Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:30

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 38.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.5

30-Day Momentum

19
-4.0%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.7 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,145.03
Current Value
$16,297.03
Period P&L
$-847.96
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
17 / 9
Best Trade
+4.28%
Worst Trade
-14.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$871,336.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-847.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-847.96
Gross Return
-4.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $17,145.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $318.64 53 $16,887.92
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:25am ET $326.12 53 $17,284.36 $17,360.70 +$396.44
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $318.21 54 $17,183.34
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $304.81 54 $16,459.74 $16,637.10 $-723.60
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:45am ET $299.69 55 $16,482.95
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $290.67 55 $15,986.85 $16,141.00 $-496.10
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $309.35 52 $16,086.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $315.10 52 $16,385.20 $16,440.00 +$299.00
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $325.20 50 $16,260.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $332.99 50 $16,649.50 $16,829.50 +$389.50
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $349.21 48 $16,762.09
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:45am ET $356.27 48 $17,100.96 $17,168.37 +$338.87
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $372.23 46 $17,122.81
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $380.28 46 $17,492.88 $17,538.44 +$370.07
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:05am ET $394.42 44 $17,354.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $403.24 44 $17,742.78 $17,926.74 +$388.30
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:15am ET $396.52 45 $17,843.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $406.98 45 $18,314.10 $18,397.44 +$470.70
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $426.08 43 $18,321.44
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $409.89 43 $17,625.06 $17,701.06 $-696.38
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET $416.37 42 $17,487.54
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $400.30 42 $16,812.81 $17,026.33 $-674.73
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $398.92 42 $16,754.64
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $416.00 42 $17,472.00 $17,743.69 +$717.36
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $420.30 42 $17,652.60
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $429.53 42 $18,040.26 $18,131.35 +$387.66
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $422.53 42 $17,746.26
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:10pm ET $409.26 42 $17,188.92 $17,574.01 $-557.34
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $428.60 41 $17,572.60
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $413.63 41 $16,958.83 $16,960.24 $-613.77
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:30am ET $413.20 41 $16,941.20
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $429.52 41 $17,610.52 $17,629.56 +$669.32
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
17 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $425.55 41 $17,447.35
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $409.71 41 $16,798.31 $16,980.53 $-649.03
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
18 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:40am ET $418.18 40 $16,727.20
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $418.94 40 $16,757.60 $17,010.93 +$30.40
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
19 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $424.93 40 $16,997.20
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $437.00 40 $17,480.00 $17,493.73 +$482.80
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $448.96 38 $17,060.67
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $457.99 38 $17,403.81 $17,836.87 +$343.14
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:55am ET $479.54 37 $17,742.98
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 37 $15,184.25 $15,278.14 $-2,558.73
(-14.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $404.00 37 $14,947.94
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $391.69 37 $14,492.53 $14,822.73 $-455.41
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $394.80 37 $14,607.60
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $404.95 37 $14,983.15 $15,198.28 +$375.55
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:00am ET $372.63 40 $14,905.20
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:05am ET $380.19 40 $15,207.60 $15,500.68 +$302.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:30am ET $383.36 40 $15,334.60
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.25 40 $15,810.00 $15,976.08 +$475.40
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET $384.67 41 $15,771.55
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET $392.50 41 $16,092.50 $16,297.03 +$320.95
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,297.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,297.03
Total Return: +62.97%
Back to Rebel Contraire