Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:25:04

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 9.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-6.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,413.69
Current Value
$9,074.09
Period P&L
$-339.55
Max Drawdown
-39.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+2.58%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$336,997.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-339.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-339.55
Gross Return
-3.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,413.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:55am ET $57.36 163 $9,349.68
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:15am ET $58.55 163 $9,543.65 $9,578.27 +$193.97
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:30am ET $59.24 161 $9,537.64
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:55am ET $60.77 161 $9,783.86 $9,824.49 +$246.22
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:10am ET $61.19 160 $9,790.40
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $59.29 160 $9,486.40 $9,520.49 $-304.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $59.19 160 $9,471.20
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $58.19 160 $9,309.60 $9,358.89 $-161.60
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:30am ET $58.33 160 $9,332.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $59.51 160 $9,521.60 $9,548.49 +$189.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $59.67 160 $9,547.20
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $58.26 160 $9,322.40 $9,323.69 $-224.80
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $58.10 160 $9,296.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $59.44 160 $9,509.60 $9,537.29 +$213.60
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $58.94 161 $9,490.14
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:10am ET $57.06 161 $9,186.66 $9,233.81 $-303.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $57.14 161 $9,199.54
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $56.38 161 $9,077.98 $9,112.25 $-121.56
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:45am ET $55.55 164 $9,110.20
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $56.79 164 $9,313.56 $9,315.61 +$203.36
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:45am ET $56.17 165 $9,268.87
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $57.48 165 $9,484.20 $9,530.94 +$215.33
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:30am ET $58.16 163 $9,480.08
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $59.35 163 $9,673.24 $9,724.10 +$193.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $59.60 163 $9,714.80
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $57.33 163 $9,345.60 $9,354.91 $-369.19
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
14 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $57.22 163 $9,326.86
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $55.45 163 $9,038.35 $9,066.40 $-288.51
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET $54.72 165 $9,027.98
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $56.01 165 $9,241.63 $9,280.06 +$213.66
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $56.83 163 $9,263.29
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET $56.15 163 $9,153.26 $9,170.03 $-110.03
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET $56.33 162 $9,125.46
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $57.51 162 $9,316.62 $9,361.19 +$191.16
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:55am ET $56.50 165 $9,322.50
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET $54.76 165 $9,035.40 $9,074.09 $-287.10
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,074.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-925.91
Total Return: -9.26%
Back to Rebel Contraire