Compendium › Rebel Contraire › ADBE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ADBE
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 23 trades in period

-4.91%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,778.82
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$6,077.26
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:18:37

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 7.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 7.7

30-Day Momentum

7
-12.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,077.26
Current Value
$5,778.82
Period P&L
$-298.41
Max Drawdown
-40.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
11 / 12
Best Trade
+4.25%
Worst Trade
-9.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.59%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$284,259.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-298.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-298.41
Gross Return
-4.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,077.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $274.90 27 $7,422.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $249.65 27 $6,740.42 $6,077.22 $-682.02
(-9.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET $240.13 25 $6,003.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $239.52 25 $5,988.00 $6,061.97 $-15.25
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:55am ET $242.13 25 $6,053.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $241.50 25 $6,037.50 $6,046.35 $-15.63
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $243.27 24 $5,838.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $231.26 24 $5,550.14 $5,758.01 $-288.34
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $225.51 25 $5,637.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $231.13 25 $5,778.37 $5,898.51 +$140.50
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:50am ET $241.30 24 $5,791.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 24 $6,037.20 $6,144.51 +$246.00
(+4.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $250.21 24 $6,004.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $255.65 24 $6,135.72 $6,275.31 +$130.80
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $238.41 26 $6,198.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $243.53 26 $6,331.78 $6,408.43 +$133.12
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $240.76 26 $6,259.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $246.27 26 $6,403.02 $6,551.56 +$143.13
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.42 26 $6,510.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $255.60 26 $6,645.60 $6,686.24 +$134.68
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:40am ET $254.30 26 $6,611.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:55am ET $246.27 26 $6,403.02 $6,477.46 $-208.78
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:55am ET $251.02 25 $6,275.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:40am ET $243.04 25 $6,075.88 $6,277.83 $-199.63
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:45am ET $235.61 26 $6,125.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $242.65 26 $6,308.90 $6,460.87 +$183.04
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:05am ET $250.79 25 $6,269.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $255.83 25 $6,395.75 $6,586.87 +$126.00
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:20am ET $249.81 26 $6,495.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $241.40 26 $6,276.27 $6,368.08 $-218.79
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $240.95 26 $6,264.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $245.91 26 $6,393.66 $6,497.17 +$129.09
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:25am ET $267.40 24 $6,417.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:20am ET $273.58 24 $6,565.92 $6,645.49 +$148.32
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
55m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $262.05 25 $6,551.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $254.15 25 $6,353.66 $6,447.90 $-197.59
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:15am ET $263.65 24 $6,327.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $255.12 24 $6,122.88 $6,243.18 $-204.72
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:15am ET $247.06 25 $6,176.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $238.87 25 $5,971.63 $6,038.31 $-204.87
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $235.99 25 $5,899.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $227.99 25 $5,699.63 $5,838.18 $-200.13
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 28 $5,667.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $206.88 28 $5,792.64 $5,963.62 +$125.44
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET $207.75 28 $5,817.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $201.15 28 $5,632.20 $5,778.82 $-184.80
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,778.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,221.18
Total Return: -42.21%
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