Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:15:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 35.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 35.7

30-Day Momentum

54
+10.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.5 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,807
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,650.38
Current Value
$15,444.07
Period P&L
$2,793.68
Max Drawdown
-29.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
23 / 10
Best Trade
+3.43%
Worst Trade
-4.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
18.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$908,106.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,793.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,793.68
Gross Return
+22.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,650.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $174.16 72 $12,539.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $178.87 72 $12,878.64 $12,989.33 +$338.94
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $195.96 66 $12,933.03
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET $199.95 66 $13,196.70 $13,253.00 +$263.67
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $190.95 69 $13,175.21
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $184.60 69 $12,737.40 $12,815.19 $-437.81
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:15am ET $191.42 66 $12,633.72
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $185.00 66 $12,210.00 $12,391.47 $-423.72
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $161.13 76 $12,245.88
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $164.37 76 $12,492.12 $12,637.71 +$246.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET $162.89 77 $12,542.53
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $168.47 77 $12,972.19 $13,067.37 +$429.66
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:25am ET $174.93 74 $12,944.45
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $169.53 74 $12,545.41 $12,668.32 $-399.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET $177.54 71 $12,605.34
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $181.31 71 $12,873.01 $12,935.99 +$267.67
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $186.93 69 $12,898.17
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $191.77 69 $13,232.13 $13,269.95 +$333.96
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:50am ET $192.15 69 $13,258.35
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $196.12 69 $13,532.28 $13,543.88 +$273.93
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $201.75 67 $13,517.25
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:30am ET $206.98 67 $13,867.33 $13,893.96 +$350.08
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET $212.64 65 $13,821.60
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:50am ET $217.04 65 $14,107.60 $14,179.96 +$286.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET $208.29 68 $14,163.81
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET $214.19 68 $14,564.92 $14,581.07 +$401.11
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:35am ET $212.26 68 $14,433.65
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:45am ET $216.61 68 $14,729.48 $14,876.90 +$295.83
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:15pm ET $222.75 66 $14,701.50
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:30pm ET $215.78 66 $14,241.48 $14,416.88 $-460.02
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $222.10 64 $14,214.25
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $215.02 64 $13,761.28 $13,963.91 $-452.97
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $215.97 64 $13,822.08
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $209.44 64 $13,404.16 $13,545.99 $-417.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:45am ET $205.28 65 $13,343.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $198.81 65 $12,922.65 $13,125.44 $-420.55
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $196.49 66 $12,968.34
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:35pm ET $201.57 66 $13,303.29 $13,460.39 +$334.95
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $202.63 66 $13,373.58
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:55am ET $206.94 66 $13,658.04 $13,744.85 +$284.46
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET $210.27 65 $13,667.87
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $215.47 65 $14,005.55 $14,082.53 +$337.68
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $202.76 69 $13,990.78
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET $196.65 69 $13,569.19 $13,660.94 $-421.59
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:45am ET $165.64 82 $13,582.48
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $169.79 82 $13,922.78 $14,001.24 +$340.30
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $180.51 77 $13,898.89
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $185.26 77 $14,265.02 $14,367.37 +$366.13
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $187.82 76 $14,274.32
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $193.43 76 $14,700.68 $14,793.73 +$426.36
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:00am ET $195.41 75 $14,655.75
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $199.38 75 $14,953.50 $15,091.48 +$297.75
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET $209.19 72 $15,061.68
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 72 $14,430.24 $14,460.04 $-631.44
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $203.81 70 $14,266.70
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $207.96 70 $14,557.20 $14,750.54 +$290.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $213.50 69 $14,731.50
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $205.48 69 $14,177.78 $14,196.82 $-553.72
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $201.54 70 $14,107.45
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET $205.60 70 $14,392.00 $14,481.37 +$284.55
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
31 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:00pm ET $216.07 67 $14,476.69
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:20am ET $221.24 67 $14,822.75 $14,827.42 +$346.05
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
32 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $241.68 61 $14,742.48
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $246.62 61 $15,043.83 $15,128.77 +$301.35
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
33 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $251.07 60 $15,064.20
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:30am ET $256.33 60 $15,379.50 $15,444.07 +$315.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,444.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,444.07
Total Return: +54.44%
Back to Rebel Contraire