HOOD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 35 trades in period
+19.27%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,059.12
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$9,272.18
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
21.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 21.6
30-Day Momentum
46
+8.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.2
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,272.18
Current Value
$11,059.12
Period P&L
$1,787.06
Max Drawdown
-32.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
22 /
13
Best Trade
+6.37%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$665,029.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,787.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,787.06
Gross Return
+19.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,272.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:10pm ET | $72.97 | 127 | $9,267.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $70.77 | 127 | $8,987.79 | $8,992.66 |
$-279.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $73.64 | 122 | $8,984.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.11 | 122 | $8,675.42 | $8,684.00 |
$-308.66 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $67.67 | 128 | $8,661.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $65.58 | 128 | $8,394.88 | $8,417.76 |
$-266.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 2:00pm ET | $68.00 | 123 | $8,364.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.20 | 123 | $8,757.60 | $8,811.36 |
+$393.60 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $65.86 | 133 | $8,759.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $67.68 | 133 | $9,000.78 | $9,052.76 |
+$241.40 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $69.92 | 129 | $9,019.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $67.79 | 129 | $8,744.90 | $8,777.98 |
$-274.78 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $75.46 | 116 | $8,753.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $73.04 | 116 | $8,473.22 | $8,497.84 |
$-280.14 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $70.57 | 120 | $8,468.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $72.02 | 120 | $8,642.40 | $8,671.84 |
+$174.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $68.79 | 126 | $8,667.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $70.32 | 126 | $8,860.02 | $8,864.32 |
+$192.48 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:50am ET | $78.37 | 113 | $8,855.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.36 | 113 | $9,419.79 | $9,428.22 |
+$563.90 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $85.03 | 110 | $9,352.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $86.86 | 110 | $9,554.59 | $9,630.06 |
+$201.84 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $92.03 | 104 | $9,570.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $89.20 | 104 | $9,276.80 | $9,335.90 |
$-294.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $87.29 | 106 | $9,252.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.34 | 106 | $9,470.04 | $9,553.20 |
+$217.30 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.20 | 109 | $9,504.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $84.43 | 109 | $9,202.87 | $9,251.27 |
$-301.93 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $84.56 | 109 | $9,217.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.47 | 109 | $8,880.23 | $8,914.46 |
$-336.81 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.15 | 123 | $8,874.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $73.61 | 123 | $9,054.03 | $9,094.32 |
+$179.86 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $74.64 | 121 | $9,031.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.33 | 121 | $9,356.93 | $9,419.79 |
+$325.47 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $77.03 | 122 | $9,397.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $78.98 | 122 | $9,635.56 | $9,657.69 |
+$237.90 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $74.68 | 129 | $9,633.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:50pm ET | $76.29 | 129 | $9,841.41 | $9,865.88 |
+$208.19 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:05pm ET | $80.18 | 123 | $9,861.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $77.64 | 123 | $9,550.33 | $9,554.69 |
$-311.19 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $76.93 | 124 | $9,539.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $78.52 | 124 | $9,736.48 | $9,751.23 |
+$196.54 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $76.67 | 127 | $9,737.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $78.52 | 127 | $9,972.04 | $9,986.18 |
+$234.95 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $74.28 | 134 | $9,953.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $76.02 | 134 | $10,186.68 | $10,219.34 |
+$233.16 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $75.83 | 134 | $10,161.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $73.56 | 134 | $9,856.37 | $9,913.82 |
$-305.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $74.82 | 132 | $9,876.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $76.32 | 132 | $10,074.24 | $10,111.82 |
+$198.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $88.14 | 114 | $10,048.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $89.94 | 114 | $10,253.16 | $10,316.45 |
+$204.63 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:55am ET | $91.01 | 113 | $10,284.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.64 | 113 | $9,903.32 | $9,935.64 |
$-380.81 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $83.92 | 118 | $9,901.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $85.60 | 118 | $10,100.21 | $10,133.88 |
+$198.24 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $84.45 | 119 | $10,049.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $81.81 | 119 | $9,735.39 | $9,819.72 |
$-314.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $85.10 | 115 | $9,785.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $87.36 | 115 | $10,046.68 | $10,080.47 |
+$260.75 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $90.42 | 111 | $10,036.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $87.11 | 111 | $9,669.21 | $9,713.06 |
$-367.41 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET | $89.15 | 108 | $9,628.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $91.10 | 108 | $9,838.80 | $9,923.66 |
+$210.60 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $93.33 | 106 | $9,892.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.89 | 106 | $10,481.81 | $10,512.49 |
+$588.83 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $95.69 | 109 | $10,430.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $98.56 | 109 | $10,742.50 | $10,824.79 |
+$312.30 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $104.83 | 103 | $10,797.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $107.11 | 103 | $11,031.82 | $11,059.12 |
+$234.33 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,059.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,059.12
Total Return:
+10.59%