Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 21.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 21.2

30-Day Momentum

66
+14.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
6
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 89.1 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+45 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,768.23
Current Value
$10,674.69
Period P&L
$906.43
Max Drawdown
-24.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$323,671.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$906.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$906.43
Gross Return
+9.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,768.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $600.55 16 $9,608.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET $613.10 16 $9,809.60 $9,862.66 +$200.80
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:55am ET $615.27 16 $9,844.32
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $615.03 16 $9,840.56 $9,858.90 $-3.76
(-0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $598.12 16 $9,569.92
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $606.49 16 $9,703.84 $9,992.82 +$133.92
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $603.83 16 $9,661.28
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $615.97 16 $9,855.44 $10,186.98 +$194.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $608.15 16 $9,730.40
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $602.18 16 $9,634.88 $10,091.46 $-95.52
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $611.17 16 $9,778.72
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $592.67 16 $9,482.72 $9,795.46 $-296.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $606.94 16 $9,711.04
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $600.03 16 $9,600.48 $9,684.90 $-110.56
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $605.21 16 $9,683.36
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $586.58 16 $9,385.28 $9,386.82 $-298.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET $593.39 15 $8,900.85
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $575.26 15 $8,628.90 $9,114.87 $-271.95
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $562.66 16 $9,002.56
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:00pm ET $574.09 16 $9,185.44 $9,297.75 +$182.88
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $587.49 15 $8,812.42
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $586.83 15 $8,802.45 $9,287.78 $-9.97
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $584.05 15 $8,760.75
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $609.17 15 $9,137.55 $9,664.58 +$376.80
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $604.41 15 $9,066.15
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $617.21 15 $9,258.15 $9,856.58 +$192.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $633.17 15 $9,497.52
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET $645.88 15 $9,688.19 $10,047.24 +$190.66
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET $644.40 15 $9,666.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $658.27 15 $9,874.05 $10,255.29 +$208.05
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $661.08 15 $9,916.20
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $674.58 15 $10,118.70 $10,457.79 +$202.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
17 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $674.61 15 $10,119.15
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $689.07 15 $10,336.05 $10,674.69 +$216.90
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,674.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$674.69
Total Return: +6.75%
Back to Rebel Contraire