Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:58:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.5/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 42.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 42.1

30-Day Momentum

71
+17.2%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
8.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 91.7 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,800
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,827.19
Current Value
$16,399.67
Period P&L
$1,572.49
Max Drawdown
-18.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
14 / 8
Best Trade
+6.58%
Worst Trade
-3.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$647,943.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,572.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,572.49
Gross Return
+10.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,827.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:45am ET $179.90 82 $14,751.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $183.77 82 $15,069.55 $15,115.00 +$317.75
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET $171.38 88 $15,081.88
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET $175.66 88 $15,458.52 $15,491.64 +$376.64
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $174.29 88 $15,337.75
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $169.01 88 $14,872.44 $15,026.33 $-465.31
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET $167.81 89 $14,935.09
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:25am ET $171.43 89 $15,257.71 $15,348.96 +$322.63
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:05am ET $176.22 87 $15,331.14
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $169.77 87 $14,770.42 $14,788.24 $-560.72
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET $167.64 88 $14,752.32
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $162.52 88 $14,301.76 $14,337.68 $-450.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:45am ET $166.99 85 $14,194.15
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $161.98 85 $13,768.30 $13,911.83 $-425.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $159.35 87 $13,863.45
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:15am ET $154.55 87 $13,445.85 $13,494.23 $-417.60
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:15am ET $160.23 84 $13,459.32
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $163.44 84 $13,728.96 $13,763.87 +$269.64
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET $154.04 89 $13,709.56
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:50am ET $157.26 89 $13,996.58 $14,050.90 +$287.03
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET $158.90 88 $13,983.33
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $162.08 88 $14,263.04 $14,330.61 +$279.71
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $164.30 87 $14,294.53
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $168.17 87 $14,630.44 $14,666.52 +$335.91
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET $165.71 88 $14,582.05
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $159.57 88 $14,041.72 $14,126.19 $-540.33
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $159.33 88 $14,021.04
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $163.00 88 $14,344.00 $14,449.15 +$322.96
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $166.92 86 $14,355.12
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $161.57 86 $13,895.02 $13,989.05 $-460.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $166.04 84 $13,946.94
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $176.96 84 $14,864.64 $14,906.75 +$917.70
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $175.39 84 $14,732.76
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $178.98 84 $15,034.32 $15,208.31 +$301.56
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $184.32 82 $15,114.24
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $188.49 82 $15,456.18 $15,550.25 +$341.94
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET $188.44 82 $15,452.08
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $192.23 82 $15,762.86 $15,861.03 +$310.78
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:25am ET $191.49 82 $15,702.18
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $189.18 82 $15,512.76 $15,671.61 $-189.42
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:35am ET $188.78 83 $15,668.74
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $193.20 83 $16,035.60 $16,038.47 +$366.86
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
22 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:05am ET $189.30 84 $15,901.20
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $193.60 84 $16,262.40 $16,399.67 +$361.20
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,399.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,399.67
Total Return: +64.00%
Back to Rebel Contraire