Compendium › Rebel Contraire › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 23 trades in period

+22.14%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,020.54
Current Value
74%
Win Rate
$10,660.71
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 30.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

76
+17.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
8
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 93.1 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+46 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,660.71
Current Value
$13,020.54
Period P&L
$2,359.83
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
17 / 6
Best Trade
+2.90%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$517,117.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,359.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,359.83
Gross Return
+22.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,660.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $210.32 50 $10,515.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $210.03 50 $10,501.50 $10,646.42 $-14.29
(-0.1%) 		📅 Sim Ended
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $197.31 53 $10,457.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:20am ET $201.51 53 $10,680.03 $10,869.02 +$222.60
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 11:25am ET $206.29 52 $10,727.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:00am ET $210.90 52 $10,966.80 $11,108.48 +$239.46
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $203.95 54 $11,013.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:05am ET $208.48 54 $11,257.92 $11,353.27 +$244.79
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:10am ET $210.07 54 $11,344.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:10am ET $208.01 54 $11,232.81 $11,242.03 $-111.24
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:20am ET $204.84 54 $11,061.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:10pm ET $208.96 54 $11,283.84 $11,464.51 +$222.48
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $216.37 52 $11,250.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $209.60 52 $10,899.20 $11,112.73 $-351.78
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:15am ET $214.85 51 $10,957.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET $208.30 51 $10,623.30 $10,778.68 $-334.05
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET $208.23 51 $10,619.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $212.70 51 $10,847.70 $11,006.65 +$227.97
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $215.18 51 $10,974.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $207.05 51 $10,559.55 $10,592.02 $-414.63
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:30am ET $206.27 51 $10,519.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET $210.41 51 $10,730.91 $10,803.16 +$211.14
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET $206.97 52 $10,762.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $211.36 52 $10,990.72 $11,031.44 +$228.28
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET $211.78 52 $11,012.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $204.04 52 $10,610.08 $10,628.96 $-402.48
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $200.46 53 $10,624.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $204.88 53 $10,858.38 $10,863.22 +$234.26
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $208.66 52 $10,850.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 12:00pm ET $213.11 52 $11,081.72 $11,094.36 +$231.14
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $209.54 52 $10,896.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $211.45 52 $10,995.40 $11,193.68 +$99.32
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $221.99 50 $11,099.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET $227.68 50 $11,383.75 $11,477.68 +$284.00
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $238.95 48 $11,469.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $245.23 48 $11,771.04 $11,779.36 +$301.68
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $247.83 47 $11,647.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $255.01 47 $11,985.24 $12,116.79 +$337.43
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $247.57 48 $11,883.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $253.46 48 $12,166.32 $12,399.87 +$283.08
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET $252.99 49 $12,396.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET $258.30 49 $12,656.70 $12,660.06 +$260.19
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $263.42 48 $12,644.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $263.44 48 $12,645.12 $12,661.02 +$0.96
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $263.56 48 $12,650.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:05am ET $271.05 48 $13,010.40 $13,020.54 +$359.52
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,020.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,020.54
Total Return: +30.21%
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