Compendium › Rebel Contraire › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 23 trades in period

+5.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,390.35
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$10,807.24
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:49

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 24.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.7

30-Day Momentum

4
-12.4%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,807.24
Current Value
$11,390.35
Period P&L
$583.11
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
15 / 8
Best Trade
+2.90%
Worst Trade
-3.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$544,025.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$583.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$583.11
Gross Return
+5.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,807.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:30am ET $206.27 51 $10,519.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET $210.41 51 $10,730.91 $10,803.16 +$211.14
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET $206.97 52 $10,762.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $211.36 52 $10,990.72 $11,031.44 +$228.28
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET $211.78 52 $11,012.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $204.04 52 $10,610.08 $10,628.96 $-402.48
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $200.46 53 $10,624.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $204.88 53 $10,858.38 $10,863.22 +$234.26
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $208.66 52 $10,850.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 12:00pm ET $213.11 52 $11,081.72 $11,094.36 +$231.14
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $209.54 52 $10,896.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $211.45 52 $10,995.40 $11,193.68 +$99.32
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $221.99 50 $11,099.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET $227.68 50 $11,383.75 $11,477.68 +$284.00
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $238.95 48 $11,469.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $245.23 48 $11,771.04 $11,779.36 +$301.68
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $247.83 47 $11,647.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $255.01 47 $11,985.24 $12,116.79 +$337.43
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $247.57 48 $11,883.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $253.46 48 $12,166.32 $12,399.87 +$283.08
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET $252.99 49 $12,396.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET $258.30 49 $12,656.70 $12,660.06 +$260.19
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $263.42 48 $12,644.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $263.44 48 $12,645.12 $12,661.02 +$0.96
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $263.56 48 $12,650.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:05am ET $271.05 48 $13,010.40 $13,020.54 +$359.52
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $273.40 47 $12,849.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $270.16 47 $12,697.52 $12,868.26 $-152.28
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $266.35 48 $12,784.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $263.84 48 $12,664.42 $12,747.88 $-120.38
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
16 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $260.29 48 $12,493.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 11:50am ET $265.57 48 $12,747.12 $13,001.08 +$253.20
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $268.85 48 $12,904.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $269.90 48 $12,955.20 $13,051.48 +$50.40
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $272.13 47 $12,790.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $263.11 47 $12,366.40 $12,627.77 $-423.71
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:50am ET $259.98 48 $12,479.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:50am ET $251.88 48 $12,090.24 $12,238.73 $-389.04
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET $253.65 48 $12,175.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $245.97 48 $11,806.56 $11,870.09 $-368.64
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $248.41 47 $11,675.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $240.88 47 $11,321.59 $11,516.41 $-353.68
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $238.28 48 $11,437.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $243.21 48 $11,674.08 $11,753.19 +$236.78
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:30am ET $246.08 47 $11,565.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $238.36 47 $11,202.92 $11,390.35 $-362.84
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,390.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,390.35
Total Return: +13.90%
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