Compendium › Rebel Contraire › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 23 trades in period

-5.79%
Last 3 Months Return
$18,503.28
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$19,641.42
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.4/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 39.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 39.0

30-Day Momentum

6
-18.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,641.42
Current Value
$18,503.28
Period P&L
$-1,138.14
Max Drawdown
-35.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
13 / 10
Best Trade
+5.47%
Worst Trade
-6.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$965,348.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,138.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,138.14
Gross Return
-5.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $19,641.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:45am ET $175.58 110 $19,313.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET $179.45 110 $19,738.95 $19,910.37 +$425.14
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $175.38 113 $19,817.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $169.68 113 $19,174.40 $19,267.40 $-642.97
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET $167.00 115 $19,205.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET $170.50 115 $19,607.51 $19,669.91 +$402.51
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET $176.79 111 $19,623.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:20am ET $176.80 111 $19,624.80 $19,671.57 +$1.66
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $175.03 112 $19,603.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 112 $20,675.20 $20,743.04 +$1,071.47
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $181.54 114 $20,694.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $185.60 114 $21,158.40 $21,206.45 +$463.41
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $186.20 113 $21,040.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $191.50 113 $21,639.50 $21,805.35 +$598.90
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $199.54 109 $21,750.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $198.62 109 $21,649.04 $21,703.98 $-101.37
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $199.02 109 $21,693.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $203.66 109 $22,198.94 $22,209.20 +$505.22
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET $208.31 106 $22,080.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $212.82 106 $22,559.45 $22,687.79 +$478.59
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $213.51 106 $22,632.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $206.49 106 $21,888.47 $21,944.20 $-743.59
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:30am ET $199.03 110 $21,893.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:55am ET $204.09 110 $22,449.90 $22,500.80 +$556.60
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:50am ET $212.62 105 $22,324.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:50am ET $217.21 105 $22,807.57 $22,983.59 +$482.79
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23h held
14 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:05am ET $221.02 103 $22,765.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $227.04 103 $23,385.12 $23,603.13 +$619.54
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:05am ET $234.15 100 $23,415.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $225.62 100 $22,562.00 $22,750.13 $-853.00
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
16 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $223.94 101 $22,617.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:05am ET $216.26 101 $21,842.26 $21,974.85 $-775.28
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
17 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:10am ET $214.87 102 $21,916.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $215.76 102 $22,008.03 $22,066.14 +$91.29
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $229.21 96 $22,003.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $221.96 96 $21,308.64 $21,371.10 $-695.04
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $229.21 96 $22,003.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $214.65 96 $20,606.40 $19,973.82 $-1,397.28
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $214.46 93 $19,945.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $207.78 93 $19,323.54 $19,352.12 $-621.70
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:35am ET $207.43 93 $19,290.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $200.29 93 $18,626.97 $18,688.56 $-663.56
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $202.75 92 $18,653.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:20am ET $207.00 92 $19,044.00 $19,079.56 +$391.00
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $212.14 89 $18,880.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $205.66 89 $18,304.18 $18,503.28 $-576.28
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,503.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,503.28
Total Return: +85.03%
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