MU Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 39 trades in period
+3.51%
Last 3 Months Return
$22,080.01
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$21,332.25
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.2/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality
46.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 45.8
30-Day Momentum
63
+17.0%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.7
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$21,332.25
Current Value
$22,080.01
Period P&L
$747.81
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
24 /
15
Best Trade
+6.27%
Worst Trade
-9.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
21.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,471,396.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$747.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$747.81
Gross Return
+3.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $21,332.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $429.40 | 50 | $21,470.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $415.13 | 50 | $20,756.50 | $20,767.95 |
$-713.49 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:55pm ET | $393.65 | 52 | $20,469.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $377.00 | 52 | $19,604.00 | $19,902.15 |
$-865.80 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $369.00 | 53 | $19,557.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $357.85 | 53 | $18,966.05 | $19,311.20 |
$-590.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $360.75 | 53 | $19,119.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $345.18 | 53 | $18,294.80 | $18,486.25 |
$-824.95 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:15am ET | $324.42 | 56 | $18,167.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $331.30 | 56 | $18,553.08 | $18,871.81 |
+$385.56 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $375.60 | 50 | $18,780.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.91 | 50 | $17,045.30 | $17,137.11 |
$-1,734.70 (-9.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $376.62 | 45 | $16,947.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $365.20 | 45 | $16,434.22 | $16,623.43 |
$-513.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $405.73 | 40 | $16,229.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $414.44 | 40 | $16,577.60 | $16,971.83 |
+$348.40 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $419.64 | 40 | $16,785.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.00 | 40 | $17,440.00 | $17,626.15 |
+$654.32 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $459.50 | 38 | $17,461.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $445.13 | 38 | $16,915.02 | $17,080.17 |
$-545.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $456.93 | 37 | $16,906.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $466.44 | 37 | $17,258.35 | $17,432.08 |
+$351.91 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $452.52 | 38 | $17,195.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $438.11 | 38 | $16,648.37 | $16,884.50 |
$-547.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $442.54 | 38 | $16,816.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $451.53 | 38 | $17,158.14 | $17,226.12 |
+$341.62 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $485.14 | 35 | $16,979.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $495.80 | 35 | $17,353.00 | $17,599.22 |
+$373.10 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $520.66 | 33 | $17,181.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $502.27 | 33 | $16,574.91 | $16,992.35 |
$-606.87 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $518.76 | 32 | $16,600.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $533.47 | 32 | $17,071.04 | $17,463.07 |
+$470.72 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $536.02 | 32 | $17,152.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $558.87 | 32 | $17,883.84 | $18,194.27 |
+$731.20 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $643.41 | 28 | $18,015.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $659.20 | 28 | $18,457.46 | $18,636.11 |
+$441.84 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $650.98 | 28 | $18,227.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $669.55 | 28 | $18,747.40 | $19,156.07 |
+$519.96 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 10:45am ET | $707.50 | 27 | $19,102.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:55am ET | $721.67 | 27 | $19,485.09 | $19,538.66 |
+$382.59 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:20pm ET | $788.02 | 24 | $18,912.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $804.70 | 24 | $19,312.68 | $19,938.91 |
+$400.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 2:45pm ET | $746.84 | 26 | $19,417.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $762.26 | 26 | $19,818.76 | $20,339.83 |
+$400.92 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $796.76 | 25 | $19,919.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $731.76 | 25 | $18,294.00 | $18,714.77 |
$-1,625.06 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $727.31 | 25 | $18,182.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $698.34 | 25 | $17,458.38 | $17,990.39 |
$-724.38 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:25am ET | $678.67 | 26 | $17,645.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 11:45am ET | $696.16 | 26 | $18,100.16 | $18,445.00 |
+$454.61 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $719.23 | 25 | $17,980.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $736.47 | 25 | $18,411.75 | $18,876.05 |
+$431.05 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $752.00 | 25 | $18,800.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $769.20 | 25 | $19,230.00 | $19,306.05 |
+$430.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $910.31 | 21 | $19,116.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $955.96 | 21 | $20,075.16 | $20,264.70 |
+$958.65 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $921.38 | 21 | $19,349.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $940.29 | 21 | $19,746.09 | $20,661.72 |
+$397.02 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:35am ET | $966.56 | 21 | $20,297.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,009.50 | 21 | $21,199.50 | $21,563.46 |
+$901.74 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,034.80 | 20 | $20,696.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1,055.57 | 20 | $21,111.40 | $21,978.86 |
+$415.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,034.80 | 20 | $20,696.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $989.61 | 20 | $19,792.20 | $21,075.06 |
$-903.80 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $935.16 | 22 | $20,573.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $906.34 | 22 | $19,939.59 | $20,441.24 |
$-633.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $948.32 | 21 | $19,914.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $984.00 | 21 | $20,664.00 | $21,190.52 |
+$749.28 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $935.52 | 22 | $20,581.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $907.00 | 22 | $19,954.00 | $20,563.19 |
$-627.33 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $924.75 | 22 | $20,344.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $945.49 | 22 | $20,800.78 | $21,019.47 |
+$456.28 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET | $992.78 | 21 | $20,848.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,055.02 | 21 | $22,155.42 | $22,326.51 |
+$1,307.04 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,088.43 | 20 | $21,768.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,049.30 | 20 | $20,986.00 | $21,543.91 |
$-782.60 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,059.36 | 20 | $21,187.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,086.17 | 20 | $21,723.40 | $22,080.01 |
+$536.10 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$22,080.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$12,080.01
Total Return:
+120.80%