Compendium › Rebel Contraire › COP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COP
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 23 trades in period

+22.04%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,960.39
Current Value
74%
Win Rate
$9,800.61
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:08

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 27.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 27.3

30-Day Momentum

48
+7.5%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.8 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,800.61
Current Value
$11,960.39
Period P&L
$2,159.80
Max Drawdown
-20.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
17 / 6
Best Trade
+3.13%
Worst Trade
-5.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$505,726.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,159.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,159.80
Gross Return
+22.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,800.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $108.69 90 $9,782.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $107.70 90 $9,693.00 $9,711.49 $-89.10
(-0.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
22h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $110.76 87 $9,636.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $113.38 87 $9,864.06 $9,938.99 +$227.50
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:55am ET $109.86 90 $9,886.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $109.33 90 $9,840.15 $9,892.19 $-46.80
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $110.78 89 $9,859.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $113.28 89 $10,081.92 $10,114.69 +$222.50
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $116.12 87 $10,102.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $119.76 87 $10,419.12 $10,431.37 +$316.68
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $115.50 90 $10,395.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $118.41 90 $10,656.90 $10,693.27 +$261.90
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:55am ET $117.70 90 $10,593.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $113.99 90 $10,259.10 $10,359.37 $-333.90
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:55pm ET $116.25 89 $10,346.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET $118.88 89 $10,579.88 $10,593.00 +$233.63
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:00pm ET $121.21 87 $10,545.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:45am ET $123.65 87 $10,757.55 $10,805.28 +$212.28
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $123.78 87 $10,768.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $126.32 87 $10,990.27 $11,026.69 +$221.41
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET $126.10 87 $10,970.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $128.99 87 $11,222.13 $11,278.56 +$251.87
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $129.32 87 $11,250.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $132.18 87 $11,499.66 $11,527.38 +$248.82
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $133.51 86 $11,482.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $128.86 86 $11,081.96 $11,127.05 $-400.33
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:55am ET $132.69 83 $11,013.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET $132.79 83 $11,021.57 $11,135.35 +$8.30
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:15am ET $123.60 90 $11,124.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $127.43 90 $11,468.70 $11,480.05 +$344.70
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $123.57 92 $11,368.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET $119.73 92 $11,015.16 $11,126.77 $-353.28
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:45am ET $118.98 93 $11,065.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $121.37 93 $11,287.41 $11,348.83 +$222.06
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $113.71 99 $11,257.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $116.11 99 $11,494.89 $11,586.43 +$237.60
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $117.26 98 $11,491.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $119.72 98 $11,732.56 $11,827.51 +$241.08
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $122.83 96 $11,791.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $125.46 96 $12,044.16 $12,079.93 +$252.42
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $120.68 100 $12,068.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $124.16 100 $12,416.25 $12,428.18 +$348.25
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $125.22 99 $12,396.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $127.82 99 $12,654.18 $12,685.57 +$257.39
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
23 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $124.63 101 $12,587.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $117.45 101 $11,862.45 $11,960.39 $-725.18
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,960.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,960.39
Total Return: +19.60%
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