Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 8.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.5

30-Day Momentum

52
+10.6%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.8 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+43 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,202.73
Current Value
$6,686.24
Period P&L
$-516.46
Max Drawdown
-40.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
12 / 9
Best Trade
+4.25%
Worst Trade
-9.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$278,936.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-516.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-516.46
Gross Return
-7.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,202.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:45am ET $273.21 27 $7,376.67
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $264.75 27 $7,148.25 $7,152.87 $-228.42
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:20am ET $267.80 26 $6,962.67
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $267.97 26 $6,967.22 $7,157.42 +$4.55
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $261.12 27 $7,050.24
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $254.14 27 $6,861.78 $6,968.96 $-188.46
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $252.46 27 $6,816.42
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $259.14 27 $6,996.78 $7,149.32 +$180.36
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $255.44 27 $6,896.88
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $261.19 27 $7,052.13 $7,304.57 +$155.25
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $262.19 27 $7,079.13
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET $268.92 27 $7,260.84 $7,486.28 +$181.71
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $274.90 27 $7,422.43
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $281.88 27 $7,610.76 $7,674.61 +$188.33
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $279.98 27 $7,559.59
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET $269.50 27 $7,276.50 $7,391.51 $-283.09
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:20am ET $272.59 27 $7,359.93
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $252.22 27 $6,809.94 $6,841.52 $-549.99
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $247.61 27 $6,685.47
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:15am ET $252.65 27 $6,821.55 $6,977.60 +$136.08
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $255.03 27 $6,885.81
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $246.94 27 $6,667.44 $6,759.24 $-218.37
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $274.90 27 $7,422.43
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $249.65 27 $6,740.42 $6,077.22 $-682.02
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET $240.13 25 $6,003.25
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $239.52 25 $5,988.00 $6,061.97 $-15.25
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:55am ET $242.13 25 $6,053.13
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $241.50 25 $6,037.50 $6,046.35 $-15.63
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $243.27 24 $5,838.48
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $231.26 24 $5,550.14 $5,758.01 $-288.34
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $225.51 25 $5,637.87
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $231.13 25 $5,778.37 $5,898.51 +$140.50
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:50am ET $241.30 24 $5,791.20
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 24 $6,037.20 $6,144.51 +$246.00
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $250.21 24 $6,004.92
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $255.65 24 $6,135.72 $6,275.31 +$130.80
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $238.41 26 $6,198.66
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $243.53 26 $6,331.78 $6,408.43 +$133.12
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $240.76 26 $6,259.89
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $246.27 26 $6,403.02 $6,551.56 +$143.13
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
21 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.42 26 $6,510.92
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $255.60 26 $6,645.60 $6,686.24 +$134.68
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,686.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,313.76
Total Return: -33.14%
Back to Rebel Contraire