Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 31.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 31.8

30-Day Momentum

31
+3.4%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.4 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,972.94
Current Value
$15,378.80
Period P&L
$405.83
Max Drawdown
-37.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
16 / 13
Best Trade
+9.80%
Worst Trade
-3.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$854,892.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$405.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$405.83
Gross Return
+2.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,972.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET $155.46 96 $14,923.68
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $158.66 96 $15,231.36 $15,280.65 +$307.68
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $162.80 93 $15,140.40
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $162.77 93 $15,137.61 $15,277.86 $-2.79
(-0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $157.95 96 $15,163.20
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $153.08 96 $14,695.92 $14,810.58 $-467.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $156.96 94 $14,754.25
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $151.83 94 $14,272.02 $14,328.35 $-482.23
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $142.49 100 $14,248.50
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $145.45 100 $14,545.00 $14,624.85 +$296.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:55am ET $150.55 97 $14,603.67
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:35am ET $145.87 97 $14,148.91 $14,170.09 $-454.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:40am ET $145.04 97 $14,069.36
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:40am ET $148.16 97 $14,371.52 $14,472.25 +$302.16
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:40am ET $147.29 98 $14,434.91
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $150.27 98 $14,726.46 $14,763.80 +$291.55
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $153.06 96 $14,693.86
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET $156.59 96 $15,032.16 $15,102.10 +$338.30
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:50am ET $157.45 95 $14,957.75
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $151.99 95 $14,438.58 $14,582.93 $-519.17
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $151.19 96 $14,514.24
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $166.00 96 $15,936.00 $16,004.69 +$1,421.76
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:05am ET $162.90 98 $15,964.69
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET $157.96 98 $15,480.08 $15,520.08 $-484.61
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET $155.78 99 $15,422.22
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $150.46 99 $14,895.54 $14,993.40 $-526.68
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $151.00 99 $14,949.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:15am ET $154.23 99 $15,268.28 $15,312.68 +$319.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $148.09 103 $15,252.76
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $143.41 103 $14,771.74 $14,831.67 $-481.01
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $139.86 106 $14,825.16
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:15am ET $142.68 106 $15,124.08 $15,130.59 +$298.92
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:50am ET $146.40 103 $15,079.20
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $141.09 103 $14,532.27 $14,583.66 $-546.93
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $145.09 100 $14,508.50
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $140.23 100 $14,023.00 $14,098.16 $-485.50
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:15am ET $143.93 97 $13,961.21
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $138.91 97 $13,474.75 $13,611.71 $-486.45
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $135.49 100 $13,549.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET $138.37 100 $13,836.99 $13,899.70 +$287.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET $149.31 93 $13,885.83
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $152.45 93 $14,177.91 $14,191.79 +$292.09
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $162.79 87 $14,163.16
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $167.33 87 $14,557.71 $14,586.34 +$394.55
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $175.26 83 $14,546.58
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $182.97 83 $15,186.39 $15,226.15 +$639.81
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET $176.13 86 $15,146.75
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET $180.09 86 $15,487.74 $15,567.14 +$340.99
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $187.27 83 $15,543.41
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $179.80 83 $14,923.40 $14,947.13 $-620.01
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $174.91 85 $14,867.35
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $169.22 85 $14,383.70 $14,463.48 $-483.65
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $165.65 87 $14,411.55
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $169.17 87 $14,717.79 $14,769.72 +$306.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
28 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $180.90 81 $14,653.30
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $184.66 81 $14,957.46 $15,073.88 +$304.16
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
29 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:00am ET $194.93 77 $15,009.61
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:10am ET $198.89 77 $15,314.53 $15,378.80 +$304.92
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,378.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,378.80
Total Return: +53.79%
Back to Rebel Contraire