Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:26:42

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 25.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 25.0

30-Day Momentum

19
+1.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.9 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,386.79
Current Value
$11,357.81
Period P&L
$1,970.99
Max Drawdown
-24.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.55

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
14 / 4
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
+1.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$362,661.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,970.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,970.99
Gross Return
+21.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,386.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET $593.39 15 $8,900.85
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $575.26 15 $8,628.90 $9,114.87 $-271.95
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $562.66 16 $9,002.56
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:00pm ET $574.09 16 $9,185.44 $9,297.75 +$182.88
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $587.49 15 $8,812.42
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $586.83 15 $8,802.45 $9,287.78 $-9.97
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $584.05 15 $8,760.75
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $609.17 15 $9,137.55 $9,664.58 +$376.80
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $604.41 15 $9,066.15
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $617.21 15 $9,258.15 $9,856.58 +$192.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $633.17 15 $9,497.52
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET $645.88 15 $9,688.19 $10,047.24 +$190.66
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET $644.40 15 $9,666.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $658.27 15 $9,874.05 $10,255.29 +$208.05
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $661.08 15 $9,916.20
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $674.58 15 $10,118.70 $10,457.79 +$202.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $674.61 15 $10,119.15
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $689.07 15 $10,336.05 $10,674.69 +$216.90
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:50am ET $698.69 15 $10,480.35
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $712.82 15 $10,692.30 $10,886.64 +$211.95
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:30am ET $704.63 15 $10,569.45
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:45am ET $719.31 15 $10,789.64 $11,106.83 +$220.19
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:50am ET $709.21 15 $10,638.15
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:50am ET $711.92 15 $10,678.80 $11,147.48 +$40.65
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $715.02 15 $10,725.30
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:20am ET $729.35 15 $10,940.25 $11,362.43 +$214.95
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
14 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:05am ET $726.67 15 $10,900.05
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET $739.54 15 $11,093.10 $11,555.48 +$193.05
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $745.27 15 $11,179.10
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $722.58 15 $10,838.70 $11,215.08 $-340.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $719.87 15 $10,798.05
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $698.12 15 $10,471.80 $10,888.83 $-326.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $699.38 15 $10,490.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $714.10 15 $10,711.50 $11,109.63 +$220.80
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:30pm ET $721.48 15 $10,822.27
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $738.03 15 $11,070.45 $11,357.81 +$248.18
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,357.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,357.81
Total Return: +13.58%
Back to Rebel Contraire