ORCL Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 33 trades in period
-3.95%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,538.71
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$15,136.92
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
30.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 30.3
30-Day Momentum
25
+1.6%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.5
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,136.92
Current Value
$14,538.71
Period P&L
$-598.24
Max Drawdown
-37.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
19 /
14
Best Trade
+4.40%
Worst Trade
-4.78%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$959,277.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-598.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-598.24
Gross Return
-3.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.95%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,136.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $151.00 | 99 | $14,949.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $154.23 | 99 | $15,268.28 | $15,312.68 |
+$319.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $148.09 | 103 | $15,252.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.41 | 103 | $14,771.74 | $14,831.67 |
$-481.01 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $139.86 | 106 | $14,825.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:15am ET | $142.68 | 106 | $15,124.08 | $15,130.59 |
+$298.92 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $146.40 | 103 | $15,079.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.09 | 103 | $14,532.27 | $14,583.66 |
$-546.93 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $145.09 | 100 | $14,508.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $140.23 | 100 | $14,023.00 | $14,098.16 |
$-485.50 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:15am ET | $143.93 | 97 | $13,961.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $138.91 | 97 | $13,474.75 | $13,611.71 |
$-486.45 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $135.49 | 100 | $13,549.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $138.37 | 100 | $13,836.99 | $13,899.70 |
+$287.99 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $149.31 | 93 | $13,885.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 12:35pm ET | $152.45 | 93 | $14,177.91 | $14,191.79 |
+$292.09 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $162.79 | 87 | $14,163.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.33 | 87 | $14,557.71 | $14,586.34 |
+$394.55 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $175.26 | 83 | $14,546.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.97 | 83 | $15,186.39 | $15,226.15 |
+$639.81 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $176.13 | 86 | $15,146.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $180.09 | 86 | $15,487.74 | $15,567.14 |
+$340.99 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $187.27 | 83 | $15,543.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.80 | 83 | $14,923.40 | $14,947.13 |
$-620.01 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $174.91 | 85 | $14,867.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.22 | 85 | $14,383.70 | $14,463.48 |
$-483.65 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $165.65 | 87 | $14,411.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.17 | 87 | $14,717.79 | $14,769.72 |
+$306.24 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $180.90 | 81 | $14,653.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 2:45pm ET | $184.66 | 81 | $14,957.46 | $15,073.88 |
+$304.16 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $194.93 | 77 | $15,009.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $198.89 | 77 | $15,314.53 | $15,378.80 |
+$304.92 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 10:35am ET | $194.47 | 79 | $15,363.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $188.29 | 79 | $14,874.91 | $14,890.58 |
$-488.22 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $186.13 | 80 | $14,890.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $190.38 | 80 | $15,230.40 | $15,230.58 |
+$340.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $199.34 | 76 | $15,149.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.82 | 76 | $14,426.32 | $14,507.06 |
$-723.52 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.00 | 76 | $14,440.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET | $183.81 | 76 | $13,969.56 | $14,036.62 |
$-470.44 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET | $183.04 | 76 | $13,910.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:30pm ET | $186.72 | 76 | $14,190.72 | $14,316.68 |
+$280.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $194.35 | 73 | $14,187.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $190.59 | 73 | $13,913.07 | $14,042.21 |
$-274.47 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $196.43 | 71 | $13,946.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:00am ET | $202.80 | 71 | $14,398.80 | $14,494.13 |
+$451.92 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:25am ET | $219.06 | 66 | $14,457.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $224.17 | 66 | $14,795.13 | $14,831.30 |
+$337.17 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $247.50 | 59 | $14,602.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $239.58 | 59 | $14,135.22 | $14,364.02 |
$-467.28 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 11:30am ET | $231.38 | 62 | $14,345.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $236.05 | 62 | $14,635.10 | $14,653.55 |
+$289.53 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $220.07 | 66 | $14,524.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $213.15 | 66 | $14,067.90 | $14,196.83 |
$-456.72 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $211.94 | 66 | $13,988.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $216.94 | 66 | $14,318.04 | $14,526.83 |
+$330.00 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $210.20 | 69 | $14,503.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $203.70 | 69 | $14,055.30 | $14,078.33 |
$-448.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET | $176.05 | 79 | $13,908.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $179.94 | 79 | $14,215.26 | $14,385.25 |
+$306.92 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET | $180.90 | 79 | $14,291.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.94 | 79 | $14,768.26 | $14,862.41 |
+$477.16 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $192.80 | 77 | $14,845.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.90 | 77 | $14,237.68 | $14,254.49 |
$-607.92 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:25am ET | $183.87 | 77 | $14,157.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $187.56 | 77 | $14,442.21 | $14,538.71 |
+$284.22 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,538.71
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,538.71
Total Return:
+45.39%