Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:58:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.9/35
Total Return
16.7/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
6.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 70.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 69.5

30-Day Momentum

45
+7.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
5.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.1 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,800
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,021.65
Current Value
$20,238.64
Period P&L
$1,216.92
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
12 / 8
Best Trade
+4.86%
Worst Trade
-3.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$767,226.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,216.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,216.92
Gross Return
+6.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $19,021.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $455.65 41 $18,681.65
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET $465.15 41 $19,071.15 $19,118.48 +$389.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $460.49 41 $18,880.09
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $462.96 41 $18,981.36 $19,219.75 +$101.27
(+0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET $446.47 43 $19,198.21
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $455.83 43 $19,600.90 $19,622.44 +$402.69
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:45am ET $460.83 42 $19,354.80
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $474.64 42 $19,934.88 $20,202.52 +$580.08
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET $471.31 42 $19,795.02
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:10am ET $480.98 42 $20,201.02 $20,608.52 +$406.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $488.90 42 $20,533.80
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $472.03 42 $19,825.26 $19,899.98 $-708.54
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:55am ET $473.08 42 $19,869.36
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET $467.66 42 $19,641.72 $19,672.34 $-227.64
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $480.42 40 $19,216.80
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET $464.94 40 $18,597.60 $19,053.15 $-619.19
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET $458.84 41 $18,812.48
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $445.06 41 $18,247.46 $18,488.13 $-565.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $425.61 43 $18,301.23
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $412.11 43 $17,720.73 $17,907.63 $-580.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $400.75 44 $17,633.00
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $420.21 44 $18,489.24 $18,763.87 +$856.24
(+4.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET $408.34 45 $18,375.30
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET $417.70 45 $18,796.61 $19,185.18 +$421.31
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $416.63 46 $19,164.75
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $425.80 46 $19,586.80 $19,607.23 +$422.05
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $438.92 44 $19,312.54
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $422.53 44 $18,591.32 $18,886.01 $-721.22
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET $428.80 44 $18,867.20
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $440.24 44 $19,370.56 $19,389.37 +$503.36
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $437.40 44 $19,245.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $440.24 44 $19,370.78 $19,514.55 +$125.18
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $442.56 44 $19,472.64
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET $442.52 44 $19,470.88 $19,512.79 $-1.76
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET $435.67 44 $19,169.70
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $431.63 44 $18,991.72 $19,334.81 $-177.98
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $418.55 46 $19,253.35
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $427.41 46 $19,660.86 $19,742.32 +$407.51
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
20 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:50am ET $419.59 47 $19,720.73
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $430.15 47 $20,217.05 $20,238.64 +$496.32
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,238.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,238.64
Total Return: +102.39%
Back to Rebel Contraire