Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.5/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 51.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 50.4

30-Day Momentum

46
+6.6%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.2 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,002.33
Current Value
$16,221.58
Period P&L
$1,219.30
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
13 / 7
Best Trade
+3.13%
Worst Trade
-3.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$621,712.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,219.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,219.30
Gross Return
+8.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,002.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $293.30 51 $14,958.05
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $294.26 51 $15,007.01 $15,051.24 +$48.96
(+0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $257.34 58 $14,925.72
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $253.99 58 $14,731.42 $14,856.94 $-194.30
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET $231.67 64 $14,826.85
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET $236.41 64 $15,130.24 $15,160.33 +$303.39
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:40am ET $235.86 64 $15,095.04
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $241.85 64 $15,478.40 $15,543.69 +$383.36
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $237.49 65 $15,437.17
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:45am ET $242.29 65 $15,749.17 $15,855.69 +$312.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $249.76 63 $15,735.08
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET $254.80 63 $16,052.40 $16,173.01 +$317.32
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:50am ET $255.11 63 $16,071.93
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:15am ET $247.40 63 $15,586.20 $15,687.28 $-485.73
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:05am ET $248.90 63 $15,680.54
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:05am ET $246.97 63 $15,559.11 $15,565.85 $-121.43
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $253.40 61 $15,457.70
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $245.48 61 $14,974.28 $15,082.42 $-483.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $245.41 61 $14,970.01
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 61 $14,505.80 $14,618.21 $-464.21
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $237.63 61 $14,495.43
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $242.43 61 $14,788.53 $14,911.31 +$293.10
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $242.32 61 $14,781.52
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $247.32 61 $15,086.82 $15,216.61 +$305.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $242.69 62 $15,046.61
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $248.95 62 $15,434.90 $15,604.90 +$388.29
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $236.43 66 $15,604.38
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $241.20 66 $15,918.87 $15,919.39 +$314.49
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET $243.82 65 $15,848.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $249.01 65 $16,185.65 $16,256.74 +$337.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $252.23 64 $16,142.66
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $258.02 64 $16,513.28 $16,627.36 +$370.62
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET $255.86 64 $16,375.04
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $247.95 64 $15,868.80 $16,121.12 $-506.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $230.88 69 $15,930.38
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $232.34 69 $16,031.12 $16,221.86 +$100.74
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $227.88 71 $16,179.13
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $235.00 71 $16,685.00 $16,727.74 +$505.88
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
20 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $231.74 72 $16,685.28
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $224.71 72 $16,179.12 $16,221.58 $-506.16
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,221.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,221.58
Total Return: +62.22%
Back to Rebel Contraire