Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:21:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 43.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 42.5

30-Day Momentum

37
+4.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.3 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,530.32
Current Value
$14,068.89
Period P&L
$1,538.59
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
10 / 5
Best Trade
+3.35%
Worst Trade
-1.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.85%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$391,469.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,538.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,538.59
Gross Return
+12.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,530.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $458.52 27 $12,380.04
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $466.59 27 $12,597.93 $12,650.99 +$217.89
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $461.75 27 $12,467.25
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $456.00 27 $12,312.00 $12,495.74 $-155.25
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $464.87 26 $12,086.62
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $464.54 26 $12,078.04 $12,487.16 $-8.58
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $463.40 26 $12,048.40
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $478.92 26 $12,451.92 $12,890.68 +$403.52
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $478.15 26 $12,431.90
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $484.56 26 $12,598.56 $13,057.34 +$166.66
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET $483.40 27 $13,051.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET $493.70 27 $13,329.77 $13,335.31 +$277.97
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $493.24 27 $13,317.48
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $491.62 27 $13,273.74 $13,291.57 $-43.74
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $492.29 26 $12,799.54
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $493.62 26 $12,834.12 $13,326.15 +$34.58
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $490.29 27 $13,237.83
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $500.90 27 $13,524.30 $13,612.62 +$286.47
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:50am ET $496.92 27 $13,416.84
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:50am ET $495.45 27 $13,377.02 $13,572.79 $-39.83
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $500.74 27 $13,519.98
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 12:35pm ET $495.27 27 $13,372.16 $13,424.97 $-147.82
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $498.24 26 $12,954.24
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $508.53 26 $13,221.78 $13,692.51 +$267.54
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $504.17 27 $13,612.59
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $509.98 27 $13,769.46 $13,849.38 +$156.87
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $509.37 27 $13,752.99
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $510.60 27 $13,786.20 $13,882.59 +$33.21
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $512.57 27 $13,839.39
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $519.47 27 $14,025.69 $14,068.89 +$186.30
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,068.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,068.89
Total Return: +40.69%
Back to Rebel Contraire