Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:29

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.8/35
Total Return
17.9/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 56.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-5.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$21,912.90
Current Value
$24,242.45
Period P&L
$2,329.56
Max Drawdown
-25.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
14 / 9
Best Trade
+6.70%
Worst Trade
-3.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,065,413.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,329.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,329.56
Gross Return
+10.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $21,912.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:00am ET $306.85 72 $22,092.84
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $302.70 72 $21,794.76 $21,896.33 $-298.08
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $298.99 73 $21,826.42
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $289.98 73 $21,168.54 $21,238.45 $-657.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $284.52 74 $21,054.11
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $275.90 74 $20,416.60 $20,600.94 $-637.51
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:45am ET $274.49 75 $20,586.75
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $280.00 75 $21,000.00 $21,014.19 +$413.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $299.92 70 $20,994.40
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $290.17 70 $20,311.97 $20,331.76 $-682.43
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:35am ET $297.20 68 $20,209.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $303.40 68 $20,631.20 $20,753.36 +$421.60
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET $312.38 66 $20,616.96
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $318.65 66 $21,030.90 $21,167.30 +$413.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $316.84 66 $20,911.44
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $325.13 66 $21,458.81 $21,714.67 +$547.37
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $331.57 65 $21,552.05
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $338.75 65 $22,018.75 $22,181.37 +$466.70
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $336.64 65 $21,881.60
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:55am ET $337.60 65 $21,943.68 $22,243.44 +$62.07
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:35am ET $340.55 65 $22,136.07
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:55am ET $348.19 65 $22,632.26 $22,739.62 +$496.18
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $350.45 64 $22,428.80
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 64 $23,930.88 $24,241.70 +$1,502.08
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $380.07 63 $23,944.41
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $390.18 63 $24,581.34 $24,878.63 +$636.93
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:05am ET $393.36 63 $24,781.68
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $401.32 63 $25,283.16 $25,380.11 +$501.48
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $389.72 65 $25,331.80
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:30am ET $397.85 65 $25,860.02 $25,908.33 +$528.22
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
16 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $400.56 64 $25,636.13
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:50am ET $388.40 64 $24,857.60 $25,129.80 $-778.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:10am ET $384.11 65 $24,966.99
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $392.29 65 $25,498.85 $25,661.66 +$531.86
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $384.71 66 $25,390.86
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $392.75 66 $25,921.50 $26,192.30 +$530.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
19 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:15am ET $390.09 67 $26,136.03
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $376.18 67 $25,204.06 $25,260.33 $-931.97
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $366.70 68 $24,935.60
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $365.07 68 $24,824.76 $25,149.49 $-110.84
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $369.40 68 $25,119.20
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $357.71 68 $24,324.28 $24,354.57 $-794.92
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $356.75 68 $24,259.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $366.23 68 $24,903.64 $24,999.21 +$644.64
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $371.49 67 $24,889.83
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $360.20 67 $24,133.07 $24,242.45 $-756.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,242.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,242.45
Total Return: +142.42%
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