Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:25:05

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.7/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 45.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 44.7

30-Day Momentum

10
+0.4%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,643.98
Current Value
$14,110.47
Period P&L
$466.49
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
8 / 9
Best Trade
+2.51%
Worst Trade
-3.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$477,183.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$466.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$466.49
Gross Return
+3.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,643.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET $240.86 57 $13,729.02
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $237.12 57 $13,515.84 $13,637.71 $-213.18
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 58 $13,538.94
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $238.34 58 $13,823.72 $13,922.49 +$284.78
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET $239.88 58 $13,913.04
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $244.89 58 $14,203.62 $14,213.07 +$290.58
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:00am ET $244.96 58 $14,207.68
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $242.67 58 $14,074.86 $14,080.25 $-132.82
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:15am ET $238.35 59 $14,062.65
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $243.60 59 $14,372.28 $14,389.88 +$309.63
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET $239.69 60 $14,381.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET $239.35 60 $14,361.00 $14,369.48 $-20.40
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $235.13 61 $14,343.23
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $227.15 61 $13,856.15 $13,882.39 $-487.09
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET $226.34 61 $13,806.74
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $230.88 61 $14,083.98 $14,159.63 +$277.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $227.71 62 $14,118.02
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $227.66 62 $14,114.91 $14,156.52 $-3.11
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:10am ET $228.73 61 $13,952.53
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:10am ET $223.65 61 $13,642.95 $13,846.95 $-309.57
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:25am ET $221.18 62 $13,713.16
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:20am ET $225.77 62 $13,998.05 $14,131.84 +$284.89
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $229.72 61 $14,012.92
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:30pm ET $228.43 61 $13,934.53 $14,053.45 $-78.39
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET $229.09 61 $13,974.49
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $234.83 61 $14,324.63 $14,403.59 +$350.14
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:55am ET $229.76 62 $14,245.43
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $223.01 62 $13,826.62 $13,984.78 $-418.81
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $222.45 62 $13,791.59
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $227.18 62 $14,085.16 $14,278.35 +$293.57
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $232.96 61 $14,210.56
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $238.79 61 $14,565.89 $14,633.67 +$355.32
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:30am ET $241.01 60 $14,460.60
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $232.29 60 $13,937.40 $14,110.47 $-523.20
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,110.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,110.47
Total Return: +41.10%
Back to Rebel Contraire