Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:28:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 11.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 10.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.0%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,791
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,327.64
Current Value
$8,094.96
Period P&L
$-1,232.64
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-6.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.66%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$312,301.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,232.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,232.64
Gross Return
-13.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,327.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $775.80 11 $8,533.80
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $773.38 11 $8,507.18 $9,171.68 $-26.62
(-0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $801.77 11 $8,819.47
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:50am ET $776.76 11 $8,544.36 $8,896.57 $-275.11
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:15am ET $771.27 11 $8,483.92
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $788.40 11 $8,672.45 $9,085.11 +$188.54
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET $784.12 11 $8,625.32
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:00am ET $759.83 11 $8,358.08 $8,817.87 $-267.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $780.39 11 $8,584.24
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $780.68 11 $8,587.48 $8,821.11 +$3.24
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $763.71 11 $8,400.81
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $779.87 11 $8,578.57 $8,998.87 +$177.76
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $773.14 11 $8,504.54
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 2:25pm ET $748.53 11 $8,233.83 $8,728.16 $-270.71
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $745.93 11 $8,205.23
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:50am ET $760.95 11 $8,370.45 $8,893.38 +$165.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:20am ET $765.87 11 $8,424.57
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $742.17 11 $8,163.92 $8,632.73 $-260.65
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $741.08 11 $8,151.88
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $732.58 11 $8,058.33 $8,539.17 $-93.56
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:55am ET $750.29 11 $8,253.19
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:55am ET $755.83 11 $8,314.08 $8,600.06 +$60.89
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $774.10 11 $8,515.10
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $750.81 11 $8,258.91 $8,343.87 $-256.19
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:55am ET $767.20 10 $7,672.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $743.79 10 $7,437.95 $8,109.82 $-234.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $740.94 10 $7,409.40
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:15am ET $756.45 10 $7,564.50 $8,264.92 +$155.10
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:35pm ET $747.75 11 $8,225.25
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $752.27 11 $8,274.97 $8,314.64 +$49.72
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $751.34 11 $8,264.74
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET $749.48 11 $8,244.28 $8,294.18 $-20.46
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET $748.98 11 $8,238.78
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $703.09 11 $7,733.99 $7,789.39 $-504.79
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:50am ET $691.59 11 $7,607.49
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET $706.18 11 $7,768.03 $7,949.93 +$160.54
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
19 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:55am ET $707.52 11 $7,782.67
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:55am ET $720.70 11 $7,927.70 $8,094.96 +$145.03
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,094.96
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,905.04
Total Return: -19.05%
Back to Rebel Contraire