Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 44.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 43.1

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,862.86
Current Value
$13,846.95
Period P&L
$-15.91
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+2.20%
Worst Trade
-3.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$443,729.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-15.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-15.91
Gross Return
-0.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,862.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET $239.26 58 $13,877.37
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $238.63 58 $13,840.54 $13,844.30 $-36.83
(-0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $243.44 56 $13,632.64
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $242.60 56 $13,585.60 $13,797.26 $-47.04
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET $246.74 55 $13,570.70
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $249.38 55 $13,716.17 $13,942.73 +$145.47
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $245.34 56 $13,739.04
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:35am ET $237.65 56 $13,308.12 $13,511.81 $-430.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $238.62 56 $13,362.72
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $243.59 56 $13,640.76 $13,789.85 +$278.04
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $243.68 56 $13,646.08
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $244.77 56 $13,707.12 $13,850.89 +$61.04
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET $240.86 57 $13,729.02
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $237.12 57 $13,515.84 $13,637.71 $-213.18
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 58 $13,538.94
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $238.34 58 $13,823.72 $13,922.49 +$284.78
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET $239.88 58 $13,913.04
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $244.89 58 $14,203.62 $14,213.07 +$290.58
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:00am ET $244.96 58 $14,207.68
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $242.67 58 $14,074.86 $14,080.25 $-132.82
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:15am ET $238.35 59 $14,062.65
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $243.60 59 $14,372.28 $14,389.88 +$309.63
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET $239.69 60 $14,381.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET $239.35 60 $14,361.00 $14,369.48 $-20.40
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $235.13 61 $14,343.23
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $227.15 61 $13,856.15 $13,882.39 $-487.09
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET $226.34 61 $13,806.74
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $230.88 61 $14,083.98 $14,159.63 +$277.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $227.71 62 $14,118.02
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $227.66 62 $14,114.91 $14,156.52 $-3.11
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:10am ET $228.73 61 $13,952.53
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:10am ET $223.65 61 $13,642.95 $13,846.95 $-309.57
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,846.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,846.95
Total Return: +38.47%
Back to Rebel Contraire