Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:17:46

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 26.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

19
+2.2%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.4 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,373.84
Current Value
$11,718.18
Period P&L
$344.35
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+2.17%
Worst Trade
-3.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$402,142.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$344.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$344.35
Gross Return
+3.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,373.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET $353.15 32 $11,300.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $347.81 32 $11,129.92 $11,291.75 $-170.88
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:00am ET $356.05 31 $11,037.55
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET $350.26 31 $10,858.06 $11,112.26 $-179.49
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:30am ET $349.49 31 $10,834.19
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $345.81 31 $10,720.11 $10,998.18 $-114.08
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET $338.67 32 $10,837.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $345.52 32 $11,056.64 $11,217.22 +$219.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $353.82 31 $10,968.27
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET $350.70 31 $10,871.85 $11,120.81 $-96.41
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $347.14 32 $11,108.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:35am ET $354.36 32 $11,339.68 $11,352.01 +$231.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $351.42 32 $11,245.44
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $340.42 32 $10,893.28 $10,999.85 $-352.16
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $346.49 31 $10,741.34
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $346.17 31 $10,731.27 $10,989.78 $-10.07
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $341.99 32 $10,943.68
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:35am ET $348.89 32 $11,164.32 $11,210.42 +$220.64
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $327.99 34 $11,151.83
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $331.19 34 $11,260.46 $11,319.05 +$108.63
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $328.08 34 $11,154.89
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:45am ET $334.88 34 $11,385.92 $11,550.08 +$231.03
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
12 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $332.41 34 $11,301.94
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:00pm ET $323.22 34 $10,989.48 $11,237.62 $-312.46
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:00pm ET $330.45 34 $11,235.30
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $337.31 34 $11,468.54 $11,470.86 +$233.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:25am ET $336.91 34 $11,454.94
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $331.95 34 $11,286.30 $11,302.22 $-168.64
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $327.95 34 $11,150.47
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET $334.55 34 $11,374.70 $11,526.45 +$224.23
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $343.70 33 $11,342.10
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $351.15 33 $11,587.95 $11,772.30 +$245.85
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:30am ET $347.49 33 $11,467.17
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $354.49 33 $11,698.17 $12,003.30 +$231.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $353.56 33 $11,667.48
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $344.92 33 $11,382.36 $11,718.18 $-285.12
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,718.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,718.18
Total Return: +17.18%
Back to Rebel Contraire