Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:23:03

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.6/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 29.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 28.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,538.15
Current Value
$12,284.25
Period P&L
$-253.91
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+2.48%
Worst Trade
-3.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$493,427.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-253.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-253.91
Gross Return
-2.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,538.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $984.80 12 $11,817.60
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $968.73 12 $11,624.76 $12,431.00 $-192.84
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:15pm ET $975.89 12 $11,710.62
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $989.85 12 $11,878.20 $12,598.58 +$167.58
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $999.00 12 $11,988.00
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.26 12 $12,147.12 $12,757.70 +$159.12
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $1,015.35 12 $12,184.20
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,035.70 12 $12,428.40 $13,001.90 +$244.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $997.79 13 $12,971.27
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $967.06 13 $12,571.78 $12,602.41 $-399.49
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $981.81 12 $11,781.72
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1,006.20 12 $12,074.40 $12,895.09 +$292.68
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $988.96 13 $12,856.48
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,010.81 13 $13,140.53 $13,179.14 +$284.05
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET $1,009.64 13 $13,125.32
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $987.51 13 $12,837.57 $12,891.38 $-287.76
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $1,012.20 12 $12,146.40
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $1,011.07 12 $12,132.78 $12,877.76 $-13.62
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:15am ET $994.20 12 $11,930.40
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,014.53 12 $12,174.30 $13,121.66 +$243.90
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $991.69 13 $12,891.97
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:00am ET $1,011.88 13 $13,154.44 $13,384.13 +$262.47
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21h held
12 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:20am ET $1,033.94 12 $12,407.34
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:00am ET $1,056.76 12 $12,681.12 $13,657.91 +$273.78
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:00am ET $1,067.65 12 $12,811.75
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:05am ET $1,089.00 12 $13,068.00 $13,914.16 +$256.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
14 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,084.27 12 $13,011.18
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $1,044.43 12 $12,533.16 $13,436.14 $-478.02
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
15 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $1,038.32 12 $12,459.90
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $1,001.01 12 $12,012.06 $12,988.30 $-447.84
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
16 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $1,004.60 12 $12,055.20
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $973.12 12 $11,677.44 $12,610.54 $-377.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $948.51 13 $12,330.63
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:35am ET $967.79 13 $12,581.27 $12,861.18 +$250.64
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:35am ET $985.46 13 $12,810.98
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:35am ET $971.42 13 $12,628.46 $12,678.66 $-182.52
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:40am ET $978.30 12 $11,739.66
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:40am ET $976.05 12 $11,712.60 $12,651.60 $-27.06
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $987.74 12 $11,852.92
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.13 12 $11,485.56 $12,284.25 $-367.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,284.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,284.25
Total Return: +22.84%
Back to Rebel Contraire