Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
5.2/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 18.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.5%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,695.76
Current Value
$10,325.53
Period P&L
$629.74
Max Drawdown
-37.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
19 / 11
Best Trade
+4.42%
Worst Trade
-6.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$576,710.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$629.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$629.74
Gross Return
+6.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,695.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:35am ET $414.05 23 $9,523.04
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $394.80 23 $9,080.40 $9,253.15 $-442.64
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET $394.92 23 $9,083.05
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 23 $8,519.89 $8,689.99 $-563.16
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $387.11 22 $8,516.42
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $396.89 22 $8,731.58 $8,905.15 +$215.16
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $387.62 22 $8,527.64
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $397.55 22 $8,746.21 $9,123.72 +$218.57
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $395.11 23 $9,087.53
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $403.21 23 $9,273.83 $9,310.02 +$186.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $428.20 21 $8,992.30
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $413.86 21 $8,690.96 $9,008.67 $-301.35
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $382.79 23 $8,804.11
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET $369.45 23 $8,497.24 $8,701.79 $-306.88
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $395.20 22 $8,694.40
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $405.25 22 $8,915.50 $8,922.89 +$221.10
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:20am ET $405.20 22 $8,914.29
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $422.51 22 $9,295.13 $9,303.73 +$380.84
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET $427.86 21 $8,985.16
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $439.75 21 $9,234.75 $9,553.32 +$249.59
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET $460.73 20 $9,214.60
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:05am ET $444.62 20 $8,892.40 $9,231.12 $-322.20
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $440.51 20 $8,810.20
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $449.58 20 $8,991.60 $9,412.52 +$181.40
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $455.51 20 $9,110.10
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $440.96 20 $8,819.20 $9,121.62 $-290.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $450.60 20 $9,012.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $462.80 20 $9,256.00 $9,365.62 +$244.00
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:45am ET $472.43 19 $8,976.26
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $488.00 19 $9,272.00 $9,661.36 +$295.74
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $495.69 19 $9,418.11
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:15am ET $508.33 19 $9,658.36 $9,901.61 +$240.25
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
17 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $533.83 18 $9,608.94
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:15am ET $546.56 18 $9,838.08 $10,130.75 +$229.14
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
18 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:45am ET $547.02 18 $9,846.36
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $558.51 18 $10,053.09 $10,337.48 +$206.73
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
19 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:50pm ET $580.85 17 $9,874.45
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $592.83 17 $10,078.11 $10,541.14 +$203.66
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
20 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $611.45 17 $10,394.65
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $626.45 17 $10,649.65 $10,796.14 +$255.00
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20h held
21 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $642.92 16 $10,286.66
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $658.09 16 $10,529.44 $11,038.92 +$242.78
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
22 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:10am ET $666.90 16 $10,670.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $638.00 16 $10,208.00 $10,576.52 $-462.40
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
23 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:40am ET $655.49 16 $10,487.92
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $669.00 16 $10,704.00 $10,792.60 +$216.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $720.86 14 $10,092.07
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $752.71 14 $10,537.94 $11,238.47 +$445.87
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $768.47 14 $10,758.65
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $743.64 14 $10,410.96 $10,890.78 $-347.69
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:15am ET $680.05 16 $10,880.80
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET $694.87 16 $11,117.92 $11,127.90 +$237.12
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:05am ET $690.07 16 $11,041.04
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:55am ET $666.20 16 $10,659.20 $10,746.06 $-381.84
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:05am ET $637.55 16 $10,200.80
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $618.42 16 $9,894.72 $10,439.98 $-306.08
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $653.53 15 $9,803.02
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET $667.41 15 $10,011.15 $10,648.11 +$208.13
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:20am ET $695.01 15 $10,425.15
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET $673.51 15 $10,102.58 $10,325.53 $-322.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,325.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$325.53
Total Return: +3.26%
Back to Rebel Contraire