AMC Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 35 trades in period
+2.92%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,814.94
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$4,678.40
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality
9.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.4
30-Day Momentum
50
+9.7%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.8
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$4,678.40
Current Value
$4,814.94
Period P&L
$136.57
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
20 /
15
Best Trade
+8.69%
Worst Trade
-5.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
13.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$309,018.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$136.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$136.57
Gross Return
+2.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $4,678.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.02 | 4,576 | $4,677.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $0.9876 | 4,576 | $4,519.26 | $4,520.04 |
$-158.33 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $0.9900 | 4,565 | $4,519.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $0.9560 | 4,565 | $4,364.14 | $4,364.83 |
$-155.21 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.01 | 4,343 | $4,364.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1.03 | 4,343 | $4,473.29 | $4,473.40 |
+$108.57 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1.00 | 4,472 | $4,472.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $1.02 | 4,472 | $4,583.80 | $4,584.75 |
+$111.35 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1.27 | 3,610 | $4,584.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.23 | 3,610 | $4,440.30 | $4,440.35 |
$-144.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.30 | 3,402 | $4,439.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.34 | 3,402 | $4,558.68 | $4,559.42 |
+$119.07 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.37 | 3,340 | $4,559.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.32 | 3,340 | $4,403.79 | $4,404.11 |
$-155.31 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.51 | 2,926 | $4,403.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.54 | 2,926 | $4,506.04 | $4,506.52 |
+$102.41 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.61 | 2,799 | $4,506.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.56 | 2,799 | $4,366.72 | $4,367.13 |
$-139.39 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.89 | 2,304 | $4,366.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.79 | 2,304 | $4,124.16 | $4,125.21 |
$-241.92 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.79 | 2,304 | $4,124.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.71 | 2,304 | $3,940.30 | $3,941.35 |
$-183.86 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.72 | 2,298 | $3,941.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.76 | 2,298 | $4,055.97 | $4,056.25 |
+$114.90 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.59 | 2,551 | $4,055.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.68 | 2,551 | $4,285.68 | $4,286.61 |
+$230.36 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.62 | 2,646 | $4,286.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.54 | 2,646 | $4,074.84 | $4,074.93 |
$-211.68 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1.50 | 2,725 | $4,073.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.53 | 2,725 | $4,169.25 | $4,170.30 |
+$95.37 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.55 | 2,690 | $4,169.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.59 | 2,690 | $4,278.71 | $4,279.51 |
+$109.21 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.63 | 2,617 | $4,278.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.67 | 2,617 | $4,383.47 | $4,384.19 |
+$104.68 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:20am ET | $1.59 | 2,757 | $4,383.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.54 | 2,757 | $4,245.78 | $4,246.34 |
$-137.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.49 | 2,859 | $4,245.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1.44 | 2,859 | $4,116.96 | $4,117.69 |
$-128.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.33 | 3,107 | $4,116.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.37 | 3,107 | $4,241.06 | $4,241.97 |
+$124.28 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1.36 | 3,119 | $4,241.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.29 | 3,119 | $4,037.55 | $4,037.68 |
$-204.29 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.36 | 2,979 | $4,036.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.47 | 2,979 | $4,387.17 | $4,388.31 |
+$350.63 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1.54 | 2,849 | $4,387.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.58 | 2,849 | $4,501.42 | $4,502.27 |
+$113.96 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.57 | 2,876 | $4,500.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1.61 | 2,876 | $4,615.98 | $4,617.31 |
+$115.04 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.57 | 2,940 | $4,615.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.62 | 2,940 | $4,748.10 | $4,749.61 |
+$132.30 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $2.00 | 2,372 | $4,748.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $1.94 | 2,372 | $4,601.68 | $4,602.31 |
$-147.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $2.01 | 2,295 | $4,601.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1.93 | 2,295 | $4,429.35 | $4,430.18 |
$-172.13 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1.86 | 2,381 | $4,428.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.92 | 2,381 | $4,583.42 | $4,584.94 |
+$154.76 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.80 | 2,540 | $4,584.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1.75 | 2,540 | $4,445.00 | $4,445.24 |
$-139.70 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $1.91 | 2,325 | $4,444.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1.97 | 2,325 | $4,579.79 | $4,580.79 |
+$135.55 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $2.04 | 2,245 | $4,580.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $2.09 | 2,245 | $4,680.83 | $4,681.59 |
+$100.80 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $2.28 | 2,055 | $4,680.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $2.33 | 2,055 | $4,777.88 | $4,778.59 |
+$97.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $2.35 | 2,033 | $4,777.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.24 | 2,033 | $4,564.08 | $4,565.12 |
$-213.47 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $2.56 | 1,783 | $4,564.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $2.63 | 1,783 | $4,680.38 | $4,681.02 |
+$115.90 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:20am ET | $2.80 | 1,674 | $4,678.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $2.88 | 1,674 | $4,812.75 | $4,814.94 |
+$133.92 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,814.94
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,185.06
Total Return:
-51.85%