Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:17:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.3/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 60.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 60.1

30-Day Momentum

30
+4.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,822.98
Current Value
$19,960.51
Period P&L
$3,137.52
Max Drawdown
-13.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.53

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
13 / 6
Best Trade
+5.20%
Worst Trade
-3.10%
Avg Trade Return
+1.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$696,511.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,137.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,137.52
Gross Return
+18.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,822.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $293.76 55 $16,156.53
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $302.79 55 $16,653.35 $16,822.99 +$496.83
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $299.23 56 $16,757.16
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $305.29 56 $17,096.24 $17,162.07 +$339.08
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $299.70 57 $17,082.90
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $299.19 57 $17,053.83 $17,133.00 $-29.07
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:20am ET $301.00 56 $16,856.00
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET $303.38 56 $16,989.28 $17,266.28 +$133.28
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $303.87 56 $17,016.72
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $319.66 56 $17,900.96 $18,150.52 +$884.24
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $314.05 57 $17,900.85
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $320.61 57 $18,275.05 $18,524.73 +$374.21
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $327.49 56 $18,339.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $334.93 56 $18,756.36 $18,941.65 +$416.92
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $332.04 57 $18,926.28
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:35am ET $322.02 57 $18,355.14 $18,370.51 $-571.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $314.87 58 $18,262.46
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $322.91 58 $18,728.78 $18,836.83 +$466.32
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $314.29 59 $18,543.11
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:30am ET $320.86 59 $18,930.74 $19,224.46 +$387.63
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $321.64 59 $18,976.76
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:55am ET $321.37 59 $18,960.83 $19,208.53 $-15.93
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:55am ET $320.07 60 $19,203.90
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:55am ET $313.55 60 $18,813.00 $18,817.63 $-390.90
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $309.35 60 $18,561.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:10am ET $315.54 60 $18,932.40 $19,189.03 +$371.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:35am ET $311.80 61 $19,019.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $314.04 61 $19,156.44 $19,325.97 +$136.94
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
15 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $313.53 61 $19,125.33
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET $311.91 61 $19,026.51 $19,227.15 $-98.82
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $310.89 61 $18,964.59
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $301.27 61 $18,377.17 $18,639.72 $-587.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $312.31 59 $18,426.29
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $321.64 59 $18,976.47 $19,189.90 +$550.18
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $317.30 60 $19,038.30
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:15am ET $323.66 60 $19,419.60 $19,571.20 +$381.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $338.27 57 $19,281.39
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $345.10 57 $19,670.70 $19,960.51 +$389.31
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,960.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,960.51
Total Return: +99.61%
Back to Rebel Contraire