733.63 $-212.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:40am ET $164.27 40 $6,571.00
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $167.72 40 $6,708.92 $6,871.55 +$137.92
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $174.18 39 $6,793.21
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $180.00 39 $7,020.00 $7,098.34 +$226.79
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
16 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $178.47 39 $6,960.33
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $175.23 39 $6,833.78 $6,971.79 $-126.55
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $176.57 39 $6,886.42
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:30am ET $180.13 39 $7,025.26 $7,110.63 +$138.84
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $196.99 36 $7,091.64
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $189.46 36 $6,820.56 $6,839.55 $-271.08
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $180.46 37 $6,676.84
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:40am ET $176.74 37 $6,539.32 $6,702.03 $-137.52
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $175.07 38 $6,652.66
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $168.68 38 $6,409.84 $6,459.21 $-242.82
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $168.63 38 $6,407.94
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:40am ET $172.15 38 $6,541.64 $6,592.91 +$133.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET $169.04 39 $6,592.56
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:55am ET $163.70 39 $6,384.30 $6,384.65 $-208.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,384.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,615.35
Total Return: -36.15%
Back to Rebel Contraire