Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:18:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 35.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 35.1

30-Day Momentum

19
-3.0%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.3 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,804
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,266.61
Current Value
$15,042.50
Period P&L
$2,775.99
Max Drawdown
-31.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
20 / 7
Best Trade
+5.01%
Worst Trade
-7.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$772,655.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,775.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,775.99
Gross Return
+22.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,266.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET $46.31 264 $12,225.84
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $46.21 264 $12,198.12 $12,238.79 $-27.72
(-0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $45.79 267 $12,227.26
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $46.91 267 $12,524.97 $12,536.50 +$297.71
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:00am ET $50.84 246 $12,506.64
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.93 246 $12,775.89 $12,805.75 +$269.25
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:20am ET $52.76 242 $12,767.92
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET $51.08 242 $12,361.65 $12,399.48 $-406.27
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $51.22 242 $12,396.45
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $52.83 242 $12,784.86 $12,787.89 +$388.41
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:45am ET $53.76 237 $12,741.12
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $55.29 237 $13,103.73 $13,150.50 +$362.61
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET $53.40 246 $13,136.40
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $54.49 246 $13,403.31 $13,417.41 +$266.91
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:10am ET $53.48 250 $13,370.00
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $54.88 250 $13,720.25 $13,767.66 +$350.25
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:45am ET $53.85 255 $13,731.75
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $52.15 255 $13,298.25 $13,334.16 $-433.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $55.14 241 $13,288.74
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $56.71 241 $13,665.91 $13,711.33 +$377.17
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $57.40 238 $13,661.20
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $58.19 238 $13,850.41 $13,900.54 +$189.21
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:15am ET $59.87 232 $13,889.84
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:40am ET $61.08 232 $14,169.89 $14,180.59 +$280.05
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:55am ET $60.23 235 $14,154.05
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $61.88 235 $14,541.80 $14,568.34 +$387.75
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:20am ET $61.27 237 $14,520.99
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $63.18 237 $14,973.66 $15,021.01 +$452.67
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $64.92 231 $14,996.61
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $66.22 231 $15,297.97 $15,322.37 +$301.36
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET $66.51 230 $15,297.30
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $64.12 230 $14,747.60 $14,772.67 $-549.70
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $61.52 240 $14,764.80
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $64.60 240 $15,503.86 $15,511.73 +$739.06
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $62.56 247 $15,452.32
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $64.03 247 $15,816.15 $15,875.56 +$363.83
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET $58.60 270 $15,823.35
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $59.81 270 $16,150.05 $16,202.26 +$326.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $58.53 276 $16,155.66
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $55.58 276 $15,341.46 $15,388.06 $-814.20
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET $56.06 274 $15,360.52
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $53.44 274 $14,642.56 $14,670.10 $-717.96
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:25am ET $54.49 269 $14,657.84
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $55.61 269 $14,959.76 $14,972.03 +$301.93
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $56.53 264 $14,923.95
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $57.68 264 $15,227.52 $15,275.60 +$303.57
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $56.60 269 $15,224.06
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $57.77 269 $15,540.13 $15,591.67 +$316.07
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:00am ET $58.27 267 $15,559.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $59.46 267 $15,875.82 $15,908.49 +$316.82
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $59.48 267 $15,881.16
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $60.67 267 $16,200.22 $16,227.55 +$319.06
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
27 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:40am ET $59.22 274 $16,224.91
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.89 274 $15,039.86 $15,042.50 $-1,185.05
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,042.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,042.50
Total Return: +50.42%
Back to Rebel Contraire