COIN Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 37 trades in period
-9.46%
Last 3 Months Return
$3,675.06
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$4,059.17
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality
9.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.0
30-Day Momentum
13
-1.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$4,059.17
Current Value
$3,675.06
Period P&L
$-384.11
Max Drawdown
-67.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
19 /
18
Best Trade
+7.11%
Worst Trade
-5.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$272,116.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-384.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-384.11
Gross Return
-9.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.46%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $4,059.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $202.20 | 20 | $4,044.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $196.02 | 20 | $3,920.38 | $3,935.55 |
$-123.62 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $187.52 | 20 | $3,750.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:30pm ET | $180.88 | 20 | $3,617.60 | $3,802.75 |
$-132.80 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $173.54 | 21 | $3,644.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.16 | 21 | $3,489.36 | $3,647.67 |
$-155.08 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $161.96 | 22 | $3,563.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $167.38 | 22 | $3,682.47 | $3,767.02 |
+$119.35 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $173.68 | 21 | $3,647.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $177.44 | 21 | $3,726.24 | $3,846.08 |
+$79.06 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $171.24 | 22 | $3,767.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.70 | 22 | $3,865.29 | $3,944.09 |
+$98.01 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $170.79 | 23 | $3,928.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:45pm ET | $174.43 | 23 | $4,012.00 | $4,028.04 |
+$83.95 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $176.42 | 22 | $3,881.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $169.43 | 22 | $3,727.57 | $3,874.37 |
$-153.67 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $163.36 | 23 | $3,757.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $166.87 | 23 | $3,837.90 | $3,954.99 |
+$80.62 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $172.93 | 22 | $3,804.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.26 | 22 | $3,965.72 | $4,116.25 |
+$161.26 (+4.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $190.91 | 21 | $4,009.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $194.81 | 21 | $4,091.01 | $4,198.15 |
+$81.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $211.21 | 19 | $4,012.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.56 | 19 | $3,810.66 | $3,995.82 |
$-202.33 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $206.15 | 19 | $3,916.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $199.67 | 19 | $3,793.73 | $3,872.60 |
$-123.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:15pm ET | $207.13 | 18 | $3,728.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $199.49 | 18 | $3,590.82 | $3,735.08 |
$-137.52 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $199.00 | 18 | $3,582.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $203.05 | 18 | $3,654.99 | $3,808.07 |
+$72.99 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $193.11 | 19 | $3,669.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.15 | 19 | $3,555.77 | $3,694.74 |
$-113.33 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $183.89 | 20 | $3,677.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $188.40 | 20 | $3,768.00 | $3,784.94 |
+$90.20 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:25am ET | $192.41 | 19 | $3,655.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.40 | 19 | $3,788.69 | $3,917.84 |
+$132.90 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $198.38 | 19 | $3,769.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET | $191.98 | 19 | $3,647.62 | $3,796.24 |
$-121.60 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $195.55 | 19 | $3,715.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $201.59 | 19 | $3,830.21 | $3,910.91 |
+$114.67 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $210.73 | 18 | $3,793.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $203.65 | 18 | $3,665.70 | $3,783.47 |
$-127.44 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 1:40pm ET | $200.43 | 18 | $3,607.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $206.94 | 18 | $3,724.92 | $3,900.74 |
+$117.27 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $196.01 | 19 | $3,724.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.78 | 19 | $3,586.82 | $3,763.37 |
$-137.37 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $188.13 | 20 | $3,762.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 11:35am ET | $192.10 | 20 | $3,841.90 | $3,842.67 |
+$79.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 1:25pm ET | $194.85 | 19 | $3,702.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $188.59 | 19 | $3,583.21 | $3,723.73 |
$-118.94 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $189.83 | 19 | $3,606.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $183.68 | 19 | $3,489.92 | $3,606.88 |
$-116.85 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $175.90 | 20 | $3,518.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.41 | 20 | $3,408.24 | $3,497.12 |
$-109.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $180.15 | 19 | $3,422.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $184.78 | 19 | $3,510.82 | $3,585.09 |
+$87.97 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:05pm ET | $182.39 | 19 | $3,465.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET | $186.40 | 19 | $3,541.60 | $3,661.28 |
+$76.19 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $173.52 | 21 | $3,643.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $168.19 | 21 | $3,531.99 | $3,549.35 |
$-111.93 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $162.45 | 21 | $3,411.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $165.82 | 21 | $3,482.22 | $3,620.12 |
+$70.77 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $154.07 | 23 | $3,543.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $149.38 | 23 | $3,435.74 | $3,512.25 |
$-107.87 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $161.73 | 21 | $3,396.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $155.85 | 21 | $3,272.85 | $3,388.87 |
$-123.38 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $156.96 | 21 | $3,296.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET | $160.10 | 21 | $3,362.10 | $3,454.81 |
+$65.94 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $160.21 | 21 | $3,364.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.60 | 21 | $3,603.60 | $3,694.09 |
+$239.28 (+7.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $167.64 | 22 | $3,688.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $172.77 | 22 | $3,800.94 | $3,806.95 |
+$112.86 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $171.80 | 22 | $3,779.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $165.81 | 22 | $3,647.82 | $3,675.06 |
$-131.89 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,675.06
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,324.94
Total Return:
-63.25%