LCID Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 33 trades in period
-2.58%
Last 3 Months Return
$3,004.80
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$3,084.32
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
8
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality
8.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 8.3
30-Day Momentum
14
-6.1%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,799
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$3,084.32
Current Value
$3,004.80
Period P&L
$-79.54
Max Drawdown
-69.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
20 /
13
Best Trade
+6.06%
Worst Trade
-6.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
22.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$210,233.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-79.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-79.54
Gross Return
-2.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $3,084.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $11.14 | 276 | $3,073.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $11.38 | 276 | $3,140.82 | $3,151.90 |
+$67.56 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.03 | 314 | $3,150.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $9.72 | 314 | $3,050.51 | $3,052.30 |
$-99.60 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $9.63 | 316 | $3,043.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $9.90 | 316 | $3,126.82 | $3,136.04 |
+$83.74 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $9.62 | 325 | $3,126.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $9.32 | 325 | $3,030.62 | $3,040.13 |
$-95.91 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:20am ET | $9.51 | 319 | $3,033.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 1:55pm ET | $9.70 | 319 | $3,095.89 | $3,102.33 |
+$62.20 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:25pm ET | $10.05 | 308 | $3,095.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:20pm ET | $10.26 | 308 | $3,160.08 | $3,167.01 |
+$64.68 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.07 | 314 | $3,161.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.54 | 314 | $2,995.56 | $3,000.59 |
$-166.42 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.98 | 300 | $2,994.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $10.20 | 300 | $3,060.03 | $3,066.62 |
+$66.03 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 2:15pm ET | $10.22 | 300 | $3,064.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $9.90 | 300 | $2,971.50 | $2,973.62 |
$-93.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $9.65 | 308 | $2,972.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $9.85 | 308 | $3,035.34 | $3,036.51 |
+$62.89 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $10.16 | 298 | $3,029.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.40 | 298 | $3,099.95 | $3,107.29 |
+$70.78 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $10.25 | 303 | $3,105.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $10.48 | 303 | $3,175.44 | $3,176.98 |
+$69.69 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $10.05 | 316 | $3,174.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $10.27 | 316 | $3,246.90 | $3,249.31 |
+$72.33 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:05pm ET | $10.16 | 319 | $3,241.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $10.37 | 319 | $3,308.03 | $3,316.30 |
+$66.99 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $10.27 | 322 | $3,308.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.50 | 322 | $3,381.00 | $3,388.75 |
+$72.45 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $10.61 | 319 | $3,386.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $10.27 | 319 | $3,275.91 | $3,278.47 |
$-110.28 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $9.66 | 339 | $3,276.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $9.38 | 339 | $3,178.13 | $3,180.16 |
$-98.31 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET | $9.39 | 338 | $3,172.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.58 | 338 | $3,237.26 | $3,245.29 |
+$65.13 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $9.56 | 339 | $3,240.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $9.76 | 339 | $3,308.64 | $3,313.09 |
+$67.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $9.44 | 351 | $3,311.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $9.11 | 351 | $3,199.36 | $3,200.77 |
$-112.32 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $8.71 | 367 | $3,196.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.24 | 367 | $3,390.24 | $3,394.44 |
+$193.67 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $8.74 | 388 | $3,391.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.93 | 388 | $3,462.90 | $3,466.22 |
+$71.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $8.34 | 415 | $3,459.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $8.52 | 415 | $3,535.80 | $3,543.00 |
+$76.78 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $8.77 | 403 | $3,536.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $8.38 | 403 | $3,377.10 | $3,383.77 |
$-159.23 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $7.89 | 428 | $3,376.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $7.64 | 428 | $3,269.92 | $3,276.77 |
$-107.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $7.81 | 419 | $3,274.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $7.50 | 419 | $3,142.50 | $3,145.20 |
$-131.57 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $6.92 | 454 | $3,141.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.24 | 454 | $3,284.69 | $3,288.21 |
+$143.01 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $7.10 | 463 | $3,287.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 463 | $3,083.44 | $3,084.40 |
$-203.81 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.22 | 495 | $3,078.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $6.34 | 495 | $3,140.77 | $3,146.23 |
+$61.83 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $6.00 | 524 | $3,144.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.78 | 524 | $3,031.34 | $3,033.57 |
$-112.66 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $5.71 | 531 | $3,032.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $5.86 | 531 | $3,109.01 | $3,110.56 |
+$76.99 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $6.51 | 477 | $3,105.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.64 | 477 | $3,169.33 | $3,174.62 |
+$64.06 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $6.37 | 498 | $3,172.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.03 | 498 | $3,002.39 | $3,004.80 |
$-169.82 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,004.80
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,995.20
Total Return:
-69.95%