Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 14:05:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 6.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 6.1

30-Day Momentum

2
-6.0%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,813
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,465.29
Current Value
$5,378.04
Period P&L
$-1,087.24
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
4 / 11
Best Trade
+2.08%
Worst Trade
-4.87%
Avg Trade Return
-1.15%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$179,182.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,087.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,087.24
Gross Return
-16.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,465.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $30.97 207 $6,410.79
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $31.46 207 $6,512.22 $6,518.06 +$101.43
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $31.57 206 $6,503.42
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $31.32 206 $6,451.92 $6,466.56 $-51.50
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET $31.72 203 $6,439.16
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $30.76 203 $6,245.29 $6,272.70 $-193.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $30.90 203 $6,272.70
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $31.17 203 $6,326.50 $6,326.50 +$53.80
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET $31.82 198 $6,300.36
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $30.83 198 $6,105.33 $6,131.47 $-195.03
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET $30.66 199 $6,101.34
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $30.27 199 $6,023.73 $6,053.86 $-77.61
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:15am ET $30.47 198 $6,033.85
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET $29.44 198 $5,830.11 $5,850.12 $-203.74
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $29.13 200 $5,825.00
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $29.59 200 $5,918.00 $5,943.12 +$93.00
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET $28.93 205 $5,930.65
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $28.73 205 $5,888.63 $5,901.10 $-42.02
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $28.49 207 $5,896.40
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:55am ET $27.63 207 $5,719.41 $5,724.11 $-176.99
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $28.06 204 $5,723.22
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $27.91 204 $5,693.64 $5,694.53 $-29.58
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $27.90 204 $5,691.60
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $28.48 204 $5,809.92 $5,812.85 +$118.32
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET $29.70 195 $5,792.47
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET $29.35 195 $5,724.22 $5,744.60 $-68.25
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $31.84 180 $5,731.20
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.29 180 $5,452.20 $5,465.60 $-279.00
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $27.43 199 $5,458.57
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.99 199 $5,371.01 $5,378.04 $-87.56
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,378.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,621.96
Total Return: -46.22%
Back to Rebel Contraire