Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 9.6

30-Day Momentum

40
+6.2%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.8 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,748
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,831.49
Current Value
$8,435.51
Period P&L
$-1,395.94
Max Drawdown
-32.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
8 / 12
Best Trade
+3.68%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.73%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$337,106.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,395.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,395.94
Gross Return
-14.20%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,831.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET $195.65 50 $9,782.38
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $191.65 50 $9,582.75 $9,631.82 $-199.63
(-2.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $196.74 48 $9,443.52
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET $190.60 48 $9,148.78 $9,337.08 $-294.74
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET $195.48 47 $9,187.56
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $189.60 47 $8,911.20 $9,060.72 $-276.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $191.49 47 $9,000.03
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $184.40 47 $8,667.03 $8,727.72 $-333.00
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET $187.00 46 $8,602.00
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $185.38 46 $8,527.71 $8,653.43 $-74.29
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $189.82 45 $8,541.90
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET $183.69 45 $8,266.05 $8,377.58 $-275.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $182.92 45 $8,231.40
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $183.48 45 $8,256.60 $8,402.78 +$25.20
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $182.70 45 $8,221.50
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET $186.43 45 $8,389.35 $8,570.63 +$167.85
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:00am ET $190.10 45 $8,554.61
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $183.82 45 $8,271.90 $8,287.92 $-282.71
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $180.24 45 $8,110.80
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:45pm ET $183.87 45 $8,274.15 $8,451.27 +$163.35
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.40 46 $8,436.40
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET $177.70 46 $8,174.20 $8,189.07 $-262.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $174.30 46 $8,018.03
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $169.01 46 $7,774.46 $7,945.50 $-243.57
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $173.40 45 $7,803.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $177.70 45 $7,996.50 $8,139.00 +$193.50
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $179.22 45 $8,064.90
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET $173.82 45 $7,821.90 $7,896.00 $-243.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET $174.00 45 $7,830.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.40 45 $8,118.00 $8,184.00 +$288.00
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:55am ET $178.86 45 $8,048.70
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $182.62 45 $8,218.08 $8,353.38 +$169.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $186.93 44 $8,224.70
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET $191.38 44 $8,420.72 $8,549.40 +$196.02
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $189.12 45 $8,510.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:05am ET $183.39 45 $8,252.55 $8,291.55 $-257.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $182.96 45 $8,233.42
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $189.20 45 $8,514.00 $8,572.13 +$280.58
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET $191.04 44 $8,405.98
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:30am ET $187.94 44 $8,269.36 $8,435.51 $-136.62
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,435.51
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,564.49
Total Return: -15.64%
Back to Rebel Contraire