Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:20:18

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.4/35
Total Return
7.3/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 19.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.5

30-Day Momentum

7
-0.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.4 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,337.84
Current Value
$10,649.45
Period P&L
$311.62
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+2.38%
Worst Trade
-3.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$357,994.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$311.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$311.62
Gross Return
+3.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,337.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $150.76 68 $10,251.68
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $150.99 68 $10,266.98 $10,364.01 +$15.30
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $150.91 68 $10,261.88
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $154.02 68 $10,473.36 $10,575.49 +$211.48
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $157.55 67 $10,555.85
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.27 67 $10,470.09 $10,489.73 $-85.76
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:20am ET $155.32 67 $10,406.11
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $156.90 67 $10,512.63 $10,596.26 +$106.53
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $154.51 68 $10,506.68
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $158.13 68 $10,752.84 $10,842.42 +$246.16
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $158.26 68 $10,761.68
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $156.05 68 $10,611.30 $10,692.04 $-150.38
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $155.59 68 $10,580.13
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $156.08 68 $10,613.44 $10,725.35 +$33.31
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET $153.73 69 $10,607.03
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $157.39 69 $10,859.91 $10,978.23 +$252.88
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $159.22 68 $10,826.96
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $154.43 68 $10,501.24 $10,652.51 $-325.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $156.01 68 $10,608.35
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $154.57 68 $10,510.76 $10,554.92 $-97.59
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:45am ET $148.70 70 $10,408.65
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:55am ET $151.81 70 $10,626.70 $10,772.97 +$218.05
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
12 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $149.55 72 $10,767.60
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $148.73 72 $10,708.56 $10,713.93 $-59.04
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $150.76 71 $10,703.61
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $149.72 71 $10,630.12 $10,640.44 $-73.49
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:00am ET $147.83 71 $10,495.93
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $142.61 71 $10,125.31 $10,269.82 $-370.62
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:10am ET $141.83 72 $10,211.76
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $144.89 72 $10,432.08 $10,490.14 +$220.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET $143.29 73 $10,460.17
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET $143.84 73 $10,500.32 $10,530.29 +$40.15
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET $144.90 72 $10,432.80
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:55am ET $146.55 72 $10,551.96 $10,649.45 +$119.16
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,649.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$649.45
Total Return: +6.49%
Back to Rebel Contraire