Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:00

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.3

30-Day Momentum

2
-2.4%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,395.07
Current Value
$8,535.35
Period P&L
$140.34
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+2.21%
Worst Trade
-3.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$256,858.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$140.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$140.34
Gross Return
+1.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,395.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $26.93 310 $8,349.85
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $27.27 310 $8,455.25 $8,460.10 +$105.40
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $27.74 305 $8,459.18
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 10:10am ET $26.86 305 $8,193.82 $8,194.75 $-265.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $26.38 310 $8,178.64
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:55am ET $26.97 310 $8,359.15 $8,375.26 +$180.51
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET $27.23 307 $8,358.08
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $27.57 307 $8,463.99 $8,481.17 +$105.91
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $26.65 318 $8,474.70
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $26.88 318 $8,547.81 $8,554.28 +$73.11
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $27.11 315 $8,539.65
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $26.73 315 $8,419.95 $8,434.58 $-119.70
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $26.65 318 $8,474.70
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $27.05 318 $8,601.90 $8,561.78 +$127.20
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $26.52 322 $8,539.44
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:40am ET $27.08 322 $8,721.37 $8,743.71 +$181.93
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:20pm ET $27.38 319 $8,734.44
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $27.51 319 $8,777.28 $8,786.55 +$42.84
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $28.18 311 $8,765.53
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET $28.06 311 $8,726.66 $8,747.68 $-38.88
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET $27.00 323 $8,721.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $26.87 323 $8,679.01 $8,705.69 $-41.99
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:45am ET $27.24 319 $8,689.56
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $27.60 319 $8,804.40 $8,820.53 +$114.84
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $27.25 323 $8,801.75
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $26.40 323 $8,525.59 $8,544.37 $-276.16
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $26.74 319 $8,530.06
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $27.33 319 $8,718.27 $8,732.58 +$188.21
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:35am ET $26.75 326 $8,722.13
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.15 326 $8,524.90 $8,535.35 $-197.23
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,535.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,464.65
Total Return: -14.65%
Back to Rebel Contraire