Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 14:05:06

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.4/35
Total Return
17.4/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 46.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 45.3

30-Day Momentum

70
+14.4%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
3.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.7 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,813
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,231.22
Current Value
$22,500.80
Period P&L
$2,269.58
Max Drawdown
-35.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
14 / 8
Best Trade
+5.47%
Worst Trade
-3.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.52%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$901,312.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,269.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,269.58
Gross Return
+11.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,231.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $190.88 105 $20,042.40
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $189.54 105 $19,901.70 $20,090.52 $-140.70
(-0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET $180.32 111 $20,015.52
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET $184.16 111 $20,441.76 $20,516.76 +$426.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 11:15am ET $189.83 108 $20,501.64
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:15am ET $190.06 108 $20,526.48 $20,541.60 +$24.84
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $192.87 106 $20,443.69
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 11:40am ET $197.07 106 $20,888.89 $20,986.80 +$445.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $186.62 112 $20,901.43
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $180.32 112 $20,195.84 $20,281.21 $-705.59
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $182.55 111 $20,263.05
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:55am ET $176.95 111 $19,641.45 $19,659.61 $-621.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET $181.97 108 $19,652.74
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $176.33 108 $19,043.64 $19,050.51 $-609.10
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $182.75 104 $19,005.99
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:00am ET $186.74 104 $19,421.48 $19,466.00 +$415.49
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $182.08 106 $19,300.48
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $188.33 106 $19,962.66 $20,128.18 +$662.18
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $182.23 110 $20,045.30
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $176.38 110 $19,402.35 $19,485.23 $-642.95
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:45am ET $175.58 110 $19,313.81
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET $179.45 110 $19,738.95 $19,910.37 +$425.14
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $175.38 113 $19,817.38
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $169.68 113 $19,174.40 $19,267.40 $-642.97
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET $167.00 115 $19,205.00
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET $170.50 115 $19,607.51 $19,669.91 +$402.51
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET $176.79 111 $19,623.14
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:20am ET $176.80 111 $19,624.80 $19,671.57 +$1.66
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $175.03 112 $19,603.73
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 112 $20,675.20 $20,743.04 +$1,071.47
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $181.54 114 $20,694.99
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $185.60 114 $21,158.40 $21,206.45 +$463.41
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $186.20 113 $21,040.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $191.50 113 $21,639.50 $21,805.35 +$598.90
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $199.54 109 $21,750.40
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $198.62 109 $21,649.04 $21,703.98 $-101.37
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $199.02 109 $21,693.72
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $203.66 109 $22,198.94 $22,209.20 +$505.22
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET $208.31 106 $22,080.86
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $212.82 106 $22,559.45 $22,687.79 +$478.59
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $213.51 106 $22,632.06
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $206.49 106 $21,888.47 $21,944.20 $-743.59
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
22 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:30am ET $199.03 110 $21,893.30
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:55am ET $204.09 110 $22,449.90 $22,500.80 +$556.60
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,500.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,500.80
Total Return: +125.01%
Back to Rebel Contraire