LCID Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 36 trades in period
-28.84%
Last 3 Months Return
$2,360.02
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$3,316.28
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
8
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality
8.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 8.2
30-Day Momentum
11
-20.7%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$3,316.28
Current Value
$2,360.02
Period P&L
$-956.28
Max Drawdown
-69.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
19 /
17
Best Trade
+6.06%
Worst Trade
-14.79%
Avg Trade Return
-0.84%
Avg Hold Time
19.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$218,661.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-956.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-956.28
Gross Return
-28.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-28.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $3,316.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $10.27 | 322 | $3,308.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.50 | 322 | $3,381.00 | $3,388.75 |
+$72.45 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $10.61 | 319 | $3,386.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $10.27 | 319 | $3,275.91 | $3,278.47 |
$-110.28 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $9.66 | 339 | $3,276.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $9.38 | 339 | $3,178.13 | $3,180.16 |
$-98.31 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET | $9.39 | 338 | $3,172.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.58 | 338 | $3,237.26 | $3,245.29 |
+$65.13 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $9.56 | 339 | $3,240.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $9.76 | 339 | $3,308.64 | $3,313.09 |
+$67.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $9.44 | 351 | $3,311.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $9.11 | 351 | $3,199.36 | $3,200.77 |
$-112.32 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $8.71 | 367 | $3,196.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.24 | 367 | $3,390.24 | $3,394.44 |
+$193.67 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $8.74 | 388 | $3,391.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.93 | 388 | $3,462.90 | $3,466.22 |
+$71.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $8.34 | 415 | $3,459.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $8.52 | 415 | $3,535.80 | $3,543.00 |
+$76.78 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $8.77 | 403 | $3,536.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $8.38 | 403 | $3,377.10 | $3,383.77 |
$-159.23 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $7.89 | 428 | $3,376.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $7.64 | 428 | $3,269.92 | $3,276.77 |
$-107.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $7.81 | 419 | $3,274.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $7.50 | 419 | $3,142.50 | $3,145.20 |
$-131.57 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $6.92 | 454 | $3,141.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.24 | 454 | $3,284.69 | $3,288.21 |
+$143.01 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $7.10 | 463 | $3,287.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 463 | $3,083.44 | $3,084.40 |
$-203.81 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.22 | 495 | $3,078.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $6.34 | 495 | $3,140.77 | $3,146.23 |
+$61.83 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $6.00 | 524 | $3,144.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.78 | 524 | $3,031.34 | $3,033.57 |
$-112.66 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $5.71 | 531 | $3,032.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $5.86 | 531 | $3,109.01 | $3,110.56 |
+$76.99 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $6.51 | 477 | $3,105.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.64 | 477 | $3,169.33 | $3,174.62 |
+$64.06 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $6.37 | 498 | $3,172.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.03 | 498 | $3,002.39 | $3,004.80 |
$-169.82 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $6.10 | 492 | $3,001.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $6.28 | 492 | $3,087.30 | $3,090.90 |
+$86.10 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $5.86 | 527 | $3,090.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $5.99 | 527 | $3,154.10 | $3,154.14 |
+$63.24 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 12:40pm ET | $5.93 | 531 | $3,148.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $6.06 | 531 | $3,217.86 | $3,223.17 |
+$69.03 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $6.47 | 498 | $3,222.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.03 | 498 | $3,002.94 | $3,004.05 |
$-219.12 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $5.74 | 523 | $3,002.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.57 | 523 | $2,910.50 | $2,912.53 |
$-91.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $5.64 | 516 | $2,910.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $5.76 | 516 | $2,972.21 | $2,974.50 |
+$61.97 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 12:10pm ET | $6.07 | 489 | $2,970.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $6.21 | 489 | $3,036.64 | $3,040.47 |
+$65.97 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $6.53 | 465 | $3,038.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $6.68 | 465 | $3,103.88 | $3,105.57 |
+$65.10 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $6.72 | 461 | $3,099.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $6.52 | 461 | $3,005.72 | $3,012.22 |
$-93.35 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $6.72 | 461 | $3,099.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.73 | 461 | $2,640.61 | $2,553.76 |
$-458.46 (-14.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.63 | 454 | $2,553.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $5.45 | 454 | $2,474.30 | $2,474.31 |
$-79.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $5.06 | 488 | $2,469.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:55am ET | $5.18 | 488 | $2,525.40 | $2,530.43 |
+$56.12 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $5.04 | 502 | $2,530.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $5.14 | 502 | $2,582.79 | $2,583.14 |
+$52.71 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $4.86 | 531 | $2,580.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.69 | 531 | $2,490.23 | $2,492.66 |
$-90.48 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $5.25 | 474 | $2,489.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $5.09 | 474 | $2,410.29 | $2,413.79 |
$-78.87 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 1:40pm ET | $5.38 | 448 | $2,411.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.14 | 448 | $2,300.48 | $2,302.91 |
$-110.88 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $5.24 | 439 | $2,300.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $5.37 | 439 | $2,357.47 | $2,360.02 |
+$57.11 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$2,360.02
Net Profit/Loss:
$-7,639.98
Total Return:
-76.40%