PLTR Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 32 trades in period
-5.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$19,050.53
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$20,138.40
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
44
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
44.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 43.8
30-Day Momentum
9
-6.3%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$20,138.40
Current Value
$19,050.53
Period P&L
$-1,087.88
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
18 /
14
Best Trade
+4.28%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,234,679.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,087.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,087.88
Gross Return
-5.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,138.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $153.59 | 127 | $19,505.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.73 | 127 | $20,031.71 | $20,166.49 |
+$526.41 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $157.16 | 128 | $20,116.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $151.93 | 128 | $19,447.04 | $19,497.05 |
$-669.44 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $158.56 | 122 | $19,344.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.57 | 122 | $18,613.54 | $18,766.39 |
$-730.66 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.82 | 129 | $18,681.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $140.46 | 129 | $18,119.34 | $18,203.95 |
$-562.44 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $141.44 | 128 | $18,104.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $144.45 | 128 | $18,489.60 | $18,589.23 |
+$385.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $146.95 | 126 | $18,515.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.76 | 126 | $17,861.77 | $17,935.30 |
$-653.93 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $148.41 | 120 | $17,809.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.76 | 120 | $18,571.80 | $18,697.30 |
+$762.00 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $133.91 | 139 | $18,613.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $129.79 | 139 | $18,040.12 | $18,123.93 |
$-573.38 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $126.38 | 143 | $18,072.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $129.03 | 143 | $18,451.29 | $18,502.88 |
+$378.95 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $133.54 | 138 | $18,428.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $137.19 | 138 | $18,932.22 | $19,006.57 |
+$503.69 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $141.71 | 134 | $18,989.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.75 | 134 | $19,530.50 | $19,547.93 |
+$541.36 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.20 | 134 | $19,456.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.34 | 134 | $19,876.89 | $19,968.02 |
+$420.09 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $151.35 | 131 | $19,827.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $146.55 | 131 | $19,198.05 | $19,338.57 |
$-629.45 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $140.85 | 137 | $19,296.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $143.77 | 137 | $19,697.17 | $19,739.29 |
+$400.72 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $140.49 | 140 | $19,668.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $136.16 | 140 | $19,062.40 | $19,133.09 |
$-606.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $136.70 | 139 | $19,001.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $139.50 | 139 | $19,390.95 | $19,522.74 |
+$389.65 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:40pm ET | $143.96 | 135 | $19,434.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.80 | 135 | $19,952.99 | $20,041.40 |
+$518.66 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $140.71 | 142 | $19,980.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $136.46 | 142 | $19,376.84 | $19,437.42 |
$-603.98 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $133.44 | 145 | $19,348.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $136.77 | 145 | $19,832.37 | $19,920.99 |
+$483.57 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $133.65 | 149 | $19,914.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $136.38 | 149 | $20,319.88 | $20,326.27 |
+$405.28 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:00pm ET | $135.26 | 150 | $20,289.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $131.08 | 150 | $19,661.27 | $19,698.46 |
$-627.81 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $131.45 | 149 | $19,585.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $134.41 | 149 | $20,027.09 | $20,139.61 |
+$441.15 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $134.49 | 149 | $20,039.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $135.84 | 149 | $20,240.16 | $20,340.74 |
+$201.13 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $136.50 | 149 | $20,338.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $132.29 | 149 | $19,711.95 | $19,714.19 |
$-626.55 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $136.75 | 144 | $19,692.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:45am ET | $140.10 | 144 | $20,174.40 | $20,196.59 |
+$482.40 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $155.47 | 129 | $20,055.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.88 | 129 | $20,624.52 | $20,765.47 |
+$568.88 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.10 | 132 | $20,737.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $151.87 | 132 | $20,046.18 | $20,074.45 |
$-691.02 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $145.45 | 138 | $20,071.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $141.03 | 138 | $19,462.14 | $19,465.18 |
$-609.27 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $138.24 | 140 | $19,354.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $133.69 | 140 | $18,716.60 | $18,827.48 |
$-637.70 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $132.21 | 142 | $18,773.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $127.85 | 142 | $18,154.70 | $18,208.60 |
$-618.88 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $129.32 | 140 | $18,104.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $132.05 | 140 | $18,487.00 | $18,590.80 |
+$382.20 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $131.08 | 141 | $18,482.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $134.35 | 141 | $18,942.65 | $19,050.53 |
+$459.73 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,050.53
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,050.53
Total Return:
+90.51%